Politix

Former Republican operatives discuss why Never Trumpers have turned to the Democratic Party, GOP's stance on IVF and abortion, Republican political tactics, and how Dems can improve Biden's chances in November.

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.politix.fmThis week on Politix, Matt and Brian discuss:* The nearly half-billion dollar judgment Trump owes New York for engaging in fraudulent business practices; * Why MAGA spin that this his fraudulent practices were “victimless” is both bullshit, and irrelevant;* Similarities and differences between this scam and Trump’s other fraudulent schemes.Then, paid subscribers get a bigger picture look at where things go from here, and the significance for both the 2024 campaign and even national security. Are Trump’s latest entreaties to Vladimir Putin—on NATO, Ukraine, and the murder of Alexei Navalny—motivated by his renewed desperation for money? And will Democrats in Congress exploit this real risk of compromise the way Republicans exploited falsified allegations against Joe Biden? Will this be a watershed moment, or a(nother) missed political opportunity? Upgrade to find out!Further reading:* Brian encourages Senate Democrats, mainstream news reporters, law-enforcement officials, and Trump resisters to keep a close eye on whether Trump comes up with the money, and chase down the source(s). * Eight years ago, Matt broke down how Trump avoided financial ruin after failing in Atlantic City by ripping off shareholders. * Thirteen years ago Luis Zingales wrote, “Donald Trump’s announcement that he will not run in the Republican presidential primaries after all is great news for the Republican Party and for the country. The only thing more frightening than Trump’s running for president would be Trump’s getting elected president. From a party perspective, while losing an election is bad, winning one with the wrong candidate for the party and for the country is worse.”* David Brooks offers a “keep it simple, stupid” explanation of why Trump’s fraud was fraud, and why fraud is bad.

This week on Politix, Matt and Brian discuss:* The Robert Hur report, and the fire storm the special counsel ignited with his rule-breaking, partisan attack on Biden;* How Biden could in theory alleviate concerns that he’s too old to be both president and candidate simultaneously—and why his advisers haven’t really tried;* The extent to which Biden’s age really is limiting his ability to throw his weight around in the partisan mosh pit, even if it isn’t limiting his ability to govern at all;* Whether polls on this question, and on the question of how well alternate candidates would fare, are useful at all;* The Kamala Harris factor—is her consistently weak polling against Trump freezing a dysfunctional situation in place?* How Biden’s politics of restoring norms and magnanimity has compounded (and in the case of the Hur appointment, created) his old-man woes.Since this is a news-pegged episode about a consequential and unexpected development in the campaign, we’ve made it free to all subscribers. Further reading:* Matt says seeing more of Joe Biden would make his totally ordinary memory flubs seem unremarkable, and would remind Americans of his moderate instincts, but his advisers are worried that his moderate positions will make party activists angry.* Brian demands candor from the party and the Biden campaign about why they think things are going so much worse than they anticipated when they put their strategy in motion. * He also argues that most fears about what would happen if Biden stepped aside in favor of an alternate are misplaced. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politix.fm/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.politix.fmThis week on Politix, Matt and Brian discuss:* How we reached the point where Republicans wrung a bunch of immigration-policy concessions out of Democrats, then reneged on their own deal.* What was actually in the deal and why?* Would the provisions of the bill have actually succeeded at the nominal goal of creating more order and better asylum screening at the border?Then, paid subscribers hear a more open ended conversation and debate over whether the concessions Democrats offered were wise politically and substantively, whether they needed to engage this issue on Republican terms in the first place, and whether the GOP’s turn to sabotage will allow Democrats to seize and hold the center on immigration in a way that lastingly hurts Donald Trump. Plus, Matt gratuitously slags Tracy Chapman, forcing Brian to take a brave stand on behalf of Good Music. Further reading:* Matt argues that bureaucratic obstacles to implementing a working border policy, like ineffective polygraph screening for would-be agents, should be done away with—and would make implementing a border deal before the election very hard.* Brian on how Biden can win the ensuing infowars over GOP border sabotage, but only if he browbeats mainstream news into covering Trump and the GOP’s dirty dealing forthrightly. * The Democrats should fully embrace both halves of the old border-security-for-Republicans/legalization-for-Democrats consensus.

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.politix.fmThis week on Politix, Matt and Brian discuss:* The $83.3 million a New York jury ordered Donald Trump to pay E. Jean Carroll for sexually assaulting then serially defaming her.* The related GOP freakout that America’s most influential person (Taylor Swift) might not like Republicans very much!* Why Democratic Party leaders seem uninterested in pressing their “not led by a rapist” advantage.They also put a pin in the issue of immigration, and the simmering nullification crisis Gov. Greg Abbott (R-TX) is stoking along the U.S.-Mexico border. Then, paid subscribers hear a conversation with Leah Greenberg, cofounder of Indivisible, about whether it’s important to mobilize street protests against Donald Trump before the election (like the recent marches against the German far right), and the extent to which policy activism and policymaking contribute to the demobilization of the resistance. Further reading:* Dara Lind on how the Senate border security bill won’t actually fix the problem Republicans claim to want to fix. * Brian on how the judgment in the Carroll case explains Trump’s desperation to run Nikki Haley out of the GOP primary instead of letting her flame out.* Jonathan Chait on whether the anti-Trump coalition has irretrievably splintered.

Ron DeSantis's failed presidential campaign and the consequences of pandering to base activists. Analyzing how DeSantis fell short of perfecting Trumpism. Speculating on DeSantis's hypothetical performance if Trump had been disqualified. The importance of candidates having a genuine core purpose and being authentic in politics. Exploring the challenges of connecting with voters and the role of charisma in politics.

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.politix.fmThis week on Politix, Matt and Brian discuss:* Donald Trump’s predictable, big (but not actually all that big) victory in Iowa* Why leading Republicans (who know Trump is an electoral liability for the party) are trying to end the primary as quickly as possible, even with a semi-viable alternative who could make it a real race. * Whether the media screwed up by calling the caucuses for Trump minutes after they opened, or whether it marks a return to the ratings and profit-driven mania of their 2016 Trump coverage.Then, paid Politix subscribers get an in-depth look at a report by Jamie Raskin, the top Democrat on the House Oversight Committee, which proves Trump accepted payments from foreign governments (including millions from China, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates) throughout his presidency. Matt and Brian debate:* The political significance of Raskin’s findings.* Why Democratic leaders seem uninterested in flogging or building on the report. * What’s changed between 2006, when Democrats saw political value in exposing Republican corruption, and the Trump era, when they have more often than not downplayed it.

This week on Politix, Matt and Brian discuss:* Was Joe Biden’s January 6 speech a good speech? (No spoilers.)* Was Joe Biden’s January 6 speech good politics? (No spoilers.)* Was Joe Biden’s January 6 speech true? (Spoiler: Yes.)* How the truth of what Biden said affects the question of whether liberals should support Nikki Haley in open-primary states.* Glenn Greenwald’s imputation that Haley is worse than Trump, and only Democratic party hacks would prefer her to him.Plus, a Politix first: Twitter’s Will Stancil joins Matt and Brian as the show’s inaugural guest to discuss and debate the role of vibes in politics, and what if anything liberals, progressives, and Democrats can do to improve public opinion given the fractious nature of the center-left coalition. Further reading:* Brian on Biden’s pivotal speech.* Matt on how Trump will make material conditions (and thus maybe vibes?) worse.* Will on the social layer of politics (vibes). This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politix.fm/subscribe

The podcast discusses the state of the 2024 election, Biden's declining popularity, candidates' failure to address Trump's shortcomings, making a case against Trump, effective messaging, Nikki Haley's Civil War controversy, and New Year's resolutions and promises.

Politix will be a weekly podcast about the 2024 election hosted by Brian Beutler of Off Message and Matthew Yglesias of Slow Boring. We'll bring you good-faith disagreement, points of consensus, brilliant guests, and do our best to maintain a consistent focus on what's really at stake in November. Subscribe for new episodes each Wednesday. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politix.fm/subscribe