

Moody’s Talks – The Big Picture
Sarah Carlson, William Foster, Colin Ellis
On Moody’s Talks – The Big Picture, hosts Sarah Carlson, William Foster and Colin Ellis bring you insights from Moody’s analysts around the world on hot topics across fixed-income markets. Each episode will illuminate Moody’s thinking on the latest credit and economic developments, ranging from the continued impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, to technological disruption, political shifts and climate change. Please join us as we explore what’s on the horizon for the global credit landscape.
Episodes
Mentioned books

Feb 26, 2024 • 12min
Refinancing needs and valuation gaps increase risks for some European leveraged finance companies
Around €300 billion of European spec-grade corporate debt needs refinancing by 2026, but uncertain market access, slower growth and higher interest rates increase risks for some lower rated entities. Speaker: Martin Hallmark, Senior Vice President-CFG at Moody's Investors ServiceHost: Colin Ellis, MD-Global Credit Strategist at Moody’s Investors Service Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Feb 12, 2024 • 14min
Unraveling the recent sovereign default wave
Guests William Foster and David Rogovic discuss the recent wave of sovereign defaults, exploring the reasons behind the defaults and the challenges faced in debt restructuring. They analyze the causes and consequences of the defaults, regional variations in debt burdens, and the absence of a global framework for debt restructuring. The podcast also addresses coordination problems in sovereign debt and the impact of defaults on global investment, emphasizing the need for countries to establish robust frameworks and policies to instill investor confidence.

Jan 29, 2024 • 17min
Elections heighten risks for the green investment boom
Strong policies, innovation and falling costs are set to propel green capital spending this year. However, a busy election calendar and slowing economic growth could temper that momentum.Speaker: Rahul Ghosh, MD-Sustainable Finance at Moody's Investors ServiceHost: Colin Ellis, MD-Global Credit Strategist at Moody’s Investors Service Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Dec 15, 2023 • 16min
Binance fine is a sign of tougher crypto market scrutiny
A $4 billion fine for the cryptocurrency exchange Binance indicates greater regulatory focus that could bring more security and confidence to the crypto sector.Speaker: Cristiano Ventricelli, VP-Senior Analyst/DFDA at Moody's Investors ServiceHost: Colin Ellis, MD-Global Credit Strategist at Moody’s Investors Service Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Dec 7, 2023 • 12min
China's negative outlook explained
In this episode of the Big Picture podcast, we delve into the factors underpinning our recent decision to change the outlook on the Chinese sovereign rating to negative.Speaker: Gene Fang, Associate Managing Director - Sovereign Risk Group at Moody's Investors ServiceHost: Colin Ellis, MD-Global Credit Strategist at Moody’s Investors Service Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Nov 29, 2023 • 16min
Israel-Hamas conflict: scenarios and effects
The conflict's credit effects should be limited to Israeli issuers, but an escalation that disrupts global energy and financial markets would widen the scope significantly.Speakers: Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior VP-Sovereign Risk at Moody's Investors Service; Laura Perez, Associate MD-Credit Strategy at Moody's Investors ServiceHost: William Foster, Senior Vice President at Moody’s Investors Service Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Nov 20, 2023 • 13min
Unpacking our negative outlook on the US sovereign rating
In this episode of the Big Picture podcast, we delve into the reasons behind our outlook change, factors supporting the Aaa rating and opportunities to slow a decline in fiscal strength.Speaker: William Foster, Senior Vice President at Moody’s Investors ServiceHost: Colin Ellis, MD-Global Credit Strategist at Moody’s Investors Service Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Nov 14, 2023 • 16min
Higher-for-longer rates cloud economic and credit outlook for 2024
In this episode of the Big Picture podcast, we discuss our forecasts for G20 economic growth and inflation next year, and what this means for companies, lenders and governments.Speakers: Elena Duggar, MD-Credit Strategy; Madhavi Bokil, Senior VP-Credit StrategyHost: Sarah Carlson, Senior VP-SovereignRelated Research:Global Macro Outlook 2024-25: G-20 growth dynamics diverge amid ongoing global slowdown Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Nov 6, 2023 • 11min
The tide is turning in global shipping
In this episode of the Big Picture podcast, we discuss what is driving the recent fall in freight rates and what this could mean for the sector’s efforts to decarbonize and the global economy.Guests: Daniel Harlid, VP-Senior Credit Officer within the Corporate Finance Group at Moody’s Investors ServiceHost: Colin Ellis, MD-Global Credit Strategist at Moody’s Investors Service Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Oct 16, 2023 • 29min
Some sovereigns’ debt-reduction efforts will face mounting obstacles
Our forecasts suggest a decline in debt/GDP ratios for around 80 of the 140 sovereigns we rate next year. However, social and environmental demands, coupled with higher-for-longer interest rates, pose larger fiscal challenges for some.Guests: Marie Diron, MD – Global Sovereign Risk, and Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President at Moody’s Investors ServiceHost: William Foster, Senior Vice President at Moody’s Investors Service Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.


