Forward Guidance
Blockworks
The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Felix Jauvin interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision.Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_incFollow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ForwardGuidanceBWFollow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidanceForward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx
Episodes
Mentioned books
May 31, 2024 • 1h 16min
Contrarian Jason Shapiro: Bearish on Industrial Metals, Neutral on Stocks and Bullish on Bonds (for now)
Contrarian analyst Jason Shapiro discusses being bearish on industrial metals, neutral on stocks, and bullish on bonds. Topics include warning signs in the market, copper as a popular trade, concerns about central banks, and the impact of fiscal deficits. Shapiro shares insights on Nvidia, challenges in trading off a macro view, and the bond market positioning. He also emphasizes caution in investing strategies, skepticism towards Chinese stocks, and the importance of market breadth analysis.
May 30, 2024 • 1h 15min
Jack Ryan on The Housing Cartel That's Stifling The American Economy
Author Jack Ryan exposes the monopoly-like behavior of real estate institutions in the US, questioning fixed 5.5% fees. Discussion on MLS, Zillow's impact, Rex Homes, and potential market responses to fee changes. Lawsuit against Zillow and NAR for antitrust issues. Analysis of housing market, interest rates, and economy impact of fee reductions.
May 30, 2024 • 46min
In This Economy? | Kyla Scanlon
Author Kyla Scanlon discusses economic challenges in 'In This Economy?' podcast. Topics include U.S. housing crisis, wealth inequality, political polarization, origin of money, and MMT theory. Scanlon explores elder care costs, consumer spending trends, and dispels economic misconceptions.
May 23, 2024 • 1h 54min
James Fishback: Inside The “Head Of Macro” Dispute That Has Captivated The Hedge Fund World
James Fishback discusses his dispute with Greenlight Capital, emphasizing his role in macro returns. The podcast delves into job roles, running macro investing, and defining responsibilities. It also explores the dynamics of decision-making in hedge funds and the importance of truth and transparency in a competitive environment.
21 snips
May 20, 2024 • 1h 35min
Mel Mattison: Asset Bubble Crescendo Until 2027 Collapse When U.S. Treasury Market Implodes
Financial expert and author Mel Mattison discusses the looming collapse of the US treasury market in 2027 due to escalating debt levels. Topics include historical debt dynamics, gold prices, global sovereign debt bubble, Social Security challenges, inflation impacts on stocks and gold reserves, and a futuristic financial thriller set in 2027 involving quantum computing and stock market control.
11 snips
May 16, 2024 • 1h 19min
Nick Givanovic: Treasury Bonds Are “Historically Unattractive” To Leveraged Investors
Nick Givanovic discusses the unattractiveness of Treasury bonds for leveraged investors, favoring stocks. Topics include bond auction failures, U.S. government borrowing, yield curve trades, inflation volatility, and bullish outlook on stocks over bonds.
5 snips
May 14, 2024 • 1h 11min
Why The Dollar Will Be The “Last Man Standing” Of Fiat Currencies | Keith Dicker
Financial expert Keith Dicker discusses the strength of the US dollar, the risks in the bond market, and the management of currencies by central banks. He shares insights on the US trade and fiscal deficits, the Chinese Yuan, and his view on the stock market. Dicker also analyzes the Euro, the Yen, and the US Dollar Index, highlighting structural issues in Europe post-2008 crisis.
7 snips
May 9, 2024 • 1h 2min
Alfonso Peccatiello: The Fed Put Is Back, Bull Steepener Base Case
Financial analyst Alfonso Peccatiello discusses the Fed Put and Bull Steepener Base Case. Topics include impact of higher interest rates, private debt, government deficits, interest rate sensitivity, US recession risk, macro carry strategies, and trading frameworks in macro investing.
21 snips
May 6, 2024 • 57min
Andy Constan: The Bond Market Will Take The Stock Market Down With It
Andy Constan, bond market expert, discusses being bearish on stocks and bonds but bullish on two-year notes. Topics include recession odds, Treasury market dynamics, stock-bond correlation, Fed's actions, and gold price implications.
23 snips
May 2, 2024 • 1h 25min
Investing For A Recession-Free Future | Vincent Deluard on Secularly-High Inflation, China’s Currency Crisis, and The Long-Term Debt Cycle
Financial strategist and author Vincent Deluard discusses investing in a recession-free future, China's currency crisis, long-term debt cycle, healthcare inflation, and strategies for navigating high inflation. Insights on asset allocation, the Fed, and the Japanese Yen provide a holistic view on preparing for a secure financial future.
