Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg
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May 12, 2020 • 31min

Surveillance: We're Barreling Towards A Depression, Sahm Says

Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management Chairman, Portfolio Manager & CEO, says the disturbance caused by the virus has ratcheted up the need to use and invest in technology. Marvin Loh, State Street Senior Global Market Strategist, says Northern Asia appears more favorable than U.S. stocks for investors right now. Claudia Sahm, Washington Center for Equitable Growth Director of Macroeconomic Policy and Former Fed Economist, says we're falling into a deflationary spiral and barreling towards a depression. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, talks about his new book, "The World: A Brief Introduction," and navigating the biggest challenges coming in the 21st century. Michelle Patch, Johns Hopkins University School of Nursing Assistant Professor, says there has been an improvement in availability of ventilators for COVID-19 patients.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 11, 2020 • 40min

Surveillance: Economic Shock With Shilling

Joe Quinlan, Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank Head of CIO Market Strategy, says technology and health care will lead the recovery from the pandemic. Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors CEO, explains why he thinks gold deserves increased allocation in portfolios. Rep. Trey Hollingsworth, U.S. Representative for Indiana's 9th congressional district, says there is not enough money in Washington, D.C. to save businesses in the long term., Michelle Meyer, Bank of America Securities Head of U.S. Economics, says the unemployment rate will rise, but the month of April was the worst in terms of job destruction. Gary Shilling, A. Gary Shilling & Co. President and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, thinks this will be the greatest shock to the world's economy since World War II. Joshua Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean for Public Health Practice and Community Engagement, says opening retail requires more than masks and gloves.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 8, 2020 • 45min

Surveillance: Expect Growth in 2nd Half, Kudlow Says

Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says the disconnect between wages and prices could get bigger when the economy opens back up. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, says that out of the 30 million jobless claims filed, it is reasonable to expect about 10-12 million jobs to return by the end of the year. Jeff Rosenberg, Senior Portfolio Manager on BlackRock's Systematic Fixed Income Team, says the path of the recovery will be informed by how many temporary layoffs become permanent. Lawrence Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, expects a significant bounce back in growth in the second half of the year. Dr. Andrew Pekosz, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Professor and Virologist, says things have been moving forward at light speed when it comes to vaccine testing.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 7, 2020 • 39min

Surveillance: Expect Two-Quarter Recession, Roubini Says

Nouriel Roubini, NYU Stern School of Business Professor & NourielToday.com Host, expects a two-quarter recession from the coronavirus crisis. Andrew Bailey, Bank of England Governor, says the BOE is not ruling out any further measures, after rates remained unchanged. Marcus Ashworth, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, breaks down the BOE decision. Ben Laidler, Tower Hudson Research CEO, says the growth of the labor market after reopening will be reasonably slow. David Page, AXA Investment Managers Head of Macro Research, expects U.S. unemployment to peak in May. Jason Farley, Johns Hopkins University Professor of Nursing, explains how genetics could affect a person's response to COVID-19.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 6, 2020 • 29min

Surveillance: The Value of Cash With Bevan

James Bevan, CCLA Chief Investment Officer, says he's holding cash because he's worried about the disconnect between fundamentals and the markets. Joyce Chang, JPMorgan Chair of Global Research, says the Fed has taken on the role of the central banker to the world to avert a systemic shock to the global financial markets. Michael Feroli, JPMorgan Chief US Economist, explains why he thinks unemployment is closer to 20% and might be underrepresented because of the way the data is collected. Gene Sperling, Former Director of the National Economic Council talks about his new book "Economic Dignity." Michelle Patch, Johns Hopkins School of Nursing Assistant Professor speaks to the complications of Covid-19.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 6, 2020 • 33min

Surveillance: Equities are Overpriced, Normand Says

David Bailin, Citi Private Bank Chief Investment Officer, says reopening the U.S. economy focuses on rebuilding supply lines and consumer demand. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, says the post-pandemic recovery will include re-imagining the workplace and the education system. John Normand, JPMorgan Head of Cross Asset Fundamental Strategy, says equities are overpriced. Howard Davies, RBS Chairman, says the coronavirus crisis will accelerate the trend towards remote banking and alter the competitive environment. Lauren Sauer, Johns Hopkins University Assistant Professor of Emergency Medicine, discusses concerns related to the re-opening of the U.S. economy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 4, 2020 • 35min

Surveillance: Fed's Balancing Act With Hornbach

Matt Hornbach, Morgan Stanley Global Head of Macro Strategy, says bond markets are caught between a fiscal rock and a QE hard place. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says she sees the risk of another dip towards EUR/USD 1.08 in the coming weeks. Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, says we are looking at several weeks of uncertainty in regards to when the economy will re-open. Bill Smead, CIO of Smead capital Management recaps Airline stocks in sharp decline as Warren Buffett Exits Positions. Josh Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean for Public Health Practice and Community Engagement discusses the the coronavirus curve in the U.S.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 1, 2020 • 31min

Surveillance: Apple's Disappointing Q2 With Munster

Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Managing Partner & Analyst, says Apple was the most at-risk large U.S. tech company for reporting a disappointing quarter due to the company’s hardware businesses and exposure to China. Mohamed Younis, Gallup Editor-in Chief, says most Americans are putting their trust in local officials to get them out of the economic hole caused by the coronavirus pandemic. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, explains how the nature of the U.S.-China trade dispute will change because of the coronavirus outbreak. Michael Gapen, Barclays Chief U.S. Economist, says the U.S. unemployment rate may rise as high as 19% in April and remain elevated for several years. Dr. Andrew Pekosz, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, says he has a lot of hope for antibody testing.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Apr 30, 2020 • 33min

Surveillance: Unprecedented GDP Drop With Blanchflower

Dan Katzive, BNP Paribas Head of FX Strategy for North America, says the euro is cheap against the dollar and far from its long-term equilibrium level of around $1.30. Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth College Economist and former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, says this may be the worst global economic decline he has ever seen. Jason Farley, John Hopkins University Nursing Professor, says we need to speed up our testing capacity. Krish Sankar, Cowen Senior Research Analyst, says the stability of Apple's balance sheet has been a major selling point for many of its shareholders. Craig Moffett, Moffettnathanson Founding Partner & Senior Research Analyst recaps tech and media dataSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Apr 29, 2020 • 34min

Surveillance: The Fed's Toolbox With Kroszner

Eric Robertsen, Standard Chartered Bank Global Head of Research, says the Fed's balance sheet can go wider, but does not expect any major surprises at this point. Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago Professor & Former Fed Governor, discusses how the Fed may unwind its balance sheet. Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, expects second quarter U.S. GDP numbers to be even worse than first quarter ones. Lauren Sauer, Johns Hopkins University Assistant Professor of Emergency Medicine, says coronavirus testing still has a long way to go. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman and Host of Leadership Live, discusses his interview with Cargill CEO Dave MacLennan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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