Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg
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May 27, 2020 • 31min

Surveillance: Deflation A Bigger Concern, Says Jones

Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equities and Derivatices Strategist, says I am not entirely sold on the idea that we have entered a bull market. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says we have to get through deflation before we worry about inflation. Marty Walsh, Mayor of Boston, says the reopening process should be done state-by state, not federally. Leland Miller, China Beige Book CEO, says sanctions are looming over Hong Kong.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 26, 2020 • 37min

Surveillance: Jobless Aid With Scalia

Mona Mahajan, Allianz Global Investors, discusses the importance of being selective when investing in a risk/reward industry like the airline sector. Labor Secretary Eugene Scalia discusses whether the $600 unemployment supplement should be extended when the program expires in July. Dan Tarullo, Former Federal Reserve Governor, says income support for the nation's unemployed needs to be the highest priority right now. Nelson Griggs, Nasdaq Stock Exchange President and Nasdaq's Corporate Services Business EVP, says there is a chance of a healthy IPO sector as markets look to recovery. Neysa Ernst, Johns Hopkins Hospital Department of Medicine Nurse Manager, says Covid-19 was a big wake up call about how limited ICU nursing resources are.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 22, 2020 • 34min

Surveillance: Market FOMO With Levkovich

Tobias Levkovich, Citi Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says FOMU (Fear of Meaningfully Underperforming), not FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), has played a role in the recent rally. Yvonne Man, Bloomberg Markets Asia Anchor, says the stage is set for another repeat of protests in Hong Kong. Priya Misra TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says the Fed has no option but to go into yield curve control. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says American consumers will remain hesitant because of the fear of contagion, regardless of whether the economy is open or not. Andrew Pekosz, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Professor and Virologist, discusses the challenges countries in the southern hemisphere are facing in controlling the coronavirus outbreak.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 21, 2020 • 33min

Surveillance: Digitization Of The Economy With Auth

Sebastien Galy, Nordea Asset Management Senior Macro Strategist, says negative rates are possible in the U.S. and could have a powerful impact on the dollar. Steve Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities Chief U.S. Economist, says the ability to get the labor market back to where it was will take several years. Steve Auth, Federated Hermes CIO of Equities, believes there will be a manufacturing renaissance once COVID-19 has successfully been combated. Jason Farley, Johns Hopkins University Professor of Nursing, says there are "glimmers of hope" in the effort to stabilize the spread of Covid-19.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 20, 2020 • 36min

Surveillance: Negative Rates In U.S. With Chang

Joyce Chang, JPMorgan Chair of Global Research, says she could see negative yields happening in the U.S., but doesn't see Fed policy going below zero. Matthew Harrison, Morgan Stanley Head of Biotechnology Research, says the level of antibodies that are protective for people with Covid-19 is still unknown. Megan Greene, Harvard Kennedy Senior Fellow, says the coronavirus pandemic has exposed a lot of broken aspects of the United States. Lauren Sauer, Johns Hopkins University Assistant Professor of Emergency Medicine, says we have to continue to support the W.H.O. and their role in pandemic preparedness and response. Ron Temple, Lazard Asset Management Co-Head of Multi-Asset and Head of U.S. Equity, says there needs to be more focus on the looming retirement crisis.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 19, 2020 • 35min

Surveillance: BOFA's Moynihan on Economic Recovery

Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research, says there is far too much optimism in oil markets and sees gold heading towards $1,800/oz near term. Jim O'Sullivan, TD Securities Chief U.S. Macro Strategist, expects most of the major job losses to be behind us once we get through May. Brian Moynihan, Bank of America Chairman and CEO, says the economy is unlikely to experience a recovery until the end of next year. Neysa Ernst, Johns Hopkins Hospital Department of Medicine Nurse Manager, stresses why it is important to continue the use of masks and social distancing in order to keep ahead of the curve. Campbell Harvey, Duke Finance Professor, says the policy response to COVID-19 pandemic has been a black swan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 18, 2020 • 35min

Surveillance: Market Optimism with Shalett

Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Chief Investment Officer, says the fear trade has been holding the U.S. dollar up in the near term. Ian Sheperdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Founder & Chief Economist, says markets are expecting further aid from the U.S. government. Peter Hayes, Head of BlackRock's Municipal Bonds Group, says states and cities are facing a liquidity issue rather than a solvency issue. Freya Beamish, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Asia Economist, says the recovery in China is likely to underperform in the second half of the year. Joshua Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean for Public Health Practice and Community Engagement, says there are a lot of positive signs that there is evidence of immunity, but a case hasn't been proven yet.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 15, 2020 • 31min

Surveillance: Accurate Virus Testing With Pekosz

Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Capital Partner Co-CIO & Senior Portfolio Manager, says the divergence between equity markets and credit is as large as it has been since the financial crisis. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, says the Fed will try to employ yield curve control once it has exhausted other options. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief U.S. Economist, says consumer demand will vary from sector to sector during an uncertain recovery phase for the economy. Andrew Pekosz, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Professor and Virologist, says we need to start getting ahead of the virus through accurate testing.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 14, 2020 • 36min

Surveillance: Negative Rates With Kroszner

Ebrahim Rahbari, Citi Global Head of FX Analysis, doesn't expect the economy to come out of recession until 2022. George Magnus, University of Oxford Research Associate at the China Centre, says the frosty relationship between the United States and China is chipping away their economic interdependence. Julia Coronado, Macroeconomic Policy President and Founder, says the current U.S. economic shutdown will be longer than anticipated. Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago Professor & Former Fed Governor, says it would take extreme circumstances such as significant deflation for the Fed to consider negative rates.Jason Farley, Johns Hopkins University Professor of Nursing, discusses what we know about the likelihood of becoming reinfected with Covid-19.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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May 13, 2020 • 36min

Surveillance: V-Shaped Recovery Is Not Fantasy, Keller Says

Jack Ablin, Cresset Wealth Advisors Chief Investment Officer & Founding Partner, says equity investors are currently looking at their portfolios like bond investors. Christian Keller, Barclays Head of Economics Research, explains why the prospect of a V-shaped recovery is not a fantasy. Priya Misra TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says the market is not pricing in rate hikes until 2024. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, Carlyle Group Advisor & Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO, discusses the essential steps to prevent history from repeating itself post-pandemic. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman and Host of Leadership Live, discusses his interview with Nasdaq CEO Adena Friedman. Lauren Sauer, Johns Hopkins University Assistant Professor of Emergency Medicine, says Dr. Fauci’s path to reopening is the one to follow.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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