

The Diff
Byrne Hobart
The Diff is a newsletter exploring the technologies, companies, and trends that are making the future high-variance. Posts range from in-depth company profiles, applied financial theory, strategy breakdowns and macroeconomics.
Episodes
Mentioned books

10 snips
Aug 18, 2025 • 8min
Corporate Populism
Explore the rising power of retail investors and how they're reshaping corporate strategies amid market volatility. Discover the contrasting outlooks of large and small private equity firms as they navigate credit spreads. Dive into the intricacies of US-EU trade negotiations and the challenges non-tariff barriers pose for American tech firms. Plus, learn how technology adoption, particularly AI, is becoming a double-edged sword for CEOs, possibly leading to increased executive turnover.

21 snips
Aug 11, 2025 • 14min
Concentrate
Dive into the world of investment strategies where diversification meets AI innovation. Explore the risks and rewards of leveraged ETFs and the roles of holding companies. Uncover the evolving dynamics of private equity shaped by U.S.-China relations. Delve into economic policies, tariffs, and their impact on technology. Finally, examine the debate of stock buybacks versus dividends and their implications for long-term corporate stability. Each topic adds a layer to the intricate tapestry of today's financial landscape.

Aug 4, 2025 • 15min
What Would the Aftermath of the AI Bust Look Like?
What happens if AI investments take a nosedive? Explore parallels with historical financial bubbles and their effects on productivity and labor. The discussion also dives into how AI affects economic reputation, where misinformation can damage credibility. Plus, discover the rise of young founders navigating the tech landscape amid complex market shifts, including the dynamic role of banks and investment strategies. Packed with insights on technology and economics, the talk uncovers the future of innovation and opportunity.

Jul 28, 2025 • 15min
Strip-Mining the Maybesphere
This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week.
(00:00) - Strip-Mining the Maybesphere
(09:28) - Regulatory Clarity
(10:15) - Eurobonds
(11:17) - Just-In-Time
(11:59) - Ratings
(13:14) - The Crypto Credit Cycle

Jul 21, 2025 • 13min
The Finance of Alchemy
This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week.
(00:00) - The Finance of Alchemy
(08:01) - SPACs, Back
(08:46) - Sanctions and Supply Chains
(09:17) - AI Filtering
(10:13) - Measurement Errors
(11:19) - Data Labeling

Jul 14, 2025 • 18min
Compensation as Game Design
This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week.
(00:00) - Compensation as Game Design
(13:00) - More on Talent
(14:21) - Financial Engineering
(15:06) - Where We Are in the Cycle
(15:46) - Product/Service Complementarity
(16:41) - The Missing Panic

Jul 7, 2025 • 15min
What We'll Lose With AI
The discussion dives into how AI is transforming writing skills and human interaction, especially in education. It highlights the evolving norms of privacy and labor as advanced technologies reshape consumer behavior. The podcast also tackles the economic dynamics between major brands and platforms like Amazon, revealing political implications. Additionally, it explores the potential impact of new political movements on existing power structures, while offering a quirky take on the snack food industry post-weight-loss trends.

Jun 30, 2025 • 16min
In Defense of the Ad Economy
Dive into the fascinating world of the ad economy, exploring how user behavior shapes revenue and advertising success. Discover the complex dynamics of attention economics and labor markets, revealing the influence of cognitive biases. Delve into the GPU market, where collateral transforms into valuable assets. Unpack the recent trade discussions between the U.S. and Canada concerning digital services taxes, and consider the competitive advantages tech giants hold in AI and infrastructure. It's an insightful journey through modern monetization models!

Jun 23, 2025 • 12min
Gonzo Startups
This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week.
(00:00) - Gonzo Startups
(07:01) - Don't Bet on a Third World War
(08:11) - Perplexity
(08:39) - Equity Compensation
(09:36) - Hiring
(10:36) - LLM SEO!

Jun 16, 2025 • 10min
What Happened to Working Your Way Up from the Mailroom?
This is an audio version of the free newsletter. Read the newsletter at thediff.co, and subscribe for an additional 3 posts (and podcasts!) per week.
(00:00) - Reasoning Models Don't Really Reason, But It's Fine: Computers Don't Really Think in 1s and 0s, Either
(05:51) - Guidance
(06:21) - Correlated Outages
(06:57) - Attrition
(07:52) - Policy Impact
(08:35) - Antitrust


