Blind Squirrel Macro - The Pod
The Blind Squirrel
Macro for Civilians. Sharing successes and failures in the 30-year hunt for acorns in the markets. Finance observations are hit and miss. www.blindsquirrelmacro.com
Episodes
Mentioned books
May 27, 2024 • 17min
Pod: They think it's all over!
The full Monday note can be found at www.blindsquirrelmacro.comThe Monday Note:Show Note Visuals:SpotGamma note the vanna and charm effects of the index options market.Dispersion explainer: These days everyone is a seller of volatility and the dispersion trade (long single stock volatility, short index volatility - explainer here) continues to be crowded.David Dredge’s excellent April Risk Update - “Wittgenstein’s Ruler” elegantly points out some long-term patterns from the past, highlighting how extreme compression in FX vols often acts as a harbinger for major (unforeseen) risk events. With hindsight it all looks so obvious!es.If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
May 20, 2024 • 15min
Pod: Crop Gear! (Oh, Deere!)
The Monday Note:Show Note Visuals:Agriculture’s share of developed economies has shrunk dramatically over that period.If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
May 13, 2024 • 22min
Pod: Trending. The 🐿️ and the Turtle.
The Monday Note:Show Note Visuals:If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
May 7, 2024 • 16min
Pod: Losing My Religion
The Monday Note:The Visuals:If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
Apr 29, 2024 • 23min
Pod: Wheat Kings
The Monday Note:The Visuals:The 3 tables below are taken from the OECD and UN FAO’s Agricultural Outlook 2023-2032:‘The Hip’If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
Apr 22, 2024 • 15min
Pod: Dead Generals out, Grandpa's defensives in?
If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
Apr 1, 2024 • 14min
Pod: April Fool or a Hamlet Moment
If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
Mar 25, 2024 • 13min
Pod: An evening with Guenther
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
Mar 18, 2024 • 20min
Pod: Big in Japan
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
Mar 11, 2024 • 19min
Pod: Who dares fade 'The Highlander Effect'?
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
