Blind Squirrel Macro - The Pod
Macro for Civilians. Sharing successes and failures in the 30-year hunt for acorns in the markets. Finance observations are hit and miss. www.blindsquirrelmacro.com
Latest episodes
Jun 25, 2024 • 14min
Pod: Red Markets in Red Wine
The full Monday note can always be found at www.blindsquirrelmacro.comIf you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
Jun 18, 2024 • 15min
Pod: Career Risk and Sirens' Songs
The full Monday note can always be found at www.blindsquirrelmacro.comIf you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
Jun 10, 2024 • 18min
Pod: It 'AI'-n't Necessarily So!
The full Monday note can be found at www.blindsquirrelmacro.comThe Monday Note:Show Note Visuals:Remember in March when the obituaries were being written for Alphabet GOOG 0.00%↑ after the botched launch of their ‘woke’ chatbot, Gemini? So does the 🐿️! 😉Squirrel Out!If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
Jun 3, 2024 • 24min
Pod: Lurking in the Shadows
The full Monday note can be found at www.blindsquirrelmacro.comThe Monday Note:Show Note Visuals:If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
May 27, 2024 • 17min
Pod: They think it's all over!
The full Monday note can be found at www.blindsquirrelmacro.comThe Monday Note:Show Note Visuals:SpotGamma note the vanna and charm effects of the index options market.Dispersion explainer: These days everyone is a seller of volatility and the dispersion trade (long single stock volatility, short index volatility - explainer here) continues to be crowded.David Dredge’s excellent April Risk Update - “Wittgenstein’s Ruler” elegantly points out some long-term patterns from the past, highlighting how extreme compression in FX vols often acts as a harbinger for major (unforeseen) risk events. With hindsight it all looks so obvious!es.If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
May 20, 2024 • 15min
Pod: Crop Gear! (Oh, Deere!)
The Monday Note:Show Note Visuals:Agriculture’s share of developed economies has shrunk dramatically over that period.If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
May 13, 2024 • 22min
Pod: Trending. The 🐿️ and the Turtle.
The Monday Note:Show Note Visuals:If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
May 7, 2024 • 16min
Pod: Losing My Religion
The Monday Note:The Visuals:If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
Apr 29, 2024 • 23min
Pod: Wheat Kings
The Monday Note:The Visuals:The 3 tables below are taken from the OECD and UN FAO’s Agricultural Outlook 2023-2032:‘The Hip’If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
Apr 22, 2024 • 15min
Pod: Dead Generals out, Grandpa's defensives in?
If you act on anything provided in this newsletter, you agree to the terms in this disclaimer. Everything in this newsletter is for educational and entertainment purposes only and NOT investment advice. Nothing in this newsletter is an offer to sell or to buy any security. The author is not responsible for any financial loss you may incur by acting on any information provided in this newsletter. Before making any investment decisions, talk to a financial advisor. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/subscribe
