Odds on Open

Ethan Kho
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Nov 20, 2025 • 1h 11min

Ex–Goldman and DRW Trader on Trading Before Algorithms Took Over

John Knorring spent over a decade on the Goldman Sachs trading floor, leading natural gas trading through the 2000s—a period defined by trading in a financial crisis, Hurricane-driven volatility, the Amaranth blow-up analysis, and trading during 2008 when bank desks had to price massive option books overnight. He explains how bank trading desks, pit traders, handwritten tickets, and early prop trading shaped risk management in trading, how hedge fund risk systems evolved under stress, and why trading psychology mattered in fast-moving energy commodities trading.John then breaks down the transition to electronic markets, the rise of algorithmic trading, and how the broader electronic trading evolution compressed spreads but expanded opportunity for strong discretionary trading strategies. He contrasts Goldman’s flow-driven environment with DRW trading strategies, explains why some investment strategy decisions still require human judgment in regime shifts, and shows how his commodities background led to building Green Tiger Markets—a new platform transforming the Philippines energy market.We also discuss...Hedge fund trading on early bank trading desksHurricanes, volatility spikes, and the Amaranth blow-upPricing massive books during financial crisis tradingOpen-outcry pits, voice execution, and price discoveryHow Goldman built risk systems for huge positionsFundamentals of natural gas trading and energy marketsStorage cycles, weather models, and pipeline flow dataHow paradigm shifts shape trading psychologyEvolution of algorithmic trading and market microstructureWhen bid-ask compression increased trader P&LWhy discretionary traders lost edge to commodity algosLessons from discretionary vs systematic trading careersThe path from Goldman to DRW prop tradingBuilding Green Tiger Markets for PH electricity hedgingHow electricity forward markets unlock investment in emerging economies
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Nov 11, 2025 • 44min

Ex-AIA Quant Director: Every Hedge Fund That Fails Makes THIS Mistake

How do you start a hedge fund—and where should you launch it? Daniel Xystus has done both. From Los Angeles quant to Chicago portfolio manager to CIO in Hong Kong and the Middle East, Daniel now helps new hedge fund managers navigate fund setup, regulation, and operations. We break down what it really takes to launch a hedge fund—choosing your fund domicile, building professional infrastructure, and avoiding the operational mistakes that quietly kill most funds. Daniel explains how fund structures like Cayman, UCITS, and Singapore’s VCC differ, and why getting operations, compliance, and risk management right often matters more than alpha generation itself.We also explore how global macro and quantitative trading strategies adapt across regions—from Asia ex-Japan markets to Dubai and Abu Dhabi investment funds. Daniel breaks down how Asia hedge funds deal with high shorting costs, liquidity issues, and regulatory complexity, and why Middle East family offices are emerging as powerful allocators. From Hong Kong’s finance hub to the rising Singapore hedge fund industry, Daniel shares lessons from running billion-dollar books and advising allocators worldwide—and what aspiring quants should understand about risk, execution, and building something durable in global markets.We also discuss...Why most hedge funds fail because of operational issues, not bad tradesHow to pick the right hedge fund domicile for your investorsWhat to know about hedge fund regulations and compliance when launching a fundCommon hedge fund mistakes made by first-time managersHow to evaluate fund administration, legal structure, and prime broker supportThe real difference between long-only, market-neutral, and global macro investingHow liquidity, FX exposure, and regional risk shape Asia ex-Japan strategiesWhy Middle East family offices are allocating more to alternative investmentsHow quant funds integrate portfolio construction, risk models, and execution systemsBuilding quantitative trading strategies that survive real-world transaction costsThe role of backtesting strategies in validating hedge fund modelsWhat global allocators look for before investing in Asia hedge fundsThe rise of the Dubai finance hub and Singapore hedge fund industryHow Hong Kong’s finance hub is evolving post-COVIDCultural and regulatory differences between running funds in the U.S., Asia, and the Middle EastLessons from Daniel’s transition from astrophysics to finance and global fund management00:00 Intro & special request01:49 How to start a hedge fund02:49 Why hedge funds fail operations and structure04:29 Common hedge fund mistakes new managers make05:49 Hedge fund operations and regulation explained07:19 Asia hedge funds shorting costs and liquidity08:49 Quantitative trading strategies and backtesting systems10:19 Choosing your fund domicile Cayman vs VCC12:19 Hedge fund structure explained for allocators13:49 Launching a fund in Asia ex-Japan markets15:29 Portfolio construction and risk management insights17:19 Building an Asia-focused long short strategy18:49 Emerging markets liquidity Philippines case study20:49 From astrophysics to quant hedge fund career23:19 Running billion-dollar portfolios across global markets24:49 Global macro investing in Asia and MENA26:49 Inside Hong Kong’s post-COVID finance hub28:49 Dubai and Abu Dhabi investment fund growth31:19 Middle East family offices and capital flows33:19 Comparing hedge fund regulation across regions34:49 Dubai and Abu Dhabi as finance centers36:49 Cost of living and taxes for quants38:49 Best cities for hedge fund opportunity40:19 Quant trading lessons on risk and psychology42:49 Closing thoughts building global hedge funds
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Nov 10, 2025 • 1h 2min

Partners at Versor Reveal Their Quant Strategies Managing $1.4 Billion

How do top quantitative trading firms use generative AI?  @versorinvestments , a $1.4B[1] quantitative investment boutique in the asset management industry, reveals how human ingenuity drives its AI-powered investment research and machine learning in finance pipeline. Partners DeWayne Louis and Nishant Gurnani explain how they combine supervised machine learning, natural language processing, and alternative data—from credit card receipts to job postings—to generate investment insights and forecast returns across global equity markets. We discuss why strong quant trading strategies start with clean data, how to avoid data-mining traps, and why top quantitative researchers think like market scientists, not model-builders.We dive into Versor’s flagship hedge fund strategies, from its quant merger arbitrage framework that predicts competing bids to its global equities tactical trading (GETT) strategy capturing dislocations in global equity markets. Nishant and DeWayne unpack what “positive convexity” means in practice, how to design market-neutral quant trading strategies uncorrelated to CTAs, and how Versor’s 30-year research lineage from Investcorp reflects true capital markets innovation. They share lessons on quant research culture, hiring IIT-trained talent, and how disciplined portfolio construction and human-guided AI define the next generation of machine learning in finance and algorithmic trading.We also discuss...How alternative data investing drives alpha in the modern AI quant hedge fund ecosystemBuilding models for event-driven investing strategies and predicting competing bids in merger arbitrage hedge funds – read more here.How Versor’s managed futures strategy achieves diversification and positive convexity investment performanceIdentifying global dislocations through global equity index futures trading and relative value signalsConstructing market-neutral portfolios through advanced market neutral quantitative strategies – read more hereWhy Versor’s success as a research-driven hedge fund comes from blending data science with human intuitionTurning unstructured data in finance — from job postings to credit card data — into tradable insightsDesigning an algorithmic trading platform that scales across multiple asset classes and geographiesApplying machine learning hedge fund strategies to model complex market behaviorsHow disciplined portfolio construction quant strategies optimize risk-adjusted returnsThe evolution of data-driven investing hedge funds and how AI is reshaping portfolio managementThe future of quant talent recruitment in finance and why deep research skills beat brainteasersLessons from 30 years of capital markets innovation and systematic alpha generationFuture of AI in hedge funds — read more here: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/quant-intel-agentic-ai-quantitative-investing-versorinvestments-cygxf/ Why human-guided AI remains critical in building resilient, high-Sharpe machine learning hedge fund strategies
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13 snips
Nov 9, 2025 • 53min

Ex- Citadel Analyst and Millennium PM: What It’s Like Inside Both Hedge Funds

Doug Garber, a former analyst at Citadel and portfolio manager at Millennium Management, now leads Westport Alpha Group. In this chat, he reveals the contrasting cultures of Citadel's structured strategies versus Millennium's decentralized, entrepreneurial approach. Doug dives into the importance of deep research in portfolio construction, the challenges of transitioning from sell-side to buy-side, and the traits that make a successful analyst. He also shares personal insights on balancing high-pressure roles with family life and raising kind children.
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Nov 8, 2025 • 1h 25min

Hedge Fund Manager Alix Pasquet: Why Smart People Lose Money

In this engaging discussion, hedge fund manager Alix Pasquet shares his insights on why high IQ can lead to investment failures. He delves into the pitfalls of competing with equally sharp investors and the risks associated with generational wealth transfer. Drawing parallels from poker and backgammon, Alix emphasizes the importance of emotional intelligence and the dangers of overcomplicating strategies. He also reveals how AI is reshaping the finance landscape, creating 'fantasy stocks' that prioritize hype over substance, urging investors to focus on simplicity and adaptability.
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11 snips
Nov 6, 2025 • 42min

GBE Founder Cory Paddock: Great Traders Know When a Regime Change Is Coming

Cory Paddock, co-founder and CEO of GBE, dives into energy trading with a focus on anticipating market shifts in a world increasingly driven by renewables. He shares insights on how true trading edge comes from understanding grid topology rather than just price charts. Paddock is optimistic about Gen Z's potential in quant finance, highlighting their fluency in coding and data analysis. At GBE, he fosters a culture where young traders can experiment and learn through real trading experiences, paving the way for a new generation of algorithmic trading talent.
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Nov 5, 2025 • 52min

Christina Qi Started a Hedge Fund From Her Dorm Room. Now, Top Trading Firms Now Buy Her Data.

Can you start a hedge fund as a college student? Christina Qi, co-founder of Domeyard, did—and later built Databento, a modern market data API used by top algorithmic trading and quantitative trading teams. We get into how high-frequency trading (HFT) actually works, why clean order book/tick market data matters for robust trading strategies, and how a product-led model beats “talk-to-sales.” Christina shares what it takes to compete with Bloomberg/Refinitiv, where AI in finance is headed, and how better data unlocks faster research, reliable execution, and scalable quantitative trading workflows.Christina also breaks down hedge fund fundraising as a first-time manager—what allocators look for, how to structure fees/lockups/redemptions, and why your track record is everything. We talk about 2025 algorithmic trading: easier tools, tougher alpha, and how to find edge with high-quality market data, disciplined backtesting, and strong risk management. She closes with career advice for aspiring quants: master market structure, build real trading strategies in Python, and apply machine learning trading where it truly adds value—not as hype, but as part of a rigorous AI in finance toolkit.We also discuss...Founding Domeyard in college and turning a summer strategy into an HFT hedge fundUsing high-frequency trading to attract day-one allocators in hedge fund fundraisingWhy a verifiable track record matters more than terms when raising capitalHow to set fees, lockups, and redemptions as a first-time managerWhen investor relations and performance diverge and how to keep LPs during drawdownsWhy Domeyard shut down and the scalability limits of HFTBuilding Databento as an API-first market data/market data API platform for algorithmic and quantitative tradingSolving data licensing and usage rights with clean tick data, order book data, and better market microstructure coverageCompeting with Bloomberg and Refinitiv by focusing upstream on raw market data (not dashboards)Winning with product-led growth and self-serve checkout instead of talk-to-salesA bottom-up purchase at a major AI company as proof that PLG works for market data APIsAdoption by options market makers, quant funds, and AI in finance teams for research, alternative data, and NLP for markets use casesCheaper backtesting and better trading infrastructure but tougher alpha generation in 2025A public roadmap and user upvotes to prioritize datasets that matter to quants and quantitative trading workflowsAdvance commitments that de-risk new exchange integrations and ensure day-one usageIncumbents copying features as validation that Databento leads in market data APIsThe AI-in-finance arms race and why data quality decides machine learning trading, risk management, and Sharpe ratio outcomesHow macro conditions change fundraising outcomes for startups and hedge fundsCareer advice for aspiring quants: learn market structure/market microstructure, data engineering, rigorous backtesting, portfolio construction, and build real trading strategies
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Nov 4, 2025 • 53min

159 Billion-Dollar Quant Investor: Stop Only Investing in the S&P500

Jason Hsu, co-founder of Research Affiliates and CIO of Rayliant, shares insights on smart beta and quantitative investing. He argues that simply investing in the S&P 500 is outdated, highlighting the inefficiencies in Asian markets due to retail speculation and governance risks. Jason discusses the evolution of factor investing, emphasizing its advantages over traditional indexing. He also explains how Rayliant employs machine learning to create robust portfolios and shifts retail investors from short-term trading to long-term value creation.
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Sep 23, 2025 • 36min

She Left Citadel and Built a BILLION-DOLLAR Hedge Fund

In this engaging discussion, Renee Yao, founder and CIO of Neo Ivy Capital, shares her journey from Citadel to creating a billion-dollar hedge fund leveraging AI. She reveals how self-evolving AI enables real-time trading and uncorrelated returns, challenging traditional investing methods. Renee discusses the significance of diverse strategies, her experiences during COVID, and the vital role of investor education in understanding AI complexity. She also offers career advice emphasizing focus, adaptability, and discipline—key strategies in both trading and life.
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Sep 17, 2025 • 56min

Former Nomura Managing Director: How the Sell-Side Created Modern Quant Finance

In a fascinating dialogue, Joe Mezrich, Founder of Metafoura LLC and former Managing Director at Nomura, shares insights from his extensive career in quantitative finance. He discusses how the sell side pioneered modern factor investing and the pitfalls of models like the Barra risk model during market crises. Joe emphasizes the importance of interpretability in machine learning, reflecting on how complexity can overshadow understanding. He also highlights the evolution of market-neutral strategies and the critical role of alternative data in today's finance.

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