In this episode, Nik presents a global macro update, unpacking the massive numbers that define the financial system and their implications for Bitcoin. He explores the $36 trillion U.S. Treasury market, $60 trillion equity market, and $120 trillion in global banking assets, illustrating why it’s essential to think in trillions to grasp the true scale of the economy. Nik examines the rising burden of government debt, increasing interest costs, and the Fed’s ongoing tightening, while highlighting the strong dollar’s ripple effects on global markets and the UK’s escalating debt crisis. Connecting these trends to Bitcoin, he explains how the relentless expansion of the financial system and shifting monetary policies could shape Bitcoin’s future in a world defined by trillions. 📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ⛓️ ₿lock Height 879142 ⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.ggNik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcCreative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball Chapters:00:00:00 Introduction to Bitcoin Layer and Acknowledgments  00:03:16 Understanding the US Treasury and Stock Market Balances00:06:37 Bitcoin and Retirement Planning: A New Strategy  00:10:09 The Role of Inflation in Managing Debt to GDP00:13:38 Understanding Market Cap and Government Fiscal Impact00:16:56 The Fed's Impact on Mortgage-Backed Securities00:20:16 Risks of Short-term Treasury Funding  00:23:25 US Government's Interest Expenses and Tax Revenue Dynamics00:26:45 Global Interest Rate Trends and Currency Implications00:30:01 Outro and Closing Thoughts The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik hosts Stefan Rust, founder of Truflation, in a conversation about how inflation is tracked and why current methods fall short. Stefan breaks down the outdated systems used by governments and introduces Truflation’s approach: real-time data collection from millions of items to reflect what people actually experience. They discuss how decentralization and AI are changing the way we view inflation, the role of sentiment analysis in understanding economic trends, and what these shifts mean for macro investors. They leave us with a bold conclusion: in a world of rapid innovation, it’s time to move beyond government metrics and embrace a decentralized future for economic transparency. 📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ⛓️ ₿lock Height 878683 ⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.ggNik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcCreative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Edward Ring, Director of Water and Energy Policy at the California Policy Center, joins Nik to uncover the critical policy failures driving California’s wildfire crisis. From water scarcity to inadequate forest management, Edward highlights the need to shift from scarcity-driven policies to abundance-focused solutions. He critiques California’s regulatory overreach, its detrimental impact on the timber industry, and the obstacles to controlled burns and mechanical thinning. Edward emphasizes the role of voters in demanding rational environmental policies and political change, offering a fresh perspective on how deregulation and strategic reforms can unlock California’s true potential while safeguarding its natural resources. 📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ⛓️ ₿lock Height 878544 ⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.ggNik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcCreative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik welcomes back Yaël Ossowski of the Consumer Choice Center and the Bitcoin Policy Institute to discuss the major themes shaping Bitcoin’s future. They begin with the push for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and its potential to redefine Bitcoin’s role in the U.S. financial system. Next, they address key regulatory developments, including shifts at the IRS, the implications of net neutrality, and the broader impact of legal challenges to agency overreach. Yaël also provides insights into Canada’s evolving political landscape, highlighting how Justin Trudeau’s resignation could pave the way for a more Bitcoin-friendly approach to mining and adoption. As optimism grows for Bitcoin’s future in America, they examine its implications for economic freedom, individual rights, and the next chapter of the Bitcoin revolution. 📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ⛓️ ₿lock Height 878274 ⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.ggNik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcCreative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik Bhatia welcomes back Joe Burnett of Unchained to explore the critical role of Bitcoin in preserving wealth in a hyper-productive world. They dive into the concept of the innovation trap, where exponential technological advances devalue traditional assets, making Bitcoin’s fixed supply a unique and indispensable store of value. Joe examines how rising productivity impacts goods, services, and financial assets like gold, real estate, and equities, exposing their vulnerability to market forces. Together, they explore Bitcoin’s superior monetary properties, its potential to act as a strategic reserve, and its transformative role in building a resilient and future-proof global economy. 📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ⛓️ ₿lock Height 877571 ⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.ggNik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcCreative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball Chapters:00:00:00 Introduction to Bitcoin as a Portfolio Preserver  00:04:30 Agricultural Productivity Revolution  00:08:46 Historical Use of US Dollar and Evolution to Bitcoin00:13:20 The Role of Dollar Assets in Investments  00:17:37 Strategic Implications of a National Bitcoin Reserve00:21:37 The Volatility Misconception in Bitcoin's Growth00:26:15 Potential Major Changes in Bitcoin Legislation00:30:05 The Dollar vs. Bitcoin: Analyzing Depreciation and Fixed Supply00:33:55 The Economics of Gold Production and Technology Deflation00:37:58 Conclusion and Farewell The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik Bhatia welcomes Bitcoin anthropologist Natalie Smolenski to explore the profound connection between Bitcoin, human liberty, and peaceful society through an anthropological lens. Natalie unveils how the historical relationship between money and state has shaped human cooperation, and why Bitcoin represents a transformative technology of peace. They examine the evolution of monetary systems, Bitcoin's unique position as a jurisdictional commodity money, and its potential to reduce societal violence through voluntary exchange. Together, they chart a vision for how Bitcoin's technological revolution can reignite the human spirit of liberty and peaceful cooperation in an increasingly divided world. 📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ⛓️ ₿lock Height 876496 ⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.ggNik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcCreative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball Chapters:00:00:00 Introduction to Bitcoin Anthropology with Natalie Smolinsky  00:03:37 Understanding Bitcoin's Impact on Society  00:07:03 The Unique Value of Liberty in American History00:10:49 The Role of Bitcoin in Modern Governance  00:14:43 The Legal and Psychological Aspects of Settlement00:18:30 Bitcoin as a Self-Settling Network  00:22:15 Texas Blockchain Summit Success  00:25:46 U.S. Bitcoin Policy in 2025: Key Considerations00:29:29 Political Manipulation and the Crisis of Liberty00:33:15 A Message of Individual Hope and Liberty The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik Bhatia welcomes back Stephen Perrenod, PhD in astrophysics and Bitcoin mathematician, to tackle the looming quantum computing threat to Bitcoin and its implications for security and value. Stephen unpacks Google’s latest advancements in qubit technology and why Bitcoin’s cryptographic security remains strong despite quantum computing’s progress. He explores the potential vulnerabilities in early Bitcoin addresses, the role of quantum-safe solutions like BIP360, and the roadmap to implementing these protections across the network. Shifting to Bitcoin’s price, Stephen uses the power law to project a trajectory toward $200,000, explaining how historical trends and reduced volatility align with this outlook. Together, Nik and Stephen outline how Bitcoin can not only withstand the quantum challenge but continue to thrive as a secure and transformative global asset. 📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ⛓️ ₿lock Height 875758 ⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.ggNik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcCreative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball Chapters:00:00:00 Introduction and Bitcoin's Power Law  00:05:20 Evolution of Supercomputing: From CPUs to Quantum Processors00:10:11 Quantum Entanglement in Problem Domains  00:15:00 Early Stage Quantum Computing and Its Challenges  00:19:59 Vulnerabilities in Bitcoin Cryptography  00:25:52 Quantum Computers and Bitcoin Mining00:30:01 Quantum Safety: Preparing for the Future00:36:01 Bitcoin Price Analysis and Power Law Model Prediction00:40:22 Bitcoin Price Predictions for 2025 The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik Bhatia and Craig Shapiro explore the ripple effects of Federal Reserve policies, market movements, and the strength of the U.S. dollar under Trump’s pro-Bitcoin administration. They unpack how rising yields, persistent inflation, and tightening financial conditions are reshaping risk assets like Bitcoin, while the dollar acts as a “wrecking ball” across global markets. With insights from the Bear Traps Report, they highlight Bitcoin’s role as a symbolic “scorecard” for Trump’s economic agenda and discuss its potential as a national asset under a populist-driven strategy. Wrapping up, they assess the geopolitical landscape and the future of financial markets, exploring how these forces could shape Bitcoin’s trajectory in a volatile economic environment. 📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ⛓️ ₿lock Height 875611 ⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.ggNik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcCreative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik Bhatia is joined by George Goncalves, head of US strategy at MUFG, to deliver a timely global macro update following the Federal Reserve’s latest rate cut and hawkish signals. They explore how the Fed’s shift marks a potential end to the easing cycle, the implications for a steepening yield curve, and the unprecedented strength of the U.S. dollar as global currencies falter. George provides insights into the mechanics of the Fed’s balance sheet strategy, the shrinking reverse repo program, and the potential timeline for quantitative tightening. Together, they analyze how these developments intersect with Trump’s incoming administration, touching on tax cuts, industrial policy, and fiscal reform. Closing with a discussion on liquidity, credit markets, and the evolving role of private sector money creation, they chart the intersection of monetary policy and global economic dominance heading into 2025. 📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ⛓️ ₿lock Height 875506 ⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.ggNik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcCreative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik Bhatia and Matt Dines explore the seismic shifts in the global economy, focusing on China’s deflationary crisis, America’s industrial resurgence, and Bitcoin’s accelerating role in financial markets. They examine China’s collapsing sovereign bond yields, aging demographics, and reliance on exports, signaling deep economic challenges and policy uncertainty. Shifting to the U.S., Nik and Matt analyze the rise of industrial policy, reshoring momentum, and the impact of a strong dollar in navigating inflation and growth. They discuss the risks of tax cuts in a post-2024 political landscape and the transformative potential of the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Act as a generational policy shift. Closing with Bitcoin’s emergence as a major player in corporate debt markets, led by MicroStrategy’s use of convertible bonds, Nik and Matt paint a picture of a world where Bitcoin is no longer on the sidelines but at the center of the global economic realignment. 📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ⛓️ ₿lock Height 875239 ⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.ggNik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcCreative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball Chapters:00:00:00 Impact of China's Bond Market on Bitcoin  00:06:53 Challenges Facing China's Economic Growth00:13:43 China's Strategic Economic Challenges  00:20:41 Post-WWII Economic Imbalances  00:26:43 Evaluating U.S. Economic Growth and Policy Prospects  00:33:28 The Impact of a Strong Dollar on Inflation and the Economy00:40:15 Volatility in International Capital Markets  00:47:01 2024 Bond Market Projections and Trends00:54:06 Reshoring and the US Chip Foundry Endeavor The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.