
"The Riff" with Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg
Investor and writer of the popular newsletter The Diff, Byrne Hobart, and co-host Erik Torenberg discuss today’s major inflection points in technology, business, and markets – and help listeners build a diversified portfolio of trends and ideas for the future. Topics covered: Finance, Venture Capital, Tech, AI, Crypto, and Industry CyclesThe Riff is a part of the Turpentine podcast network. Learn more: turpentine.co
Latest episodes

94 snips
Jan 28, 2025 • 1h 6min
E61: Markets React to DeepSeek, Threads vs X, and Stargate Announcement
The discussion kicks off with DeepSeek's AI model and its ripple effects on Nvidia's stock, revealing how volatility can influence broader market behavior. Insights on the competitive tech landscape highlight the dichotomy between U.S. innovations and challenges faced by platforms like Threads against X. A massive AI infrastructure project signals serious commitment, reshaping investment strategies. The interplay of state influence and national champions reflects ongoing tension in tech and data privacy, especially with entities like TikTok under scrutiny.

51 snips
Jan 23, 2025 • 1h 4min
E60: Trump Coin, US Industrial Policy, and TikTok Ban
This discussion delves into Trump's cryptocurrency ventures and the evolving world of meme investments. It highlights the influence of social media on markets and the complexities of ethical investing. There’s also a critical look at China's economic challenges and the unexpected economic potential of Japan. The podcast explores the shifting political landscape surrounding TikTok, noting bipartisan concerns over its influence. Listeners are taken through the intricate tapestry of U.S. industrial policy and its implications for future geopolitical dynamics.

116 snips
Jan 18, 2025 • 1h 3min
E59: Zuck’s PR, The Loneliness Economy, and OpenAI Corporate Structure
Dive into the intriguing evolution of economic paradigms from agrarian to industrial, with insights on how these shifts can boost growth by tenfold. Discover the 'Loneliness Economy' shaped by the pandemic, driving the rise of digital services. Explore Meta's efforts in content moderation and the challenges of maintaining a positive public image. The discussion also uncovers OpenAI's transition to a for-profit model, highlighting the complexities of corporate governance in tech giants and the implications for future AI development.

139 snips
Dec 26, 2024 • 1h
E58: How Jensen Huang Outpaces Tech Giants w/ Tae Kim, author of THE NVIDIA WAY
Dive into NVIDIA's fascinating journey under Jensen Huang’s leadership, where a relentless work culture and talent cultivation drive success. Discover the company's unique 'rough justice' philosophy in partnerships, prioritizing long-term gains. Huang's flat organizational structure and innovative communication methods create a dynamic environment. Explore how NVIDIA evolved from gaming to AI, showcasing rapid innovation and strategic acquisitions that redefine its industry positioning.

121 snips
Dec 19, 2024 • 1h 6min
E57: Pod Shops; Contrarian Vibe Checks; Scaling Laws Analysis
This discussion dives into the evolution of the pod shop hedge fund model, focusing on generating uncorrelated returns. They explore how current market conditions might lead to slower stock price growth despite company expansions. The conversation also touches on AI pricing models and their challenges, as well as the impact of AI on content creation and labor dynamics. Interesting insights are shared on how investor sentiment affects market trends, and the potential risks of AI replacing human connections in entertainment.

98 snips
Dec 12, 2024 • 1h 2min
E56: AI Agents are Coming; China’s Internet; Google Wants to Win
The conversation dives into the economic implications of AI, highlighting its potential J-curve effect—initially deflationary but possibly inflationary later. It scrutinizes the limits of passive investing and suggests a cyclical future with active trading. The evolution of the gambling industry hints at new social norms and self-regulation. Google's struggle between innovation and bureaucracy shines a light on its corporate challenges. Finally, discussions around tariffs reveal their complex impact on the American workforce and consumer dynamics.

20 snips
Nov 21, 2024 • 1h 3min
E55: Futarchy, Elon, and Gut Decisions in Business
Dive into the intriguing tensions between technological change and government efficiency. Explore the complexities of gut decisions in business leadership, weighing instinct against strategy. Delve into the potential collaborations between tech titans like Elon Musk and Sam Altman as they shape the future of AI. Reflect on the emotional challenges traders face amidst political forecasting, especially concerning Trump's policies. Unravel the dynamics of market perceptions and how they influence company behaviors and media landscapes.

35 snips
Nov 14, 2024 • 58min
E54: How Bubbles Create The Future
Dive into the transformative impact of technological change on markets, focusing on how economic bubbles foster innovation. Discover Amazon's strategic use of bubbles to drive AI advancements while grappling with implementation challenges. The discussion spans the evolution of online businesses and the cyclical nature of tech market bubbles, reflecting on lessons from the dot-com era. It also examines the role of political polling errors in shaping market reactions and highlights the surprising value of middlemen in enhancing buyer-seller relationships in the digital age.

13 snips
Nov 7, 2024 • 1h 1min
E53: Election Analysis, Heresy, and Real Estate
Dive into the intriguing world of evolving heretical ideas and their impact on politics. Discover the shifting dynamics within the American political landscape and the effects of social media on voter behavior. Explore the complexities of prediction markets and how real-time data influences election forecasts. Delve into the challenges posed by foreign investments in the U.S. housing market and viable solutions for affordability. Lastly, consider the potential of small social networks in the venture capital landscape.

4 snips
Oct 31, 2024 • 1h
E52: How Tech Journalism Works w/ Patrick McKenzie
Dive into the evolving world of tech journalism, where narratives shape perceptions of success and failure in Silicon Valley. Discover how media representations glamorize risk while failing to capture the harsh realities of entrepreneurship. Explore the pressures journalists face amid changing social dynamics and the shift towards a more adversarial stance. The conversation also debunks myths surrounding tech culture, highlighting the diverse experiences within the industry and the vital need for informed commentary on ethical issues.