The Jacob Shapiro Podcast

Jacob Shapiro
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Oct 31, 2022 • 1h 6min

Will Europe Survive the Winter?

Jacob welcomes Dave Ripplinger on the podcast to discuss the problems Europe is facing this winter and the areas they agree and disagree. They also talk about the U.S. energy economy, the role of biofuels and renewable diesel in the U.S. energy transition, and close with some broad thoughts about the future of U.S. agriculture for the remainder of the decade. David Ripplinger is Assistant Professor at the Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics and the Chair of the Bioenergy Products and Innovation Center at North Dakota State University.Timestamps:3:00-24:50 – Debating Europe’s winter 24:50-40:10 – Will the U.S. continue to export energy40:10-54:20 – Biofuels and renewable diesel54:20-end – Should you buy farmland today?Make sure to check out the Cognitive Dissidents site and services here.
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Oct 29, 2022 • 43min

Stratfor: Musings on Autocracies, Democracies and Resilience

This is a crossposted episode from the Rane Podcast Series with Stratfor!Rodger Baker, executive director of the Stratfor Center for Applied Geopolitics at RANE, and Jacob discuss the practice of applied geopolitics in the context of Russia's war with Ukraine, Putin's efforts to leverage energy supplies against Europe, and China's 20th Party Congress (among other asides). The original episode is here.Make sure to check out the Cognitive Dissidents site and services here.
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Oct 21, 2022 • 24min

Recording On The Road -- Mini Solo Episode From Dublin

Jacob plugs in from Dublin, Ireland, where he is currently at a Barnett-Hall conference discussing the crazy year in geopolitics -- and where we can expect to go from here.0:36-9:00 – The next 5 years 9:00-12:15 – The UK12:15- 17:00 – Ireland17:00 - end – ChinaMake sure to check out the Cognitive Dissidents site and services here.
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Oct 14, 2022 • 55min

Taking Stock

Jacob and Rob take a step back from yet another crazy week in geopolitics and have a theoretical and wide-ranging conversation about the state of the world, how to deal with uncertainty and volatility, and whether we should be optimistic about the next 6-12 months and beyond.Timestamps - Make sure to check out the Cognitive Dissidents site and services here.
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Oct 10, 2022 • 59min

Making Sense of Iranian Unrest

Abdolrasool Divsallar (Farzam, if you will) joins us again, after well over a year, to discuss the growing unrest in Iran. Farzam is a visiting profesor at Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore and a non-resident scholar at the Middle East Institute. Twitter: https://twitter.com/DivsallarTimestamps0:00-9:30 – Why these Iranian protests are different9:30-16:00 – What’s up with the Supreme Leader?16:00-20:46 – Regional response31:28-48:30 – the Iran Nuclear Deal/relations with Russia48:30-end – TurkeyMake sure to check out the Cognitive Dissidents site and services here.
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Oct 7, 2022 • 56min

What's Up With This Market?

This market is absolutely wild, with the Fed trying to be both proactive and reactive simultaneously, and the lads try to tackle the underlying reasons + the future. Also China's role in the markets (and their drought), the politics surrounding Saudi Arabia's strange move on Oil this week, and much more!Timestamps:0:08-16:40 – U.S. Macro Overview16:40 - 25:30 – China25:30 - 45:00 – Saudi Arabia/Oil45:00 - End – BrazilMake sure to check out the Cognitive Dissidents site and services here.
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Oct 3, 2022 • 1h 15min

Agricultural Currents: Food Prices, Fertilizer, & The Future

Neil Townsend hops back onto the pod to discuss the underlying agricultural currents shifting beneath the surface of our geopolitical landscape. Food and fertilizer prices are up, Brazil and China are facing epic droughts, and the future of food production globally is uncertain. Is this news? No. Are there technological and economic innovations that are drastically changing our ability to cope with these issues? Tune in to find out!Neil Townsend is the Chief Market Analyst with FarmLink Marketing Solutions and GrainFoxFarmlink Solutions Event on Oct 13: https://www.farmlinksolutions.ca/frombintobank/Timestamps1:40-8:25 – Global food prices8:25-23:18 – Fertilizer & Russia/Ukraine War23:18-32.55 – Brazil/USD32:55-44:04 – China44:04-1:17:00 – Future of agriculture1:17:00-end – Key takeawaysMake sure to check out the Cognitive Dissidents site and services here.
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Sep 30, 2022 • 57min

Cutting the Red Tape: US Infrastructure, Pipeline Mysteries, & China

Why do we have 700 gigawatts (total US electricity capacity is currently 1,150GW) of solar capacity awaiting permits, approval, or connection to the US power grid? What does the future of US infrastructure look like?Is the Nord Stream Pipeline being sabotaged? Who would benefit from that? Chairman Xi is on the brink of declaring himself lifetime leader of the Communist Party; what does that mean for the Chinese political experiment?Timestamps1:25 - 9:20 – USA9:00 - 33:30 – Pipeline Mysteries33:30 - end – China Make sure to check out the Cognitive Dissidents site and services here.
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Sep 23, 2022 • 1h 7min

Can We Realistically Tame Inflation?

The Euro is below parity with the dollar and Japan's government intervened with the yen for the first time in a number of decades. Join Rob and Jacob as they talk through inflation woes, Europe's inevitable gains, and much more!Timestamps:1:05-13:00 – U.S. Inflation13:00-23:00 – Still bullish Europe23:00-36:00 – Turkey/Iran/Uzbekistan36:00-49:56 – Japan50:00- end – BrazilMake sure to check out the Cognitive Dissidents site and services here.
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Sep 19, 2022 • 56min

Ukraine Is Winning

Ukraine’s counteroffensive last week was shockingly effective. Sim rejoins the show to explain what is happening on the ground…and to tease out the chances and attendant implications of a Russian defeat.Sim Tack is Military Analyst at Force Analysis and GEOINT Analyst at AllSource Analysis. You can follow him on Twitter @SimTack.NYTimes article referenced hereTimeStamps:1:54-11:15 – What’s happening?11:15-23:35 – Ukraine’s Strategy23:35-28:04 – Europe’s Resolve28:04-42:10 – Russia’s Options42:10-end – Implications of Russia’s DefeatMake sure to check out the Cognitive Dissidents site and services here.

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