The Bayesian Conspiracy

We discuss Sasha Chapin’s “Your Intelligent, Conscientious In-group Has Bad Social Norms Too” Main Topic begins at 45:46 Other items mentioned: The Simple Truth – Eliezer’s short story about The Sheep Counter Keep Your Identity Small – by Paul Graham, not Hanson! Otters vs Possums – by Aella Shit Rationalists Say Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Artificial Addition Truly Part Of You Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Not for the Sake of Happiness (Alone) Leaky Generalizations

We discuss the book The Procrastination Equation as summarized by Luke in How to Beat Procrastination The audio is rough at first, we fixed it after 8 minutes. Other items discussed include: Bezos in a Mecha The Goth Chicken Whether the King’s English was good enough for Jesus? Hugh Jackman for Men vs Hugh Jackman for Women Eneasz’s next story is coming out in March Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: No Evolutions for Corporations or Nanodevices The Simple Math of Everything Conjuring An Evolution To Serve You Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Artificial Addition Truly Part Of You

We speak with Jason Crawford (twitter), from The Roots of Progress. Interview begins at 44:25. Posts discussed include: Iron: From mythical to mundane The various Why Did It Take So Long For (X), and specifically Cotton Gin, Bicycle, and Threshing Machine Does invention come from deprivation or plenty? Progress studies as a moral imperative and a civic duty Support Roots of Progress here Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Terminal Values and Instrumental Values Evolving to Extinction Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: No Evolutions for Corporations or Nanodevices The Simple Math of Everything Conjuring An Evolution To Serve You

Matt Freeman returns to talk about Decision Theory, and the discusion ranges far afield. Matt is from The Guild of the Rose, which we had a recent episode about. You can see his Decision Theory Course videos here. Scott Alexander on All Debates Are Bravery Debates Our previous Newcomb episode Our previous Torture vs Dust Specks episode The Kindness to Kin story   Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Protein Reinforcement and DNA Consequentialism Thou Art Godshatter  (in Audio as well) Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Terminal Values and Instrumental Values Evolving to Extinction Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | Ed

How Newcomb’s problem applies to real-life. We discuss Newcomblike problems are the norm (LW crosspost). Also mentioned: Replacing Guilt Audiobook! Our episode on Replacing Guilt Our episode on Talking To Strangers part 1, and part 2 Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers Evolutionary Psychology Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Protein Reinforcement and DNA Consequentialism Thou Art Godshatter

We settle the ultimate question once and for all. also discussed: Julia Galef’s quick video on Bayesian Thinking Bulletproofing deters warlords Steven’s friend’s GoFundMe Our first and second and third episodes on cryonics. The interview with Rudi Hoffman is the third one, and he can help get you signed up at  rudihoffman.com. Also the Cryonics Institute FAQ Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Fake Morality Fake Optimization Criteria Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers Evolutionary Psychology

We discuss You Are In Newcomb’s Box and The IQ Shredder also touched on – Why Does Singapore Have Such A Low Birthrate? Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Tragedy of Group Selectionism Fake Selfishness Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Fake Morality Fake Optimization Criteria

We discuss The Guild of the Rose with Matt Freeman. This is somewhat of a follow-up, we first did a show about them when they were called The Guild of Servants. Join their beta! Things we mention: Of course The Guild of the Rose, and their Patreon Matt’s 2018 appearance on our show – Freestyle Community Talk with Matt Freeman CFAR (Center For Applied Rationality) The Selfish Gene by Dawkins The Post-Mortem/Retrospective post of the Guild of Servants Alpha Ugh Fields The Procrastination Equation review, and Book Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Natural Selection’s Speed Limit and Complexity Bound Beware of Stephen J. Gould Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Tragedy of Group Selectionism Fake Selfishness

We discuss the review of the book Crazy Like Us Also the highlights from the comments of the review Quick single-line spoiler for ep 3 of Loki occurs at 41:52 and lasts for ~20 seconds. Discussed in the show: The Greatest Show on Earth Old Suicide Squad Editting Fail Making Sense ep 180 – Sex and Power Very Bad Wizards ep 198 – Is Mental Illness a Myth? Wan Hu, 6th Century Rocket Chair legend Dear Sugar #44, Dead Baby Elizabeth Loftus – Lost in a Mall Experiment video & Wiki Our Cultural Evolution episode George Carlin on Euphamisms & PTSD Ophelia: Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Wonder of Evolution Evolutions Are Stupid (But Work Anyway) Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Natural Selection’s Speed Limit and Complexity Bound Beware of Stephen J. Gould

We discuss Dan Sivers Do This Directives Mentioned: Dan’s interviews The Scout Mindset book Jace’s Funny Dance video An Alien God audio Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Fake Justification An Alien God Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Wonder of Evolution Evolutions Are Stupid (But Work Anyway)