Bloomberg journalist Kurt Wagner, author of 'Battle for the Bird', dives into the tumultuous journey of Twitter, now rebranded as X, particularly under Elon Musk's controversial ownership. He shares insights about Twitter's intriguing origins and its struggles to monetize effectively compared to giants like Meta. The conversation touches on missed opportunities, leadership challenges, and the ongoing battle to balance free speech with content moderation. Wagner’s perspective sheds light on the platform's evolving identity and its future in social media.

Doug Shapiro, a leading voice in TV, economics, and tech, shares insights on the massive shifts in the media landscape. He discusses how AI is reshaping content creation and the challenges traditional media faces from new platforms like Netflix. The conversation touches on the implications of a content-saturated world, the ethics of AI in filmmaking, and the evolving paradigms of intellectual property. Shapiro highlights the potential for independent creators as they navigate the complexities of today's digital economy.

Dror Poleg, an expert in real estate and economic history, shares intriguing insights on the future of work and the challenges in urban development. He discusses the impact of technological advancements on productivity and inequality, emphasizing a cultural shift towards valuing skilled trades. The conversation delves into geopolitical influences on the real estate market and the necessity for the wealthy to contribute more through taxation. Dror also reflects on modern warfare, AI innovation, and the evolving dynamics of energy production and defense.

This week we get into portfolio theory, or lack of, as for many the rush to big tech and wilful ignorance of everything else Wall Street has to offer seems to be the rule as opposed to the exception. Why is that, and is it sustainable? [Repeat from February, 2024]For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)The Magnificent Seven: Unpacking the Impact of Big US Tech StocksIn this episode, Richard Kramer and Will Page, analysts specializing in financial markets, discuss the 'Magnificent Seven', a term referring to the big US tech companies and their significant market impact. Kramer eloquently illustrates the concentration of wealth within these tech giants and their extensive media coverage, which contributes to their continual growth. They discuss the concept of long tail distributions and how it correlates with a constraint in attention leading to invested interest in just a few companies. They scrutinize the implications of concentrated wealth and potential future industry shifts, emphasizing the need for cautious investment strategies, despite the allure of being swept up in booming tech sectors.00:01 Introduction00:48 Part One00:48 The Role of Big US Tech in Portfolio Theory03:30 The Magnificent Seven: Who Are They?07:28 The Long Tail Effect in Financial Markets22:56 The Investment Thesis: Backing Big Tech23:13 Part Two23:25 The Geographic Disparity in Big Tech38:09 Smoke Signals: Indicators of Market Shifts41:41 Conclusion: The Future of Big Tech Investments41:54 Credits Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The hosts look back at their podcast highlights from 2024, sharing memorable moments and pivotal discussions. They delve into the corporate deception illustrated by the Thames Water scandal and the impact of fiscal policies on student debt. Technology's evolving role in storytelling and the legal sector is explored, alongside the influence of AI on apps and journalism. Predictions for 2025 are made, emphasizing the importance of direction in leadership and authentic conversations about the financial landscape.

Benedict Evans, a keen independent analyst and tech trend expert, returns to tackle the future of AI. He argues if AI truly 'Eats the World,' what indigestion will follow? The conversation dives into AI's growing influence across industries—from creative fields to law—and its potential job market shake-ups. Analysts discuss how AI is reshaping their roles and the importance of unique insights in a data-saturated era. The episode wraps up with a reflection on learning and staying engaged as technology evolves.

When markets get fooled, stocks get …well, WHACKED, to quote a famous Kramerism. Our audience deserves to know more about volatility - for all the PhDs, MBAs and CFAs working on Wall Street, for all the compliance rules and regulations, why is it that a stock can go from hero to zero so quickly? Why is stability in itself destabilizing? [Repeat from May, 2024]For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)Understanding Market Volatility: The Seven Deadly Sins That Get Stocks WhackedIn this episode of Bubble Trouble, hosted by independent analyst Richard Kramer and economist Will Page, the duo delves into the intricacies of stock market volatility and the factors that lead to significant drops in stock values, often referred to as getting 'whacked.' They explore why financial markets remain volatile despite compliance rules and thorough analysis by Wall Street's experts. Using recent examples like Duolingo and Double Verify, they highlight how sentiment, market expectations, and artificial intelligence fears influence stock performance. They introduce the concept of the seven deadly sins—ranging from expectations management to fake it till you make it—that companies and analysts commit, causing stocks to tank. The discussion covers essential themes like the role of credibility, influence of peer performance, external market factors, and the impact of fear and greed. They also touch on larger market dynamics, such as the dominance of tech giants and the influence of algorithmic trading. The episode is both an educational dive into market mechanics and a cautionary tale for investors, emphasizing the importance of understanding broader market sentiments and the potential pitfalls of speculative trading.00:00 Introduction01:18 Part One02:30 Recent Examples of Stocks Getting Whacked06:08 The Role of Expectations in Market Behavior10:53 Credibility and Its Impact on Stocks16:17 The Influence of Peer Groups and Market Share18:19 Mathematical Models and Black Swans23:09 Part Two24:15 The Sheer Size of Companies and Market Impact25:13 Big Companies and Revenue Growth Challenges26:33 Market Dynamics and Money Managers27:04 Thought Experiment: Market Crowding28:53 Taxing Market Capitalization34:18 Fear and Greed in Financial Markets40:11 Unprofitable IPOs and Market Distortions42:47 Seven Deadly Sins of Stock Trading46:22 Conclusion and Final Thoughts46:53 Credits Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Dive into the intriguing world of music copyright, with its staggering $45 billion value. Discover the dynamics between record labels, artists, and collecting societies, and how streaming and vinyl are reshaping consumer habits. Explore the global impact of music, including emerging trends in exports from Colombia and Mexico. Uncover the significant role of digital platforms in nurturing direct connections between artists and fans, while anticipating transformative changes in copyright as emerging markets thrive.

Today we are going deep with a real creator. No, not one of the avatars of AI influencers in the creator economy, but someone who builds things that take 20 years to complete, Roger Madelin, CBE, the name behind the scenes in making London's Kings Cross a reality.For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)Transformation and Challenges with King's Cross Visionary Roger MadelineIn this episode of Bubble Trouble, co-hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page delve into urban development with Roger Madelin, CBE. Known for his transformative work at London's King's Cross, Roger shares insights on large-scale urban projects, navigating economic cycles, and the intricacies of aligning diverse stakeholders' interests. The discussion also covers the controversial HS2 rail project, the importance of integrating cultural elements in city planning, and the current political landscape influencing housing policies. Roger emphasizes the need for a strong vision, the significance of public spaces, and the necessity of balancing private and public sector efforts to create vibrant, inclusive urban environments.00:00 Introduction00:48 Part One02:16 Transforming King's Cross03:56 Reflecting on Urban Development05:48 The Impact of Smartening Up Train Stations08:45 Navigating Economic Cycles in Urban Projects15:20 The Future of Workspaces Post-COVID20:09 Balancing Luxury and Community in Property Development24:48 Preview of Part Two: HS2 and Urban Planning Challenges25:34 Part Two26:50 Challenges of High-Speed Rail in the UK29:43 The Flaws in High-Speed Two's Business Case32:08 Comparing High-Speed One and High-Speed Two34:00 The Importance of Comfort Over Speed36:03 The Role of Arts and Culture in City Development42:09 Political and Economic Challenges in Urban Development52:24 Closing Remarks and Reflections53:17 Credits Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On Bubble Trouble, we are never short of subject matter: from the metaverse, NFTs and Chinese real estate, to Silicon Valley Bank and er… that small issue of a former global powerhouse Credit Suisse. Remember them? Well our guest, Duncan Mavin, knows their story better than anyone, and he’s documented them in the wonderfully titled Meltdown: Scandal, Sleaze and the Collapse of Credit Suisse. For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)Credit Suisse: A Rolling Crisis in Banking ScandalsIn this episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts Will Page and Richard Kramer discuss the collapse of Credit Suisse with journalist and author Duncan Maven. They delve into Maven's book 'Meltdown: Scandal, Sleaze, and the Collapse of Credit Suisse,' exploring the myriad of crises that plagued the bank. They touch on scandals ranging from rogue traders and sanctions busting to laundering Nazi gold and funding corrupt projects in Mozambique. The conversation also highlights the rapid acquisition of Credit Suisse by UBS over a tense and decisive weekend. Duncan Maven provides insights into the bank’s culture, the broader implications for the banking sector, and why people should care about the ethics in banking. The episode concludes with the discussion of warning signs (or smoke signals) that indicate deeper issues within financial institutions.00:00 Introduction01:00 Part One01:09 Guest Introduction: Duncan Maven02:31 The Rise and Fall of Credit Suisse03:32 The Impact of White Collar Crime05:08 Cultural Issues at Credit Suisse09:56 Historical Context of Swiss Banking15:21 The Mozambique Scandal19:49 The Role of Social Media in Credit Suisse's Collapse23:00 The Bulgarian Mafia and Credit Suisse Scandal23:47 Part Two23:54 The Collapse of Credit Suisse24:32 UBS Absorbs Credit Suisse26:41 The Aftermath and Lingering Scandals28:57 The Swiss Financial Crisis32:58 The Future of Swiss Banking40:05 Reception of the Book42:08 Smoke Signals and Final Thoughts46:37 Credits Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.