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ASEAN Speaks

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Apr 11, 2022 • 31min

Weekly Briefing: SG 1Q 2022 GDP; ASEAN Inflation Review; Thai Equities; CPO Outlook

Singapore’s Q1 2022 GDP will be released this week. We cover Maybank’s expectations of growth and interest rate policy responses as inflation grows the fastest in this decade. Also, top of today’s research is ASEAN X Macro thematic report on inflation drivers and risks, and our model portfolio strategy for Thailand. 00:26 - Roundup - Winson Phoon 04:17 - SG 1Q GDP - Chua Hak Bin 07:40 - SGD if re-centering - Saktiandi Supaat 10:51 - ASEAN inflation drivers - Suhaimi Ilias 15:01 - PH inflation - Zamros Dzulkifli 17:17 - TH inflation - Lee Ju Ye 20:00 - TH banks - Jesada Techahusdin 21:36 - TH tourism - Yuwanee Prommaporn 24:25 - TH portfolio strategy - Chan Han Chin 27:11 - More soybean, CPO outlook - Ong Chee Ting Producer: Noelle Lim
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Apr 4, 2022 • 32min

Weekly Briefing: MY Economic & Monetary Review; US Treasury Yield Curve Inversion Implications; ASEAN Strategy Changes; ID Bank Picks; VN Growth Downgrade & Resilient Picks

To prepare you for the week, our analysts breakdown the latest economic data and reports from Malaysia, Indonesia and Vietnam, and consider their broader implications on markets, revision to outlook and the banking sector. 00:24 - Round-up - Chua Hak Bin 04:52 - MY economics - Suhaimi Ilias 10:09 - MY banks - Desmond Ch’ng 13:12 - Curve inversion - Winson Phoon 16:54 - ASEAN strategy - Anand Pathmakanthan 19:24 - USD, EUR, CNY, ASEAN, JPY - Saktiandi Supaat 23:19 - ID inflation - Lee Ju Ye 25:53 - ID banks - Rahmi Marina 28:23 - VN economy - Brian Lee 30:05 - VN picks - Hoang Huy Producer: Noelle Lim
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Mar 29, 2022 • 32min

Siam Cement: Navigating Sustainability Challenges

One of the largest public listed companies in Thailand and one of the oldest conglomerates in ASEAN, established in 1913 by a royal decree, SCG is future-proofing and staying competitive by making sustainability a business case. Pertinently so when cement manufacturing is one of the top sources of greenhouse gas emissions in the world. CEO of SCG, Roongrote Rangsiyopash, and the CEO of SCG Chemicals, Tanawong Areeratchakul discuss the group’s sustainability plans, potential game-changers, and new opportunities that could emerge and whether the Russian-Ukraine war might delay or accelerate global transition to net zero. SCG Chemicals is going for IPO - date is not fixed yet at the time of recording. Producer & Presenter: Noelle Lim
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Mar 28, 2022 • 33min

Weekly Briefing: Malaysia Fuel Subsidy Options; RMB As Alternative To USD; Philippines & Thailand Outlook; Plantations Policy Flipflops

Our analysts discuss the implications of fuel subsidies more than doubling in Malaysia and exports outlook in view of oil and commodities prices; would the Renminbi emerge as a viable alternative to the USD as the US weaponises the global settlement system; impact of Russia-Ukraine war on the Philippines and Thailands’ economies and policy decisions; earnings risks and high conviction buys in Thailand; and expectations of any policy changes in the Malaysia’s plantations sector following Indonesia’s. 00:22 - Round-up - Chua Hak Bin 06:46 - MY fuel subsidies - Suhaimi Ilias 14:21 - RMB as alternative to USD - Saktiandi Supaat 19:16 - PH policy hike forecast - Zamros Dzulkifli 22:24 - TH GDP downgrade - Lee Ju Ye 25:27 - TH earnings - Maria Lapiz 28:36 - ID, MY plantations policy - Ong Chee Ting Producer: Noelle Lim
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Mar 21, 2022 • 30min

Weekly Briefing: MY, SG, ID Economic Forecasts; Barbell Strategy For SG Equities; PH and ASEAN Market Downside; MY 5G Rollout

Our analysts across the region discuss recent economic data, outlook and investment strategy in view of global inflation, growth headwinds, and China’s flash lockdowns. 00:21 - Round-up - Winson Phoon 03:32 - MY outlook, EPF withdrawal - Suhaimi Ilias 08:33 - SG GDP forecast - Chua Hak Bin 13:59 - SG exposure to Europe - Thilan Wickramasinghe 17:08 - ID GDP forecast - Lee Ju Ye 22:16 - ASEAN fortnight highlight - Anand Pathmakanthan 25:10 - PH oil-driven downside - Jacqui de Jesus 27:56 - MY 5G rollout update - Tan Chi Wei Producer: Noelle Lim
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Mar 14, 2022 • 35min

Weekly Briefing: Recessionary Europe’s Impact On ASEAN; Johor Election Results On Markets

Our analysts look ahead to the collateral damage of the Russia-Ukraine war on ASEAN, and what Barisan Nasional’s win in Johor means for Malaysian markets, adding views on favoured stocks. Tune it to the conversation to prepare for the week. 00:36 - Round-up - Suhaimi Ilias 07:14 - Economics, trade risks - Chua Hak Bin 12:57 -  Forex impact - Saktiandi Supaat 18:19 - MY resilience - Chan Han Chin 21:33 - Early GE15 impact - Anand Pathmakanthan 24:20 - MY banks - Desmond Ch’ng 26:22 - MY aviation - Samuel Yin 29:08 - TH tourism - Yuwanee Prommaporn 30:41 - Plantation downgrade - Ong Chee Ting Producer: Noelle Lim
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Mar 10, 2022 • 43min

Thai Wah: Betting On Agritech

Inflation, Russia-Ukraine tensions and climate change are piling pressure on global food systems. ASEAN as a major food producing and agriculture region is ripe for innovation to bolster its own food security. Ho Ren Hua, CEO of Thai Wah, discusses how he wants to transform agrifood in the region, including where he sees a right to win in the challenging agritech sector. Listed on SET, Thai Wah is one of the largest starch and starch-related food companies in Asia, and is taking up stakes in early stage companies, and expanding into new, high-growth businesses such as bioplastic packaging. Using tapioca as its raw material input, derived from the cassava plant, it could replace Western wheat-based products. Ho, a graduate of Wharton School and former management consultant at Bain & Co, comes from a family of entrepreneurs. His paternal grandfather established Thai Wah in the 1940s, while his parents founded the Banyan Tree hotels. Producer & Presenter: Noelle Lim
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Mar 9, 2022 • 22min

Singapore REITS: Selective For Shelter

Chua Su Tye, our Head of REITs Research discusses his recommendations on S-REITs (real estate investment trusts) for yields in light of rising interest rate and inflation, the Russia-Ukraine crisis and risk of recession in Europe. Terms mentioned: DPU (distribution per unit), Revpar (revenue per available room), and WALE (weighted average lease expiry). Producer & Presenter: Noelle Lim
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Mar 7, 2022 • 32min

International Women’s Day: Breaking Bias Through Digital Intelligence

Dr Yuhyun Park, Founder of DQ Institute, Harvard graduate and former BCG management consultant, speaks about her journey battling skepticism in South Korea to starting a global movement for digital intelligence or DQ from Singapore. Together with her team, she created the world’s first standard for DQ that is also endorsed by IEEE Standards Association, Organisation for Economic Co-operation & Development (OECD), and the World Economic Forum. This interview is in conjunction with International Women’s Day. Producer & Presenter: Noelle Lim
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Mar 7, 2022 • 36min

Weekly Briefing: Russia-Ukraine Conflict Triggers Energy Trilemma

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and talks of sanctions have triggered market fears of a brutal supply crunch of oil and other commodities. Our analysts monitor the impact on ASEAN, and where investors can potentially find shelter and outperformance. 00:32 - Round-up - Chua Hak Bin 06:16 - MY economy - Suhaimi Ilias 12:10 - MGS outlook - Winson Phoon 17:02 - 4Q earnings - Anand Pathmakanthan 20:21 - Forex themes - Saktiandi Supaat 23:04 - Petronas, energy trilemma - Liaw Thong Jung 27:34 - SG REITs - Chua Su Tye 32:14 - SG tech stocks - Lai Gene Lih Producer: Noelle Lim

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