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Odd Lots

Latest episodes

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Mar 2, 2020 • 53min

How Iraq Pulled Off One Of The Biggest Sovereign Debt Restructurings Of All Time

There are lots of famous debt crises in history, but the story of Iraq's government debt build-up in the 1980s and subsequent restructuring in the early 2000s is probably one of the most unusual. Iraq transformed from a net creditor to a net borrower in a single decade, tapping a bunch of unusual sources (including funds linked to the CIA) for money to finance war against Iran. All that borrowing eventually culminated in one of the biggest debt restructurings in history. On this episode of the Odd Lots podcast, we speak to Simon Hinrichsen, a doctoral candidate at the London School of Economics, and the first to trace the build-up of Iraq's debt going back to 1979. He walks us through lessons learned from the Iraq restructuring – including one big missed opportunity in the world of sovereign debt.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Feb 26, 2020 • 38min

This Is What The Coronavirus Means For The Chinese Supply Chain

Apple's recent revenue warning reminded the world of how exposed the company is to China, and in particular its factories. As the coronavirus continues to shutter huge swaths of the Chinese economy, this is a potential risk for numerous companies beyond just Apple. On this week's Odd Lots podcast, we speak with Dan Wang, a China tech industry analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics about how this, along with pressure on Huawei, are putting extraordinary pressure on the Chinese supply chain.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Feb 24, 2020 • 44min

The Jeweler From Uncut Gems Explains Why People Go Crazy For Gold And Diamonds

One of the best recent movies was Uncut Gems, in which Adam Sandler plays a Diamond District jeweler with an addiction to gambling and risk. It turns out, one of the workers in Sandler's shop was played by an actual, real-life jewelry dealer. On this week's episode, we speak with Maksud Agadjani, the founder and owner of TraxNYC, which sells a range of items, from traditional bracelets and necklaces to highly customized, 3D-printed items for celebrities. Agadjani talked to us about the movie, the business of gems, and why people will spend wild sums on his flashy items.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Feb 17, 2020 • 29min

What the Coronavirus Means for Pandemic Bonds

Back in 2017, the World Bank issued the world's first pandemic bonds. The bonds are meant to shift some of the financial risk of a global pandemic on to investors, but they've been criticized for having 'triggers' that are too tough to generate payouts. Now, as the coronavirus outbreak continues to spread, it's worth looking at how these bonds are structured and what they can tell us about the future of public-private partnerships in finance. In this episode of Odd Lots, we speak with Olga Jonas of the Harvard Global Health Institute, and a former economist at the World Bank with significant pandemic experience. She gives us her take on the bonds as well as the economic impact of big epidemics.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Feb 10, 2020 • 45min

Why The Rise of Passive Investing Might Be Distorting The Market

Over the last decade or so, we've seen an incredible rise in so-called passive investing. While definitions differ over what this means, we've seen more and more money poured into index funds (which own every stock in a given basket). Meanwhile, money has been yanked away from money managers who attempt to select individual stocks. One school of thought argues that this is a positive, in part due to lower fees. But is there a dark side? On this week's episode, we speak to Mike Green of hedge fund Logica Capital, who argues that the trend is causing major market distortions that will eventually unwind with ugly consequences.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Feb 3, 2020 • 59min

How To Use Fiscal Stimulus To Stave Off The Next Recession

There's a growing consensus that governments need to act more aggressively in using fiscal policy to stave off the next recession, and that monetary policy simply isn't powerful enough. But how do you actually go about it? What do you spend the money on, and how do you get politicians to disburse it in a timely manner? On this week's Odd Lots, we speak with Claudia Sahm, a former Fed economist who is now at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth, on ways to systematize and automate an early and aggressive fiscal response to economic weakness. Sahm has achieved fame for her so-called "Sahm Rule" which can provide policymakers with an early warning sign of when a recession might be brewing.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 27, 2020 • 49min

Perry Mehrling Explains Why "The Money View" Is Key To Understanding Financial Markets

Professor Perry Mehrling explains his 'Money View' framework and its importance in understanding financial markets. He discusses the role of money in the economy and how it helps explain the financial crisis and post-crisis regulations. The podcast also explores the dealer function, shadow banking, and the causes of the 2008 financial crisis.
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Jan 24, 2020 • 40min

Why The Transition To Clean Energy Is Happening A Lot Faster Than People Realize

At the recent World Economic Forum in Davos, there was a lot of talk about the need to change the world's energy usage in order to address climate change. While it's easy to get cynical about business leaders and politicians talking about sustainability on a mountaintop in Switzerland, it turns out that a lot is already happening right now. On the latest Odd Lots episode, we speak with journalist and analyst Gregor Macdonald, the editor of The Gregor Letter, about what's actually happening on the ground. And why the transition to renewable energy is happening fast, even in the absence of aggressive government subsidies.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 20, 2020 • 51min

How An Exotic Investment Product Sold In Korea Could Create Havoc In The U.S. Options Market

Benn Eifert, a financial advisor specializing in Korean structured notes, discusses how an exotic investment product sold to Korean retail investors could cause massive volatility in the U.S. options market due to hedging requirements.
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Jan 13, 2020 • 36min

What It's Like To Be An Investor In Iran's Market Right Now

Iran's stock market is one of the most unfamiliar equity markets in the world. With Iran under stringent U.S. sanctions, it's hard to even find data on where Iranian stocks are trading. Then there's geopolitical risk. This month the U.S. killed Iran's top general Qassem Soleimani and Iran retaliated by firing missiles at U.S.-Iraqi air bases, sparking a sell-off in global markets. So what happened to Iranian stocks in this time period? On this week's episode of Odd Lots, we speak with Maciej Wojtal, who runs the only European asset manager focused on Iranian stocks.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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