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Odd Lots

Latest episodes

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Jan 29, 2024 • 45min

Why the Short Volatility Trade Is Back and Bigger Than Ever

The podcast discusses the return and popularity of the short volatility trade, including the risks and poor habits associated with it. It explores how investors use this trade as a hedge and the increase in derivative income generating funds. The fascination with income-generating derivative strategies and the challenges faced by market makers in managing their positions in options are also discussed. The concept of being long or short volatility and the controversy surrounding zero-day options and retail trading are examined.
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Jan 26, 2024 • 30min

Lots More on China's Moves to Create a Dollar Alternative

Zongyuan Zoe Liu, Maurice R. Greenberg fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, discusses China's de-dollarization efforts, the rise of a new energy and commodity system, China's desire to protect itself from being cut off from the dollar system, China's dominance in critical minerals processing and manufacturing capacity, the impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on China's currency strategy, and an overview of the current state of the Chinese economy and the rise of Chinese companies in the high tech sector.
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Jan 25, 2024 • 41min

The Anonymous Meme Account Chronicling Credit Market Craziness

The podcast discusses the wild credit market in recent years, including the impact of the pandemic and surge in deal activity. High Yield Harry, an anonymous social media account, chronicles it all through memes and jokes. They explore the challenges in public and private credit, the process of private credit deals, and the effects of COVID-19 on the credit market. The value of relationships in business transactions is also discussed.
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Jan 22, 2024 • 51min

Brevan Howard's Top Economist Sees Three Huge Macro Turning Points Under Way

The podcast explores the three major turning points underway in the global economy: the end of secular stagnation, the end of China's 'get rich at all costs' era, and the end of 'the end of history' as liberal democracy faces challenges. The chief economist of Brevan Howard hedge fund predicts a recession in the US in 2024.
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Jan 19, 2024 • 38min

The Moment That Boeing's Culture Started To Rot

This podcast discusses the problems plaguing Boeing, including mechanical and engineering setbacks, the history and culture of the company, and a shift away from safety and engineering in favor of shareholder satisfaction. It also explores the financial pressures faced by Boeing, the differences between Airbus and Boeing, and the strained relationship between Boeing and the FAA. Additionally, it delves into the rise of Chinese aerospace manufacturer Comak and its potential impact on the global aircraft market.
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Jan 18, 2024 • 40min

US Oil Is Booming and It's Upending Global Markets

Exploring the surprising boom of US oil production, its impact on global markets, and the unexpected profitability of the industry. The podcast also discusses the shifting funding dynamics, the rising tensions in the Red Sea, and the increase in US oil exports despite the unfriendly campaign by the Biden administration.
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Jan 15, 2024 • 50min

The Massive Economic Impact If China Invades Taiwan

The guests discuss the possible economic impact of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, estimating it to be around $10 trillion. They explore the importance of the Taiwanese economy in the global context, the modeling process used to estimate the global implications, and the challenges of modeling economic scenarios. They also examine the potential impact of poor Chinese economic growth on a potential conflict with Taiwan and discuss the United States' potential involvement in the event of an attack. The podcast ends with a discussion about board games and a recommendation for another show.
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Jan 12, 2024 • 20min

Lots More on What's Hot at JPM's Health Conference

James van Geelen, a guest who attended JPMorgan's Health Care Conference and specializes in health care and medical technology, shares insights from the conference on AI and GLP-1 weight loss drugs. The podcast also discusses emerging trends in weight loss drugs, the impact of interest rates on funding for pharma, and the need for combination drugs for weight loss.
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Jan 11, 2024 • 44min

Harley Bassman on Why the Big Moves in the Bond Market Are Done

Harley Bassman, legendary bond investor, discusses the round trip of bond market yields, the risks of convexity, selling covered calls, the mechanics of mortgages and the mortgage spread, hedging risk assets, and expressing views on rates in the bond market.
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Jan 9, 2024 • 34min

Lael Brainard on What Still Can Be Done to Lower Prices

Lael Brainard, Director of the White House's National Economic Council, discusses the state of the US economy and what further can be done to address the high cost of living. Topics include the current state of the economy, efforts to lower prices in various sectors, addressing 'Excuseflation' and unfair pricing practices, housing affordability, and the challenges faced by the Biden administration.

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