Research @ Citi

Nathan Benaich, founder of Air Street Capital and creator of the State of AI report, explores the accelerating frontier of artificial intelligence. Topics include the limits of benchmarks, the rise of AI agents and autonomous research, enterprise model choices, infrastructure and Nvidia’s edge, Chinese open models, consumer commerce, cybersecurity, and whether model-led invention could spark recursive improvement.

Johanna Chua, Citi’s Head of Emerging Market Economics and Asia, joins a discussion from the IMF meetings in Bangkok. They examine elevated bond yields, shifting central-bank reaction functions, and the fiscal stakes of U.S. midterms. AI’s early productivity cycle, rising capital demand, and market risks take center stage, alongside diverging prospects for emerging markets facing higher-for-longer rates and geopolitical pressures.

Candi Wolff, Citi’s Washington-based political affairs leader, examines the 2026 U.S. midterms and their implications for markets and businesses. She weighs a likely Democratic House comeback against a competitive Senate race, then explores the three A’s shaping voters: affordability, AI, and anti-establishment populism. The conversation also covers fiscal pressure, AI guardrails, data centers, and the early 2028 presidential contest.

Beata Manthey and David Groman discuss why they see the year's market gains as a sign of resilience and not complacency. The macro and earnings backdrop matters more than headwinds from rates, geopolitics and political risks, and that backdrop continues to hold up. This podcast contains thematic content and is not intended to be investment research. Nor does it constitute financial, economic, legal, tax or accounting advice. This podcast is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instruments. The contents of this podcast are not based on your individual circumstances and should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product, security, or transaction. The information in this podcast is based on generally available information and, although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. This podcast may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Citi. © 2026 Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Member SIPC. All rights reserved. Citi and Citi and Arc Design are trademarks and service marks of Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates and are used and registered throughout the world.

Dirk Willer and Adam Pickett see increasing fixed-income volatility as raising the risk that equities and other risky assets will start to take rising rates more seriously. But they note that such volatility spikes tend to be short-lived. This podcast contains thematic content and is not intended to be investment research. Nor does it constitute financial, economic, legal, tax or accounting advice. This podcast is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instruments. The contents of this podcast are not based on your individual circumstances and should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product, security, or transaction. The information in this podcast is based on generally available information and, although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. This podcast may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Citi. © 2026 Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Member SIPC. All rights reserved. Citi and Citi and Arc Design are trademarks and service marks of Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates and are used and registered throughout the world.

Erica Poon Werkun and Tony Yuen discuss energy's central role in two major developments shaping the global economy: geopolitics and AI. What's the connection with inflation and rates, and which scenarios should investors consider? This podcast contains thematic content and is not intended to be investment research. Nor does it constitute financial, economic, legal, tax or accounting advice. This podcast is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instruments. The contents of this podcast are not based on your individual circumstances and should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product, security, or transaction. The information in this podcast is based on generally available information and, although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. This podcast may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Citi. © 2026 Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Member SIPC. All rights reserved. Citi and Citi and Arc Design are trademarks and service marks of Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates and are used and registered throughout the world.

Scott Chronert and Patrick Galvin discuss topics they see shaping the fourth quarter for markets, and why the factors at work suggest a more eclectic approach to positioning as the end of the year approaches. This podcast contains thematic content and is not intended to be investment research. Nor does it constitute financial, economic, legal, tax or accounting advice. This podcast is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instruments. The contents of this podcast are not based on your individual circumstances and should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product, security, or transaction. The information in this podcast is based on generally available information and, although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. This podcast may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Citi. © 2026 Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Member SIPC. All rights reserved. Citi and Citi and Arc Design are trademarks and service marks of Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates and are used and registered throughout the world.

Omar Ahmed, Citi’s Head of U.S. Sales and a specialist in investor sentiment and TMT markets, joins a wide-ranging discussion on AI’s shift from adoption to monetization. They explore infrastructure bottlenecks, software winners and losers, open-source economics, semiconductor positioning, telecom pricing, satellite disruption, and the signals separating real growth from market positioning.

Dirk Willer and Alex Saunders discuss investment strategies in light of a flurry of recent developments, ranging from hawkish central banks (with a dovish surprise from the Bank of Japan) to crypto price action. This podcast contains thematic content and is not intended to be investment research. Nor does it constitute financial, economic, legal, tax or accounting advice. This podcast is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instruments. The contents of this podcast are not based on your individual circumstances and should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product, security, or transaction. The information in this podcast is based on generally available information and, although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. This podcast may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Citi. © 2026 Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Member SIPC. All rights reserved. Citi and Citi and Arc Design are trademarks and service marks of Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates and are used and registered throughout the world.

Beata Manthey and Max Layton explore the latest developments in the U.S.-Iran conflict and various scenarios as we approach year's end. As they discuss, Iran has incentives to escalate the conflict, which seems likely to get worse before it gets better. This podcast contains thematic content and is not intended to be investment research. Nor does it constitute financial, economic, legal, tax or accounting advice. This podcast is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instruments. The contents of this podcast are not based on your individual circumstances and should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product, security, or transaction. The information in this podcast is based on generally available information and, although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. This podcast may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Citi. © 2026 Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Member SIPC. All rights reserved. Citi and Citi and Arc Design are trademarks and service marks of Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates and are used and registered throughout the world.