Research @ Citi

Elise Badoy, Head of Europe, UK, Middle East and Africa Equity Research, sits down with Martin Wilkie, Head of Capital Goods Research, to discuss physical AI, how it's transforming industrial processes, and why advances in robotics are about more than humanoid designs. This podcast contains thematic content and is not intended to be investment research. Nor does it constitute financial, economic, legal, tax or accounting advice. This podcast is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instruments. The contents of this podcast are not based on your individual circumstances and should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product, security, or transaction. The information in this podcast is based on generally available information and, although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. This podcast may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Citi. © 2026 Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Member SIPC. All rights reserved. Citi and Citi and Arc Design are trademarks and service marks of Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates and are used and registered throughout the world.

Early January is when investors put their money to work in line with their views for the year. A large part of that money goes into consensus trades, which often do quite well before seeing setbacks. So where is that consensus? Dirk Willer and Alex Saunders offer a survey across asset classes, along with investment strategies. This podcast contains thematic content and is not intended to be investment research. Nor does it constitute financial, economic, legal, tax or accounting advice. This podcast is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instruments. The contents of this podcast are not based on your individual circumstances and should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product, security, or transaction. The information in this podcast is based on generally available information and, although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. This podcast may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Citi. © 2026 Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Member SIPC. All rights reserved. Citi and Citi and Arc Design are trademarks and service marks of Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates and are used and registered throughout the world.

Join Lucy Baldwin, Global Head of Citi Research, as she dives into the investment landscape for 2026. She discusses a resilient economy and the potential for two Fed cuts, balancing caution with optimism. AI-driven investments could push S&P 500 targets to 7,700, while hedging equity risks with credit is crucial. Lucy highlights regional equity positioning, big tech's performance, and the role of cryptocurrencies and commodities in the coming year. She also explores the societal impact of AI and the fierce US-China competition in technology.

Noelle Ibrahim, a quantum physicist and senior executive at IBM, dives into the fascinating realm of quantum computing. She breaks down the intricate concepts of qubits, superposition, and entanglement, clarifying the differences from classical bits. Noelle elaborates on IBM's roadmap towards a fault-tolerant quantum machine by 2029 and discusses real-world applications like portfolio optimization and molecular simulations. She also highlights the importance of industry partnerships and the emergence of quantum-safe cryptography, making this a must-listen for tech enthusiasts!

Nathan Sheets, the Global Chief Economist at Citi, shares insights on the U.S. economy's trajectory heading into 2026. He discusses a 'Goldilocks' scenario of balanced growth and low inflation, while weighing the upsides of consumer strength against risks like labor challenges and geopolitical tensions. Delving into tariffs, Nathan reveals their surprisingly muted impact on inflation. Moreover, he tackles the Fed's balancing act amid varying inflation and labor dynamics, and reflects on AI's potential for productivity gains in a K-shaped economy where prosperity isn't equally shared.

Elise Badoy, Head of Equity Research for Europe, UK, the Middle East and Africa, sits down with Beata Manthey, Head of European Equity Strategy, to discuss our European outlook for 2026. Topics discussed include the prospects for fiscal revival, the AI broadening theme and geopolitics. This podcast contains thematic content and is not intended to be investment research. Nor does it constitute financial, economic, legal, tax or accounting advice. This podcast is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instruments. The contents of this podcast are not based on your individual circumstances and should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product, security, or transaction. The information in this podcast is based on generally available information and, although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. This podcast may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Citi. © 2025 Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Member SIPC. All rights reserved. Citi and Citi and Arc Design are trademarks and service marks of Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates and are used and registered throughout the world.

John Godyn, Citi's Head of Aerospace, Defense and Airlines, shares his insights on the airline industry. He discusses the record demand for holiday travel and its critical role in airline profits. John reveals why consumers continue to fly despite rising costs, touching on the strength of leisure and premium travel. He defines the 'super majors' like Delta and American Airlines, explaining their competitive advantages. Additionally, he explores M&A prospects and the impact of recent bankruptcies, offering a glimpse into the future of the market.

In this discussion, Adam Pickett, the London macro head at Citi, shares his insights on navigating the markets as we approach 2026. He highlights a 'Goldilocks' scenario for growth and moderate inflation. The conversation delves into China as an equity diversifier and the strategic advantages of sectors like tech, financials, and healthcare. Adam emphasizes the challenges of hedging in a tech bubble, suggests a neutral stance on treasuries, and forecasts a three-phase trajectory for the dollar. Lastly, he expresses a preference for base metals over gold, citing cyclical influences.

Head of Research Lucy Baldwin sits down with Max Layton, Global Head of Commodities Research, to discuss a remarkable 2025 for commodities as well as what to expect in 2026. Topics include the gold bull market, what may lie ahead for oil, and how developments with central banks and China may shape commodities strategy. This podcast contains thematic content and is not intended to be investment research. Nor does it constitute financial, economic, legal, tax or accounting advice. This podcast is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instruments. The contents of this podcast are not based on your individual circumstances and should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product, security, or transaction. The information in this podcast is based on generally available information and, although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. This podcast may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Citi. © 2025 Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Member SIPC. All rights reserved. Citi and Citi and Arc Design are trademarks and service marks of Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates and are used and registered throughout the world.

Scott Chronert, Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, sits down with Tushar Yadava, Head of Markets at BlackRock Model Portfolios, to discuss the substantial growth in the model portfolio business and its importance for asset allocation trends. This podcast contains thematic content and is not intended to be investment research. nor does it constitute financial, economic, legal, tax, or accounting advice. This podcast is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instruments. The contents of this podcast are not based on your individual circumstances and should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product, security, or transaction. The information in this podcast is based on generally available information and although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. Third-party opinions expressed in this podcast are solely those of the speaker and do not represent the views of Citi. This podcast may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Citi. Copyrights 2025, Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. Member SIPC. All rights reserved. Citi and Citi and Arc Design are trademarks and service marks of Citigroup, Inc. or its affiliates and are used and registered throughout the world.