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Beyond Markets

Latest episodes

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Aug 6, 2024 • 14min

Asia turns a corner amid global equity turmoil (Moving Markets)

This is a special update from Julius Baer's partner show, Moving Markets.Listen to our daily updates on Moving Markets at the links below:Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/sg/podcast/moving-markets-daily-news/id1628789317 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2AYJMvVqqIavsPP7v4YxEs?si=tpGFjNXYQYWD2NfLtI2XCAAfter the global stock-market rout accelerated yesterday, with losses cascading across tech shares and Japanese equities crashing by the most in over a decade, Japanese stock indices have staged a turnaround and are leading gains in Asia today. In today’s special episode, Christian Gattiker, Head of Research, shares his insights into the latest equity market developments and how he see things going forward. Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, provides us with an update on digital assets and talks about the prospects of a Trump trade.00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:27 Markets wrap-up by Jonti Warris (Investment Writing)04:40 Equity market developments: Christian Gattiker (Head of Equity Strategy)09:22 Digital assets update: Manuel Villegas (Next Generation Research)13:03 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
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Aug 4, 2024 • 31min

In Conversation with GROW – August 2024 Edition

In this monthly China update, our experts discuss their key takeaways from China’s Third Plenum and Politburo meeting. They also analyse the effect of recent surprise rate cuts, and the so-called “cash for clunkers” program in boosting consumption. They also discuss the Chinese equity market in the context of an ongoing sector rotation in US tech stocks, strengthening of the Japanese Yen, as well as latest developments in the US-China chip dispute.This episode is presented by Richard Tang, China Strategist and Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, with Hong Hao, Partner and Chief Economist at GROW Investment Group.
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Jul 30, 2024 • 12min

The Week in Markets: A correction inside a bull market

When the market goes down, people look for reasons. The one most cited now is the idea that Artificial Intelligence will not be as profitable as expected. With June Personal Consumption Expenditure Price index showing inflation is nicely under control, the Federal Reserve should indicate it will cut rates in September, when it meets this week. History is on the side of the S&P 500 index being nicely higher a year after the first rate cut in a rate cut cycle, as long as there is no recession. We forecast US GDP growth at 2.1% next year. The past 4 economic expansions since the “Great Moderation” began in 1982 lasted on average 103 months, while the current expansion is just 51 months old.This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.
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Jul 23, 2024 • 11min

The Week in Markets: A consolidation in stocks would be a healthy thing

In only three of the past thirty years did the S&P 500 index do as well or better than what it has done year-to-date. A consolidation or correction is likely over the next month or so and indeed would be a healthy thing, for the market to carry on later in a sustainable manner. While it’s still early days, Q2 earnings look like they will beat the consensus forecast of 9.7% y/y (which is already the highest since Q4 2021). Odds infer that if the Democrat Party picked a nominee other than Vice President Kamala Harris, its chances of winning the presidential election would be over 50%. But almost all the potential candidates have already pledged their support to her, meaning they don’t want to run. Donald Trump is therefore most likely to win, which in general is perceived as a market-friendly event.This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.
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Jul 17, 2024 • 13min

Where to find value in Europe’s equity markets

US equity markets have undeniably outperformed their European peers so far in 2024, but there are countries and segments within Europe that we believe are now set to benefit from the current economic environment, and that despite disappointing data readings in June, are nevertheless worthy of investors’ attention.In this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast, Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writer, talks to Leonardo Pellandini, Equity Strategist, about where his team sees opportunities in European equities, which countries now carry an Overweight rating, and the sectors and segments that currently offer diversification benefits for investors.00:32 – Introduction to the topic and speakers01:15 – Impact of elections on UK equities02:50 – French equities after parliamentary elections03:58 – Why consider European equities when US indices are outperforming06:01 – European industrials and our preferred subsectors06:54 – The case for mid-cap stocks07:26 – Overweight calls for Germany and Switzerland and a preference for cyclical sectors09:25 - Does disappointing recent economic data taint our views?10:19 - Summary of our equity calls within Europe11:05 - ConclusionWould you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
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Jul 16, 2024 • 6min

The Week in Markets: An extraordinary​​​ weekend

In this episode, we share some thoughts about the ​assassination attempt on​ Donald Trump over last weekend as well as what to expect in an earnings heavy week.This episode is presented by Kelly Chia (Deputy Head of Research, Asia)
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Jul 10, 2024 • 6min

The Week in Markets: Is 9% too high?

In this episode, we talk about what we can expect from a data heavy week and what the 9% Q2 earnings growth expected for the S&P500 means for investors.This episode is presented by Kelly Chia (Deputy Head of Research, Asia), and was recorded on 9 July, 2024.
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Jul 8, 2024 • 24min

In Conversation with GROW - July 2024 Edition

In this monthly China update, our experts discuss if the Chinese property market has finally reached a trough, as well how to pre-position for potential tax reforms in the country, particularly consumption tax. They also assess the impact of previous US trade tariffs on China, and explore the relationship between gold and productivity cycle.This episode is presented by Richard Tang, China Strategist and Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, with Hong Hao, Partner and Chief Economist at GROW Investment Group.
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Jul 2, 2024 • 35min

Evergreen Private Equity – What and Why?

In this episode of Beyond Markets, Alisa Wood, Partner, KKR, shares her insights on private equity and in particular, open-ended, evergreen fund structures. We explore what evergreen structures are, how it compares with traditional, closed end 10-year fund structures, and why it is advantageous to build exposure to private equity in a portfolio. This episode is hosted by William Fong, Co-Head, Alternatives & Strategic Solutions Specialists Asia at Bank Julius Baer.  0:18: Introduction1:14: What are open-ended, evergreen private equity structures?2:50: The growing popularity of evergreen private equity structures6:06: Open-ended vs close-ended structures9:35: Redemption opportunities in evergreen funds12:22: Institutional experience & investment focus18:29: Why invest in private equity?23:23: Get to know Alisa – PEWIN, The Public Theater31:01: Recommended musicals in NYCImportant legal information:The information and opinions expressed in this podcast constitute marketing material and are not the result of independent financial or investment research.Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for further important legal information.Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. L.P.  (KKR) disclaimer:This podcast is for informational purposes only and should be considered of a general nature. The information in this podcast is current only as of the date published. No undertaking, representation, warranty or other assurance, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. L.P. (along with certain affiliates), or any of its respective partners, executives, employees as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation and no responsibility or liability is accepted by any of them for any such information or opinions. Such information or opinions should not be relied upon and are subject to change without notice. Anyone listening to this podcast should consult their own advisors relating to any investment decision. Statements contained in this podcast that are not historical facts are based on KKR's current expectations, estimates, projections, opinions and beliefs. These statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors and should not be relied upon. There are several risks associated with investments in private equity structures. In addition, any projections or other estimates, including estimates of returns or performance, are “forward-looking statements” and are based on certain assumptions that may change.
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Jul 1, 2024 • 7min

The Week in Markets: The start of Q2 earnings beckons

In this episode, we provide some highlights of what happened during the 1st US presidential debate of 2024 and what to expect from a very heavy macro data week.This episode is presented by Kelly Chia (Deputy Head of Research, Asia).

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