Oil Markets

With global demand destruction and COVID-19 continuing to impact US production, the expected trajectory of US crude exports is vastly different than just a few months ago. Before the pandemic, S&P Global Platts Analytics expected US crude exports to end 2020 at a run rate of nearly 4 million b/d, rising past 6 million b/d by the mid-2020s, but with demand loss for now putting a cap on WTI at about $40/b, Analytics now expects exports to fall below 2 million b/d by mid-2021. S&P Global Platts editors Laura Huchzermeyer, Kristian Tialios and Matt Eversman look at the factors affecting US crude exports.

The COVID-19 pandemic continues to create interesting opportunities; one of the more surprising is seeing kerosene finding its way into marine fuel. Platts reporters Sarah-Jane Flaws and Gary Clark discuss with Joel Hanley how a once-premium product has mingled with shipping fuel.

Fresh from the recent Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference or Platts APPEC, Gawoon Phil Vahn and Surabhi Sahu join Mriganka Jaipuriyar to share key themes and insights discussed at the event, which brought together - virtually - the who's who in the oil industry.  This episode takes a deep dive into the impact of the current fragile demand environment on the region's refining industry, the strategies being deployed by major companies to fight against weak refining margins as the coronavirus pandemic continues to affect oil product demand, as well as the big push for energy transition and the pressure on the aviation industry to cut emissions. 

US Gulf Coast market players looking to get light naphtha barrels off their hands, a hungry Asian market and weakened freight is the perfect arbitrage recipe. But with shipowners reluctant to move their ships East, where the freight market is weak, the balance has been delicate. Sarah Raslan, US naphtha editor, and Marieke Alsguth, US clean tankers editor, chat with Americas Oil Markets Editorial Director Director Richard Swann to dissect the ingredients that have set the table for this arbitrage opportunity.

There is rising supply for European diesel and while demand is recovering it is still short of last year’s levels, the pronounced contango this is prompting comes when many clean tankers are choosing to stay in the region, meaning the stars are aligning for floating storage. Middle distillates expert Virginie Malicier and clean tanker specialist Chris To tell Joel Hanley the latest.

Russia’s slashing of crude output is well documented, but how are its internal markets coping with the impact of COVID-19? Joel Hanley asks Russia experts Elza Turner and Thomas Washington what the energy superpower can do to stem volatility at home.

Light sulfur fuel oil has been the main marine fuel of choice worldwide, but high sulfur fuel oil has held its stead in Asia. S&P Global Platts senior oil experts Surabhi Sahu and Oceana Zhou join Platts Asia Head of News Mriganka Jaipuriyar in examining the demand for HSFO particularly in Singapore, which is the world's largest bunkering port. They also discuss China's fuel demand and outlook, as well as the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the Asian fuel oil markets.

COVID-19 may have caused demand for jet fuel to plummet but S&P Global Platts and the wider industry are looking to the future with a newly launched European sustainable aviation fuel assessment, as public scrutiny keeps emissions targets in sight. Middles distillates specialists Gary Clark, Christopher Ewen and Harry Morton tell Joel Hanley how this fits in with wider trends across the middle of the barrel.

As European road transport demand gradually recovers amid the coronavirus pandemic, the price of gasoline blending component ethanol has reached all-time highs on tight supply, rising road demand and strong industrial use. Unusually, the prices of other blending components are down in the doldrums. S&P Global Platts reporters Chrysa Glystra, Joseph McDonnell and Stergios Zacharakis tell Gary Clark the latest.

OPEC and its allies are loosening the reins around production cuts amid tentative signs of an oil demand recovery, which is likely to bring additional heavier sourer barrels back on to the market. Gillian Carr and Paul Hickin discuss with Joel Hanley how this could play out in the months ahead.