Milk Road Macro

Yann Allemann, co-founder of Glassnode and SwissBlock, shares his insights on market liquidity and macro trends. He discusses the Fed's rate cuts and their effects on market behavior. Yann dives into the potential for a melt-up or blow-off top in the S&P, explaining how institutional capital is revolving rapidly. He analyzes Bitcoin's price dynamics, highlighting critical levels and on-chain signals. Plus, he addresses the role of Ethereum and stablecoins in the evolving macro landscape, emphasizing how these factors will shape market outcomes.

In this discussion, Bill Fleckenstein, a legendary hedge fund manager known for his market insights and successful short-selling, reveals why the Fed's recent rate cuts may not significantly impact the market. He explains the dominance of passive investing and its role in driving the bull run. Bill also shares insights on the dangers of uncertainty surrounding Fed policy, the complexities of valuing gold and mining stocks, and the importance of cash reserves during volatile times. His seasoned perspective offers valuable takeaways for navigating today's financial landscape.

Santiago Santos, founder & CEO of Inversion Capital and a prominent digital asset investor, dives deep into the evolving landscape of finance. He discusses the Federal Reserve's newfound openness to stablecoins and how AI could leverage USDC for seamless transactions. Santiago also tackles the tensions between banks and stablecoin issuers, the potential for capital flight in Latin America, and the transformative power of programmable money in commerce. His insights on the regulatory environment and institutional moves from giants like JPMorgan reveal the revolutionary shift in global finance.

Vincent Deluard, Director of Global Macro Strategy at StoneX Group, sparks a riveting discussion on why current inflation is far from under control. He argues that fiscal dominance drives inflation dynamics, complicating traditional economic views. Deluard highlights the ongoing gold rally as central banks amass substantial reserves, and he questions the Fed’s independence amid political pressures. He advises investors to pivot towards stocks, gold, and crypto while warning against the 2% inflation target's role in growing inequality. An eye-opening chat on money and market strategies!

In this episode, chart master Caleb Franzen returns to break down why the recent volatility in Bitcoin, stocks, and gold isn’t a sign of a bear market, but actually one of the most compelling buying opportunities in months. With Powell signaling rate cuts, M2 liquidity rising, and credit spreads holding strong, Caleb argues that the macro backdrop still screams risk-on, if you know where to look.~~~~📚 Helpful Resources 📚🥛 The Fed’s running it hot and the bears are wrong 🐂⁠⁠⁠⁠https://link.milkroad.com/macro-fed-analysis-10/05-pod⁠⁠⁠⁠~~~~~⁠⁠⁠🌍 Macro moves markets, get ahead of the game with Milk Road Macro Newsletter:⁠⁠⁠https://link.milkroad.com/pod-macro-free-signup⁠⁠⁠💰 Institutional grade research (priced for everyday people), that doesn’t require a masters degree to understand:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://link.milkroad.com/pod-macro-pro-signup⁠⁠⁠💸 Get your pain-free crypto portfolio GUIDE for 2025:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://milkroad.com/subscribe/get-the-guide/?utm_medium=audio&utm_source=podcast⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠~~~~~✊ Follow Milk Road Macro on Social Media:👉 Milk Road Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://x.com/MilkRoadMacro⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠👉 YouTube: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/@MilkRoadMacro⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠👉 Spotify: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://open.spotify.com/show/0QRuoqgBXmSqtjtY0WDVrE⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠👉 Apple Podcast: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/milk-road-macro/id1828927405⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠~~~~~🎙 GUEST INFO 🎙Caleb Franzen: https://x.com/CalebFranzen📃 Disclaimer 📃The information presented in this video is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial, legal. The views and opinions expressed by the speakers, are their own and do not constitute professional advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries significant risks, including the potential for substantial losses.

In this conversation, Benn Eifert, a fund manager and derivatives expert with a PhD in economics, dives into the complexities of retail trading and its impact on modern markets. He reveals how the rise of meme stocks and gamified trading has changed the landscape, questioning the myth of democratized finance as often predatory. Benn warns about the perils of high leverage, emphasizing the need for education for retail investors, and suggests safer trading alternatives like perpetual futures over complex options.

Mary Ann Bartels, a legendary Wall Street strategist with extensive experience in equity strategy and ETF research, dives deep into today's market chaos. She predicts a massive bullish decade ahead, with targets of S&P 7,000, Bitcoin at $150K, and gold soaring to $5,000. Bartels discusses the implications of Trump’s trade policies, the potential impact of government shutdowns, and suggests key sectors to focus on, such as tech and crypto. With her fascinating insights, she makes sense of today’s volatility while emphasizing long-term opportunities.

Henrik Zeberg, head macroeconomist at SwissBlock and author of 'The Monetary House of Cards,' explores the curious paradox of an erupting bull market amid economic turmoil. He delves into his cyclical macro framework, clarifying how leading and lagging indicators reveal market dynamics. Discussing consumer distress, he uses an iceberg metaphor and outlines the impending risks of a blow-off top. With insights on dollar trends and the limits of central bank interventions, Zeberg offers strategies for navigating these turbulent waters.

Mel Mattison, a veteran macro analyst and fintech executive with over 25 years of experience, discusses the potential for a historic bull market reminiscent of the 1950s. He delves into the driving forces behind the current everything-everywhere rally, making intriguing comparisons to past economic eras. Mel explains the Fed's hidden third mandate and its implications for investors, discusses the transformative impact of AI, and highlights the increasing role of gold and Bitcoin in today's markets. He also warns of societal strains amid this financial surge.

In this engaging discussion, Professor Steve Hanke, an applied economics expert at Johns Hopkins, dives deep into monetary policy. He argues that the real market drivers are changes in money supply rather than interest rates. Hanke warns that the Fed's focus on rate hikes is causing volatility and calls for a target of 6% money supply growth to stabilize inflation. He also explains the surge in gold demand and predicts a potential price peak of $6,000, linking it to capital flight and concerns over dollar stability.