The TreppWire Podcast: A Commercial Real Estate Show

The TreppWire Podcast, A CRE Show
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Feb 10, 2023 • 49min

181. Hotels Roaring Back, Industrial Weakening, Tech Impact to Office

In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we examine a few themes in commercial real estate: signs of improvement for the hotel market, a slowdown in industrial, and the impact of tech on the office sector. We also dive into the pricing of a new CMBS conduit deal, and cover some recent company earnings and what they mean for the markets at large. Tune in now. Episode Notes: • Economic news ( • Company earnings (6:39) • Bed Bath & Beyond • CMBS Conduit Deal (14:01) • CMBS conduit deal ~17 • Self-storage ~17:17 • Industrial (21:07) • Hotels (22:50) • Office green shoots (27:05) • Office crabgrass (31:13) • Shoutouts (45:14) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Feb 2, 2023 • 51min

180. Seismic Shift in Office? Podcast Trading Alert, Multifamily Markets to Watch, Grocery Retail

In this week's episode, we present an inaugural Trading Alert recorded live on the podcast, where we dive into the news of a large real estate player handing back the keys to their office holdings and decide if it will cause a seismic shift in the CRE sector. We talk multifamily markets to watch, delinquency rates revealing it’s not all doom and gloom, and many corporate announcements and earnings. Stay tuned for green shoots and crabgrass in office and a discussion about grocery-anchored retail. Tune in now. Episode Notes: Economic news (0:23) Confusing jobs story (7:55) Corporate announcements (9:45) Podcast Trading Alert: RXR Handing Back the Keys (12:30) Redemptions (18:38) Vornado writing down portfolio value (23:06) Delinquency report (24:14) Bed Beth & Beyond closing 87 more stores (28:22) Office green shoots (33:33) Crabgrass in office (35:43) One person’s crab is another person’s green (38:58) Multifamily markets to watch (41:14) Grocery-anchored retail (43:37) Shoutouts (47:33) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Jan 27, 2023 • 52min

179. Bumpy Year Ahead, Loan Spreads in Volatile Times, Renters’ Bill of Rights & Multifamily Impact

In this week's episode, we are reviewing what looks like a bumpy year ahead for the economic markets. We talk about the prospect of national rent control, which has sent worries through the multifamily market, company earnings, housing news, and more tech layoffs (+ some company expansions). In the CMBS market, we review historical loan spreads, which can provide a useful metric during volatile times, and talk about a conduit deal that priced this week. Stick around for office stories to watch, retail headlines, and a rare office-to-industrial conversion. Tune in now. Episode Notes: - Economic update: the bumpy year ahead (0:23) - Renters' Bill of Rights (3:27) - Housing news (4:54) - Earnings and tech layoffs (11:55) - Companies raise wages and hire (16:20) - Historical loan spreads (17:13) - CMBS deal priced this week (20:48) - Regal Cinemas and bankruptcy news (25:07) - Office occupancy and work-from-home trends (29:35) - Office CRE stories (33:23) - Retail green shoots and crabgrass (42:17) - How quickly do loans “workout" in special servicing(44:14) - Shoutouts (46:11) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Jan 20, 2023 • 48min

178. CRE Transactions Drop, Big City Office Blues Hit Seattle, Japanese Bond Market

In this week's episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we are watching the Japanese bond market, big bank earnings, the legal debt ceiling, retail sales, and housing news. In commercial real estate finance, we talk about retailer bankruptcies, the latest sales transaction data, office loans to watch, and sublease, sales, and vacancy stories across the country. Tune in now. Episode Notes: • Economic update: Fedspeak (0:23) • Japan/debt ceiling (9:02) • Mixed bag for bank earnings (12:08) • Tech layoffs (18:01) • Party City bankruptcy (19:17) • Digging through the data: CRE transactions decline (22:37) • Office loans to watch (26:11) • Bad news for Seattle (29:06) • Brokers start your engines (34:16) • Denver trading alert (35:36) • Statefarm portfolio (37:50) • Sublease space in Columbus (39:38) • Shoutouts (41:58) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Jan 13, 2023 • 54min

177. ‘Game of Chicken’ for Players in CRE Finance, CREFC Sentiment; Office Sublease Special

For the last few days, the podcast team was at CREFC Miami, where the sentiment surrounded “cautious optimism” (or was it “cautious pessimism?”) and the 'game of chicken' that is taking place for buyers/sellers and borrowers/lenders. In this week's episode, Orest Mandzy of CRE Direct joins the team to share our takeaways from the CRE finance industry conference, dive into what’s to come for multifamily and affordability, examine where CMBS issuance and loan payoffs stand, and share crabgrass and green shoots for retail and office. Tune in now. Episode Notes: Economic update (0:23) Good news on inflation (3:07) Housing (6:15) CREFC Confidential: Industry conference Sentiment (10:16) Multifamily and affordability panel (20:25) Year-End Magazine: CMBS issuance (25:10) December 2022 loan payoffs (29:32) Retail crabgrass (31:38) Retail positives (33:20) Sublease special (39:02) Office crabgrass (41:09) Greenies in office (44:04) Shoutouts (48:53) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Jan 6, 2023 • 51min

176. New Year, Same Market Concerns; CMBS Delinquencies Rise, Office & Retail Layoffs, Closures

Recent reports show that more than two-thirds of economists at 23 large financial institutions are predicting a U.S. recession.  In this week's episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we examine the negativity that has made its way to 2023, reviewing Fed minutes, more Tech firm issues, and our own CMBS delinquency rate rising in December 2022. It’s not all bad news. Among news about firms downsizing, store closures, and layoffs, we find some positive stories for the retail and office sectors. Tune in now. Episode Notes: Economic Update: Fed minutes, recession, Tech Wreck (0:23) Downsizing at tech firms (4:55) Twitter cost cutting (8:28) Vote of confidence: UC BREIT (11:42) CMBS delinquency report (15:01) Office news (20:50) Green shoots in office (23:08) Crabgrass for office (28:00) Bed Bath & Beyond running out of cash (31:20) Layoffs & closures (34:50) Retail green shoots (37:45) Shoutouts (46:15) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Dec 30, 2022 • 48min

175. A Look Back & Ahead: 2022 CRE Market Surprises, What’s to Come in 2023

In the final episode of 2022, the team pauses to review the year, reflecting on pleasant and unpleasant surprises and the CRE stories that topped the headlines. In this week's episode, we share a look back at 2022 and also look ahead to 2023, sharing some of our commercial real estate and economic market predictions for next year based on what we've learned from the stories. Stick around to learn what a TWPT is. Wishing a happy new year to all our listeners! Tune in now. Episode Notes: Economic overview (0:23) Look back at 2022: pleasant surprises (8:43) Unpleasant surprises (14:22) Top content of 2022 (20:43) Positive trading alerts: retail (24:03) Negative trading alerts: tenants vacating, subleases, tech news(27:41) 2023 predictions (36:05) Shoutouts (46:18) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Dec 23, 2022 • 45min

174. Weak Retail Sales & More Office CMBS Turmoil, Soft Housing Market, Holiday Wishlist

In this week's episode, we discuss weak holiday sales, retail earnings, and the soft housing market. In CRE, there is a lot to cover in the office and retail sectors, with positive, negative, and neutral stories that paint a picture of what is to come in 2023. The team also shares their holiday wish lists. Happy holidays to all our listeners! Episode Notes: • Economic data: consumer sentiment, recession, earnings (0:23) • Housing market headwinds(6:25) • Commercial mortgage universe increases(14:41) • Office losses in major markets (16:45) • Positive office stories (18:50) • Why the recent increase in cap rate reporting? (22:10) • Office crabgrass (25:27) • Retail news(33:31) • Mall credit stories (37:18) • Programming and shoutouts (39:23) • Holiday Wishlist (41:46) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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Dec 16, 2022 • 37min

173. All Eyes on Office, Fed Dot Plot, Violent Market Reaction

This week, the big investor reaction was to the Fed’s so-called “dot plot” that sees a higher Fed Funds target range. In this episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we dive into the welcomed CPI print, the Fed decision, retail sales, housing, and what it all means for CRE. We also have a lot to discuss in the office market, with a focus on loan refinancings, tenant moves, space consolidations, and more. Tune in now. Episode Notes: • Economic data: CPI, Fed decision(0:23) • Labor, jobs, housing (4:33) • Good week for borrowers(6:55) • Joann Fabrics hold on dividend payments(10:12) • Office conversion story (12:54) • Positive office news (14:35) • Office mixed greens(22:10) • Office crabgrass (25:40) • Retail green shoots (29:02) • Amazon movie theaters (30:56) • Shoutouts (31:27) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC
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4 snips
Dec 9, 2022 • 43min

172. Gloomy CRE Mood: Is Office the New Mall? Industrial Cracks, But Plenty of Hotel Green Shoots

In this week’s episode, we analyze what appears to be a commercial real estate market turning negative. Rob Jordan, Head of CMBS, joins the team as we discuss market sentiment, borrower concerns, and predictions for the economy and Q4 bank earnings. In property-type news, we saw a lot of negative news for the office market – opening the door to the question: are offices the new malls? We also see cracks in the industrial market, but the positive signs in recent hotel stories help reel in the negativity. Tune in now. Episode Notes: • Economic update (0:23) • Sentiment for 2023 (7:41) • Multifamily borrower concerns (11:08) • Barry Sternlicht NYU conference comments (13:42) • Q4 bank earnings predictions (19:07) • Retail news to know(20:07) • Green shoots (24:26) • Office conversions (26:09) • Hotel resilience (33:20) • Industrial cracks (36:03) • Shoutouts (38:37) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp-llc Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC

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