RenMac

Jeff deGraaf, Neil Dutta, & Stephen Pavlick
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31 snips
Apr 4, 2025 • 50min

RenMac Off-Script: Obliteration Day

Delve into the intriguing world of trade deficits and tariffs, exploring their impact on market uncertainty. Discover the Federal Reserve's shifting outlook on rates and analyze recent job growth trends, particularly in education and health sectors. Unpack tactical lows and how market sentiment reacts to inflation expectations. Learn about the strategic complexities of orchestrating a recession, the strength of the dollar, and the implications of executive orders on industries. Embrace a positive investment mindset amid market volatility!
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10 snips
Mar 28, 2025 • 37min

RenMac Off-Script: Bad News Priced

The discussion revolves around the significance of the upcoming 'Liberation Day' and how much bad news is already reflected in market pricing. Political controversies, especially regarding communication security and accountability, take center stage. Trade tariffs are explored in the context of current political strategies and their economic implications. The analysis highlights declining economic indicators and their impact on employment rates, as well as the significance of upcoming elections in shaping voter sentiment and economic policies.
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Mar 21, 2025 • 41min

RenMac Off-Script: Tariffied

RenMac unpacks the FOMC meeting, Trump’s conversation with Putin, the deteriorating transportation names, tariff uncertainty, the likelihood of a downside economic surprise in coming months, Schumer’s unwinnable position and how moving averages can help generate alpha.
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9 snips
Mar 14, 2025 • 41min

RenMac Off-Script: Eggs-cellent

RenMac discusses the potential strategy behind Schumer’s decision to avoid a government shutdown, the contribution of egg prices to CPI, the deteriorating news flow with the spike in bearish market sentiment, the potential Canadian tariff strategy (or lack thereof), why we’re not playing this as a bear-market and this week’s mailbag regarding market tops.
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13 snips
Mar 7, 2025 • 33min

RenMac Off-Script: A Weak Outlook Trump's Making Worse

RenMac dissects the payrolls, the latest tariff moves, the importance of credit indications and the complete unwind of beta as well as this weeks mail-bag.
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Feb 28, 2025 • 26min

RenMac Off-Script: Policy Uncertainty

Renmac talks through the latest policy uncertainty and its history on markets, Neil interprets the latest housing and income data and how today is mirror image of 2022.  Steve discusses the March 14th budget deadline and Jeff walks through the beta reversion and what look vulnerable at this point.
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Feb 21, 2025 • 31min

RenMac Off-Script: Data and Industrials

Explore the potential impacts of a government shutdown and how it could affect various sectors. The discussions reveal softening economic data and the challenges facing the industrial landscape. With budget battles heating up in Congress, the role of China and its economic strategies takes center stage. Insights into the evolving semiconductor market highlight contrasting trends between the U.S. and China, particularly in tech rivalry and tariff implications. The team tackles the complex dynamics shaping investment decisions and market behaviors.
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Feb 14, 2025 • 35min

RenMac Off-Script: Valentine VAT

RenMac crew discusses the difference between a VAT and tariff, this week’s inflation data, our China/HK call, the notable deterioration in internal S&P trends, D’s leverage on DOGE, and this week’s mail-bag: gold.
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Feb 7, 2025 • 35min

RenMac Off-Script: Thin Kids At Fat Camp

RenMac discusses implications of the latest employment report, the alignment of market’s message and economic data,  Trump’s “Flood the Zone” strategy, what policy uncertainty means for markets, Jeff’s provincial pronunciation and the latest question from RenMac’s Mail-Bag
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Jan 31, 2025 • 36min

RenMac Off-Script: Tick-Tock Tariffs

RenMac opines on tariffs and their economic impact, bar fights and political strategy, unpacking Jevon’s paradox, DeepSeek’s potential genome-sequencing moment for AI, handicapping this week’s confirmations, Fed’s outlook on inflation, the ongoing challenges in semiconductors, and RenMac’s mail-bag.

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