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Macro & Volatility™

Latest episodes

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Jul 1, 2025 • 17min

Macro & Volatility™ #22: Tempered Cross-Asset Volatility

US Dollar allergy & US Treasury curve illnessTipping point for US Dollar weaknessRisk appetite still going strong!
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May 29, 2025 • 24min

Macro & Volatility™ #21: Re-shoring, Re-industrialization, De-globalization

The winners, the losers, and the in-betweensOld economy vs New economy CapExTrump has Made Europe Great Again (“MEGA”)US De-globalization is leading to Global De-correlation
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May 1, 2025 • 11min

Macro & Volatility™ #20: 4000s without a Recession

Realized volatility did the heavy liftingTrade (“Cold”) War discountPace of news flow will slow
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Mar 27, 2025 • 9min

Macro & Volatility™ #19: Beyond Liberation Day

What does Liberation Day mean for inflation?Bonds and the Fed are pointing to growth contraction and moderate stagflationTail-hedging didn’t workTrump Put is very different than the Fed Put
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Feb 25, 2025 • 11min

Macro & Volatility™ #18: Deconstructing the Bond Bid

The bond market says ...What's driving the yields?The VIX continues to be higher for longer
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Jan 30, 2025 • 16min

Macro & Volatility™ #17: Insight into the Tele-tech Frenzy of the 90s and How it Applies to AI Today

CEO FOMO, 30 years later.Using lessons from the past to understand risk today.A key difference in valuations, then and now.
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Jan 29, 2025 • 16min

Macro & Volatility™ #17: Insight into the Tele-tech Frenzy of the 90s & How it Applies Today

CEO FOMO, 30 years later; Using lessons from the past to understand risk today;A key difference in valuations, then and now
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Jan 7, 2025 • 13min

Macro & Volatility™ #16: Trading the “Art of the Deal”

The US political risk premium. Market corrections could be violent. Upside may be limited by PE contraction; downside may be limited by two Trump puts.
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Nov 25, 2024 • 6min

Macro & Volatility™ #15: Bessent’s Job Won’t Be Easy

Rate volatility will likely be higher for longer. Elevated rate volatility means higher mortgage rates. High mortgage rates will contribute to higher inflation.
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Oct 29, 2024 • 10min

Macro & Volatility™ #14: Gold, Post-Election and Beyond

Fleeting competition for gold. Gold strength continues despite dollar range, elevated rates, and low vol. Silver can catch up.

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