ForeCast

Toby Ord, a Senior Researcher at Oxford University focused on existential risks, dives into the intriguing concept of the ‘scaling paradox’ in AI. He discusses how scaling challenges affect AI performance, particularly the diminishing returns of deep learning models. The conversation also touches on the ethical implications of AI governance and the importance of moratoria on advanced technologies. Moreover, Toby examines the shifting landscape of AI's capabilities and the potential risks for humanity, emphasizing the need for a balance between innovation and safety.

This is an AI narration of "The Industrial Explosion" by Tom Davidson, Rose Hadshar. The article was first released on 21th May 2025. You can read more of our research at forethought.org/research. Thank you to Type III audio for providing these automated narrations.

Lizka Vaintrob discusses ‘AI Tools for Existential Security’, co-authored with Owen Cotton-Barratt. To see all our published research, visit forethought.org/research.

This is an AI narration of "Will Compute Bottlenecks Prevent a Software Intelligence Explosion?" by Tom Davidson. The article was first released on 4th April 2025. You can read more of our research at forethought.org/research. Thank you to Type III audio for providing these automated narrations.

This is an AI narration of "The AI Adoption Gap: Preparing the US Government for Advanced AI" by Lizka Vaintrob. The article was first released on 2nd April 2025. You can read more of our research at forethought.org/research. Thank you to Type III audio for providing these automated narrations.

Tom Davidson, co-author of the influential paper on AI R&D automation, delves into the potential for a software intelligence explosion. He discusses how automated AI research could lead to a runaway feedback loop, surpassing human capabilities. The conversation covers the Asara concept, suggesting AI might autonomously enhance research, revolutionizing the field. Davidson also highlights the balance between innovation pace and diminishing returns, while emphasizing the need for better benchmarks and governance to manage these rapid advancements.

This is an AI narration of "Will the Need to Retrain AI Models from Scratch Block a Software Intelligence Explosion?" by Tom Davidson. The article was first released on 26th March 2025. You can read more of our research at forethought.org/research. Thank you to Type III audio for providing these automated narrations.

This is an AI narration of "How Can AI Labs Incorporate Risks From AI Accelerating AI Progress Into Their Responsible Scaling Policies?" by Tom Davidson. The article was first released on 24th March 2025. You can read more of our research at forethought.org/research. Thank you to Type III audio for providing these automated narrations.

Will MacAskill, co-author of ‘Preparing for the Intelligence Explosion’ and AI safety expert, dives into the thrilling world of artificial general intelligence. He discusses the rapid advancements in AI and potential challenges for humanity as technology outpaces decision-making processes. The conversation touches on the societal implications of an intelligence explosion, including geopolitical tensions and existential risks. MacAskill also explores ethical considerations for AI governance and the impact of these technologies on our future, including in space exploration.

This is an AI narration of "How Suddenly will AI Accelerate the Pace of AI progress?" by Tom Davidson, Rose Hadshar, William MacAskill. The article was first released on 17th March 2025. You can read more of our research at forethought.org/research. Thank you to Type III audio for providing these automated narrations.