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Thoughts on the Market

Latest episodes

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16 snips
Jan 10, 2025 • 9min

Big Debates: The AI Evolution

In this insightful discussion, Keith Weiss, Head of U.S. Software Research at Morgan Stanley, explores the transformative impact of artificial intelligence on enterprise software. He highlights the rise of 'agentic AI,' predicting it could influence up to 45% of U.S. jobs, translating to a staggering $4 trillion in labor market changes. Weiss also addresses the shift from large model training to the need for enhanced inference capabilities, while cautiously discussing the challenges of achieving artificial general intelligence by 2025.
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6 snips
Jan 10, 2025 • 4min

2025: Setting Expectations

Dive into a compelling analysis of corporate credit trends for 2025. Explore the optimistic and pessimistic scenarios that could shape the market. Learn about the economic tailwinds boosting demand as yields reach their highest since 2009. Discover how policy changes might take time to fully impact the credit landscape, with key shifts expected in 2026. This overview promises to keep investors informed and prepared for what lies ahead.
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12 snips
Jan 8, 2025 • 4min

Market Implications of Trump’s Agenda

As Donald Trump prepares to reacquire the presidency, potential investor implications take center stage. The discussion focuses on how upcoming U.S. policy changes, particularly around tax reforms and tariffs, could shape investment strategies. Notably, there's debate within the Republican party on whether to tackle Trump's priorities in one massive bill or several smaller ones. Early predictions suggest that a careful approach could provide a boost to risk markets.
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14 snips
Jan 7, 2025 • 5min

What Could Shape the Global Economy in 2025

Explore the shifting dynamics of the global economy in 2025 as a new U.S. administration faces key decisions. Tariffs, immigration, and fiscal policy could dramatically influence growth and inflation across the world. With an unstable economic landscape, uncertainty looms large, making future forecasts tricky. The podcast dives into the potential impacts of these changes, highlighting the delicate balance between solid economic fundamentals and looming challenges.
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9 snips
Jan 6, 2025 • 5min

Will 2024’s Weak Finish Extend into the New Year?

The podcast dives into the surprising year-end slump of U.S. stocks despite a solid overall performance in 2024. It examines the impact of interest rate changes and the political landscape after a decisive election. Factors contributing to market dips are unpacked, alongside a compelling outlook for 2025. The discussion emphasizes the importance of focusing on quality equities as a strategy moving forward. Tune in for insights on how these dynamics might shape the investment landscape in the new year!
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4 snips
Jan 3, 2025 • 4min

Lessons to Take Into 2025

The discussion kicks off with reflections on the lessons learned from 2024, emphasizing key trends in credit and stock markets. There’s a deep dive into the strategic choices of stocks versus bonds and the notable outperformance of global stocks. The conversation highlights how easy it is to overlook significant market events over time. Insights into future expectations for 2025 wrap up the insights, pointing out the crucial role of asset allocation in navigating these dynamics. Get ready for a thought-provoking look ahead!
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4 snips
Jan 2, 2025 • 5min

A Bumpy Road Ahead for Onshoring EVs

Exploring the future of U.S. automakers, the discussion highlights a potential reset in the electric vehicle market by 2025. There's a prediction of a short-term dip in EV adoption due to economic factors, followed by significant long-term growth. The conversation also touches on the impact of policy changes and how they might revive traditional auto stocks linked to internal combustion engines. Overall, it emphasizes the hidden value in the EV sector despite immediate challenges.
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8 snips
Dec 31, 2024 • 10min

Special Encore: Will US Tariffs Drive Mexico Closer to China?

The discussion dives into the economic fallout of the recent U.S. elections on Mexico, emphasizing the potential fallout from Trump's victory. The impact of tariffs on trade relationships, especially between the U.S. and China, is explored. Mexico's role as a manufacturing hub is highlighted, showcasing both risks and opportunities amid changing trade dynamics. The talk also delves into the upcoming USMCA review and its implications for future trade relations, emphasizing the importance of increasing North American content in exports.
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12 snips
Dec 30, 2024 • 12min

Special Encore: Uncertainty Surrounds 2025 U.S. Equities Outlook

Diving into the 2025 U.S. equities landscape, experts forecast an S&P 500 target of 6,500, highlighting key economic drivers. They discuss the ripple effect of potential deregulation and new tariffs shaped by recent elections. With evolving market conditions, they stress the importance of adapting investment strategies, particularly in high-quality sectors. Additionally, the conversation touches on market recovery prospects, earnings revisions, and the impact of consumer spending shifts, hinting at the potential for a bull market ahead.
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16 snips
Dec 27, 2024 • 4min

Special Encore: A $10 Trillion Opportunity in US Reshoring

The U.S. is witnessing a reshoring revolution, turning back to domestic manufacturing after years of offshoring. This shift presents a $10 trillion economic opportunity. The podcast dives into the factors triggering this change, from policy shifts to technological advancements. It also examines the potential benefits for supply chain resilience and the impact on trade deficits. Expect a fascinating exploration of how global manufacturing dynamics are evolving right now!

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