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Risk Parity Radio

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Aug 6, 2022 • 26min

Episode 196: Extended Duration Bonds, Books About Life Transitions, China And Portfolio Reviews As Of August 5, 2022

In this episode we answer emails from Davis, Justus and Value Stock Geek.  We discuss how to use extended duration bond funds like EDV, ZROZ and GOVZ, reprise our discussion about life transitions from Episode 71 and veer off into Peter Zeihan and China's demographics.  And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.  Note that I discovered some of my return numbers were wrong (WRONG!) after recording this episode.  They are corrected on the website.Additional Links:Arthur Brooks book:  From Strength to Strength - Arthur C. Brooks (arthurbrooks.com)David Brooks book:  The Second Mountain by David Brooks (goodreads.com)Richard Rohr book:  Falling Upward: A Spirituality for the Two Halves of Life by Richard Rohr (goodreads.com)Peter Zeihan with Meb Faber:  Episode #419: Peter Zeihan – Deglobalization, Depopulation, & What It Means Going Forward - Meb Faber Research - Stock Market and Investing BlogDisunited Nations book:  Disunited Nations: The Scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World: Zeihan, Peter: 9780062913685: Amazon.com: BooksShock of Gray book:  Shock of Gray: The Aging of the World's Population and How it Pits Young Against Old, Child Against Parent, Worker Against Boss, Company Against Rival, and Nation Against Nation by Ted C. Fishman (goodreads.com)Lying Flat and Let It Rot Movements in China:  After lying flat, a new trend among China's youth is to “let it rot (bai lan)” which worries CCP - YouTubeSupport the show
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Aug 4, 2022 • 31min

Episode 195: Comparing Cars And Brokerages, Analyzing Concentrated Funds, And More Cowbell!

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo (x2), William and Peter.   We discuss how brokerages and cars are alike, a correlation episode reference, analyzing a portfolio with Fidelity Select Funds in it (and other things) and transitions from VTSAX to some small cap cowbell and then to a Golden Ratio portfolio for retirement.Links:I'm Not Leaving Vanguard Article:  Why I’m Not Leaving Vanguard | ETF.com60/40 Is Still Alive Article:  Like the phoenix, the 60/40 portfolio will rise again (vanguard.com)Morningstar Fund Analysis Tool:  FSRPX – Portfolio – Fidelity® Select Retailing | MorningstarAsset Correlation Analysis Of Will's Portfolio:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)ChooseFI Podcast Episode 194 About Bonds:  The Role Of Bonds In A Portfolio | Ep 194 | ChooseFISupport the show
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Jul 31, 2022 • 29min

Episode 194: Dunn Capital, The "Cockroach Portfolio" And Weekly/Monthly Portfolio Reviews As Of July 29, 2022

In this episode we answer emails from Visitor #1109, Keith and Brad.  We discuss Dunn Capital and Managed Futures funds, our podcast charity -- the Father McKenna Center --, and Mutiny Fund's "Cockroach Portfolio".And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional Links:Dunn Capital:  Home - Dunn CapitalTop Traders Unplugged Podcast:  Top Traders UnpluggedMutiny Fund's Cockroach Portfolio:  The Cockroach Portfolio - Mutiny FundSupport the show
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Jul 28, 2022 • 22min

Episode 193: Musings About Private Equity, The Paradox Of Skill, Volatility-Targeting Strategy, Yield Curve Inversions And Dolly Parton

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo (x2), Chris, and Andrew.  We discuss "The Myth of Private Equity" by Jeff Hooke,  the paradox of skill and how it is applied in garden-based portfolio construction, volatility targeting as a decision making mechanism for investing and my gout, my podcast musical selections and the security of the Golden Ratio portfolio.  And we throw in a yield curve inversion video.  We do it all here.Links:The Myth of Private Equity book:  The Myth of Private Equity | Columbia University PressInterview of Jeff Hooke:  361 – Jeff Hooke, Johns Hopkins - The Myth of Private Equity - YouTubeParadox of Skill Article:  The Paradox of Skill - Farnam StreetPrimer on Volatility Targeting:  An Introduction to Volatility Targeting - QuantPediaInterview of Campbell Harvey re Yield Curve Inversion:  Predicting Economic Activity with Yield Curves - YouTubeSupport the show
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Jul 24, 2022 • 43min

Episode 192: Our Annual Rebalancing Episode And Portfolio Reviews As Of July 22, 2022

In this annual feature we discuss how we rebalanced four of the sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio and have frolics and detours into discussions of bucket strategies, crypto-funds and the details of the Risk Parity Ultimate sample portfolio.  We also highlight a new video tutorial from Justin at Risk Parity Chronicles about the Risk/Return tool at Portfolio Charts and do our weekly portfolio reviews of all seven sample portfolios.Links:Risk Parity Chronicles post and tutorial:  Portfolio Charts Risk/Return Chart Tutorial (riskparitychronicles.com)YouTube Link to tutorial:  PC Risk/Return Chart Tutorial - YouTubeInterview of the originator of the "bucket strategy":  Conversation with the Father of the Bucket Strategy--Harold Evensky - YouTubeRisk Parity Ultimate Portfolio Correlations Matrix:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)Risk Parity Ultimate Portfolio Backtest:   Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)Support the show
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Jul 20, 2022 • 25min

Episode 191: Teaching Fishing, Anomalous Data, Vanguard Frustrations And Investing For A Six-Year Old

In this episode we answer emails from Anderson, Aaron, Anna and Travis.  We discuss how to use Portfolio Visualizer to compare portfolios on a particular time-frame using samples and a 60/40, where to address any data issues to Portfolio Charts and Portfolio Visualizer, and the current frustrations many are having with using Vanguard.  And then we consult a crystal ball to help a six-year old child.Links:Comparison of Golden Butterfly, Golden Ratio and 60/40 Portfolios:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)Portfolio Charts Data Page:  Data Sources – Portfolio ChartsPortfolio Visualizer FAQ Page (Data Sources at Bottom):  Frequently Asked Questions (portfoliovisualizer.com)Support the show
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Jul 16, 2022 • 37min

Episode 190: Portfolio Construction 101, Golden Ratio, I-Bonds, And Portfolio Reviews As Of July 15, 2022

In this episode we answer emails from Jody, Neil and The Nameless One.  We discuss the basic ideas of portfolio constructions and the tools for doing it, the Golden Ratio portfolio and gold itself, and more I-bond suggestions and links.And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional Links:Portfolio Charts Portfolio Examples:  Portfolios – Portfolio ChartsPortfolio Finder Tool:   PORTFOLIO FINDER – Portfolio ChartsPortfolio Matrix Tool:  PORTFOLIO MATRIX – Portfolio ChartsPortfolio Risk and Return Tool:  RISK AND RETURN – Portfolio ChartsAsset Correlation Tool:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)Risk Parity Chronicles Resources:  Resources - Risk Parity ChroniclesThe Perfect Portfolio Book:  In Pursuit of the Perfect Portfolio: The Stories, Voices, and Key Insights of the Pioneers Who Shaped the Way We Invest by Andrew W. Lo | GoodreadsNameless One's I-bond Articles:  I Bonds Archives - The Finance BuffSupport the show
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Jul 13, 2022 • 22min

Episode 189: Existential Questions About Economy Worship, Ray Dalio and China, And Risk Parity Chronicles

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo, Rob and Justin.  We discuss a paper about GDP and the problems with using it to predict stock market returns, why China may never overtake the U.S. and ascend to reserve currency status and a most excellent rebalancing resource you can find at the Risk Parity Chronicles website and blog.Links:Economic Growth and Equity Returns Paper:  Microsoft Word - EconGrowth.doc (ssrn.com)GDP Article:  Gross domestic product - WikipediaRisk Parity Chronicles Rebalancing Resource:    Version 1.1 of the Simple Portfolio Rebalancing Spreadsheet (riskparitychronicles.com)Support the show
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Jul 9, 2022 • 24min

Episode 188: All Small, All Value, All The Time And Our Boring Portfolio Reviews As Of July 8, 2022

In this episode we answer emails from Paul, Soo-New and Geordi.  We discuss using the AVUV fund for your small cap value allocation, the timing of withdrawals to reduce stress and crystal balls, and small cap value vs. small cap blend funds.  And we reference an article at Portfolio Charts reviewing common portfolios' performances in the first half of 2022.And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio. Additional Links:Asset Correlation Analysis of IJR and IJS:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)Portfolio Charts First Half of 2022 Portfolio Reviews:  Halfway to Nowhere: 2022 Mid-Year Portfolio Rankings – Portfolio ChartsSupport the show
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Jul 6, 2022 • 26min

Episode 187: Biased Business Models, A TSP Rollover And A Crystal Ball, Managed Futures And A Gambling Problem

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo, Brett and Jamie.   We discussed inherent biases, rolling over a TSP portfolio and reallocating it at Fidelity with or without a crystal ball, have a lengthy talk about allocations to managed futures and the difficulties in analyzing them, and SCO, a short oil futures ETF.Links:Gwen's Frustrations With A Rollover:  Navigating The Archaic, Convoluted, Confusing, And Utterly Enraging 401(k) Rollover Process | Fiery MillennialsPatrick Boyle's Investment Musings In An Entertaining Accent:  Investing In An Inflationary Environment! - YouTubeArtemis Capital's Hawk And Serpent Paper:  DocSendCME Paper Re CTA Indexes:  a-comparison-of-cta-indexes.pdf (cmegroup.com)Support the show

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