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Risk Parity Radio

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Apr 20, 2023 • 27min

Episode 255: Some 401k/IRA Basics, Reading Articles With Critical Thinking, And More On Leveraged Funds

In this episode we answer emails from Javier, Adam, and Jeff.  We discuss what to do with limited 401k options and the Macro Allocation Principle, revisit an academic article we discussed in Episode 251 with some additional critical thinking skills, and talk some about Corey Hoffstein's return stacking, developments in leveraged fund and the Pimco StocksPlus family.Links:Rational Reminder Video re Using Leverage:  Investing With Leverage (Borrowing to Invest, Leveraged ETFs) - YouTubeRSBT Fund Page:  Bonds Managed Futures - Return Stacked ETF (returnstackedetfs.com)Lots of Articles About Leveraged ETFs:  Leverage | Optimized PortfolioMorningstar Analysis of Pimco StocksPlus:  PSTKX – PIMCO StocksPLUS® Instl Fund Stock Price | MorningstarSupport the show
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Apr 16, 2023 • 27min

Episode 254: A Volatility ETF, Treasury Bonds and Brazil! And Portfolio Reviews As Of April 14, 2023

In this episode we answer emails from Javier, Heath and Joao.  We discuss Simplify's short VIX ETF, "SVOL", and the difficulties of investing in volatility, the anomalous circumstances of 2022 and how it affected treasury bonds, and a bit about taxation in Brazil (about which I really know nothing).And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional link:Simplify's SVOL ETF:  SVOL Simplify Volatility Premium ETF | SimplifySupport the show
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Apr 13, 2023 • 41min

Episode 253: A Taxonomy of Withdrawal Strategies And Analyses Of Their Components

In this episode we answer emails from MyContactInfo and Chris.  We follow up on Episode 251 with a taxonomy of five withdrawal strategies described in an article from the CFA institute and discuss a "not really a withdrawal strategy" that is classified as a form of mental accounting and does not impact safe withdrawal rates (at least not in a positive manner).  We talk about how to classify annuities, bond ladders and portfolio-based withdrawal strategies.  And we thank Chris and our other charitable donors for their support.Links:CFA Institute Article:  Retirement Income: Six Strategies | CFA Institute Enterprising InvestorMoney with Katie interview of Bill Bengen:  Does Early Retirement Still Work With 2023 Inflation? Featuring Bill Bengen | The Money with Katie ShowAllan Roth Article About His Bond Ladder:  The 4% Rule Just Became a Whole Lot Easier - Articles - Advisor PerspectivesAllan Roth Article Complaining About Morningstar Projections:  Challenging Morningstar’s Safe Withdrawal Rates - Articles - Advisor PerspectivesFather McKenna Center Donation Page:  Donate - Father McKenna CenterSupport the show
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Apr 9, 2023 • 35min

Episode 252: Factor Funds, Portfolio Construction Principles, Rebalancing Research And Portfolio Reviews As Of April 7, 2023

In this episode we answer emails from Andreas and Brad.   We discuss algorithmic factor funds like AVUV vs. basic index factor funds, basic principles of portfolio construction, low volatility funds, and the rebalancing research of Corey Hoffstein.And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional links:Father McKenna Center Giving Page:   Donate - Father McKenna CenterSimplify Interview of Corey Hoffstein about rebalancing:  Keeping it Simple Ep. 21: Do I Feel Lucky? | SimplifyCorey Hoffstein Interview and Papers:  Rebalance Timing Luck - Newfound Research (thinknewfound.com)Corey Hoffstein Interview Regarding Personal Portfolio:  Show Us Your Portfolio: Corey Hoffstein - YouTubeCorey Hoffstein Discussing the Return Stacking Strategy:  Corey Hoffstein on Return Stacking - YouTubeOptimized Rebalancing Article:  Optimal Rebalancing – Time Horizons Vs Tolerance Bands (kitces.com)Support the show
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Apr 6, 2023 • 48min

Episode 251: Separating Withdrawal Strategy Dogs & Tails, Yet More Leveraged Fund Fun And Poking At Some Portfolio Pessimists

In this episode we answer emails from Pete, MyContactInfo and Jenzo.   We discuss leveraged funds, a paper about holding them longer term and optimal leverage, analyzing leveraged portfolios, meta-concepts of retirement portfolio planning and how to separate the critical components of a withdrawal strategy (the dogs) from various management techniques, labeling methods and mental accounting (the tails),  and last year's scare paper about hyper-low safe withdrawal rates of poorly constructed international portfolios.Links:  Leveraged Portfolios Article/Paper:  Double-Digit Numerics - Articles - The Big Myth about Leveraged ETFs (ddnum.com)Sample Optimized Portfolios Article:  What Is a Leveraged ETF and How Do They Work? (optimizedportfolio.com)Analysis of UPRO vs S&P:  https://tinyurl.com/me4c2xj9Analysis of TNA vs. IWM:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)Analysis of TMF vs. TLT:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)Portfolio Charts Risk/Reward Calculator:  RISK AND RETURN – Portfolio ChartsPortfolio Visualizer Efficient Frontier Tool:  Efficient Frontier (portfoliovisualizer.com)Bond Funds vs. Bond Ladders:  Owning Individual Bonds vs. Owning a Bond Fund - A Wealth of Common SenseLow Safe Withdrawal Rate Paper:  delivery.php (ssrn.com)Support the show
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Apr 2, 2023 • 34min

Episode 250: Gold Standards, Leveraged Funds, Short Sellers, Plutonian Nyborg And Portfolio Reviews As Of March 31, 2023

In this episode we answer emails from Carmello, Trevor, Timothy and Andreas.  We discuss some of the history of the gold standard and inflation, leveraged funds, portfolio reviews, short sellers and Fidelity's recent forays into risk parity.And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional links:Cross of Gold Speech Article:  Cross of Gold speech - WikipediaOptimized Portfolios Site on Leveraged Funds:  Leverage | Optimized PortfolioRational Reminder Video on Leverage:  Investing With Leverage (Borrowing to Invest, Leveraged ETFs) - YouTubeFidelity's New Risk Parity Fund:  Fidelity Risk Parity Fund (FAPSX) | Fidelity InstitutionalFidelity's Presentation on its Risk Parity Fund:  Fidelity Liquid Alternative Funds Presentation | Fidelity InstitutionalSupport the show
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Mar 30, 2023 • 30min

Episode 249: Municipal Bonds, Preferred Shares, Planning Calculators and Newman!

In this episode we answer emails from Wesley, Mark and a different Mark.  And an errant comment from his Dude-ness, Alexi.  We discuss how municipal bond funds might be used in risk-parity style portfolios and how not, a couple of interesting newer financial planning calculators and the planning process I actually use instead to account for liquidity issues, asset allocations in accumulation when options are limited and the ins and outs of preferred shares funds like PFF.  And then we goof off.  Again.Links:Correlation Matrix with Municipal Bond Fund:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)ETF Research Center Financial Tool:  ETF Research Center (etfrc.com)Projection Labs Financial Tool:  ProjectionLab - Simulate your financial future and plan for financial independence.Support the show
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Mar 26, 2023 • 27min

Episode 248: Crazy Rising Rate Funds, Levered Constructions, Correlation Data Anomalies And Portfolio Reviews As Of March 24, 2023

In this episode we answer two emails from Alexi (a/k/a the "Dude") and another from Barry.  We discuss funds that are designed to take advantage of rising interest rates like RRH, RISR and PFIX, another Dude-constructed accumulation portfolio with leveraged funds and some portfolio construction rules of thumb, and the noisy-ness of correlation data and matrices.And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the seven sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.Additional links:PFIX Webpage and Resources:  PFIX Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF | SimplifyThe Dude's New Portfolio Constructions compared with S&P500:  Backtest Portfolio Asset Allocation (portfoliovisualizer.com)Portfolio Visualizer Correlation Tool:  Asset Correlations (portfoliovisualizer.com)Bogleheads Post about Morningstar Correlation Data:  Morningstar Correlation Matrix - Bogleheads.orgSupport the show
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Mar 22, 2023 • 32min

Episode 247: Back In The Saddle With Some Wide-Ranging Emails, Chihuahuas And My Wild Years

In this episode we answer emails from Clint, Jeff and Penny.  We discuss brokerage firms and solvency issues, estimating expenses for long retirements and basic tax considerations in portfolio management.Links:Rob Berger Video About Brokerages and Solvency:  What Happens to Our Investments if Schwab, Fidelity or Vanguard Collapse? - YouTubeMorningstar 2022 Retirement Report Download Page:  2022 Retirement Withdrawal Strategies Report | MorningstarPortfolio Charts Article with Tax Loss Harvesting Pairs:  Harvesting the Fall: Why I Sold All My Bonds – Portfolio ChartsGo Curry Cracker Article Re Tax Savings:  Never Pay Taxes Again - Go Curry Cracker!Support the show
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Mar 16, 2023 • 40min

Episode 246: Risk Parity ETFs, Leverage, Alternatives, Podcasts and Ohio!

In this episode we answer emails from Kevin, Graham and Boone.  We discuss the risk parity ETFs, RPAR and UPAR, leveraged portfolios, alternative assets, ETFs and some of the podcasts I'm listening to these days.Links:RPAR webpage:  RPAR Risk Parity ETF (rparetf.com)Risk Parity Book Review:  Top 10 Risk Parity Resources: #10... Shahidi (2021) (riskparitychronicles.com)CFA Institute Manual Article:  chapter-4-from-managing-multiasset-strategies-2018.pdf (callan.com)Rational Reminder Video about Leverage:  Investing With Leverage (Borrowing to Invest, Leveraged ETFs) - YouTubeSound Investing Podcast:  Sound Investing on Apple PodcastsMoney With Katie Podcast:  The Money with Katie ShowMoney With Katie Portfolio Analysis Blogpost:  How to Diversify Outside of the Total Stock Market — Millennial Money with KatieRamit Sethi Podcast:  Podcast - I Will Teach You To Be RichMacro Trading Floor Podcast:  The Macro Trading Floor on Apple PodcastsEurodollar University Podcast:  General 2 — Eurodollar UniversityGestalt University Podcast:  Resolve's Gestalt University on Apple PodcastsAlpha Exchange Podcast:  Alpha Exchange on Apple PodcastsExcess Returns YouTube Channel (Corey Hoffstein Episode):  Show Us Your Portfolio: Corey Hoffstein - YouTubeRetirement Planning Education YouTube Channel:  Retirement Planning Education - YouTubeSupport the show

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