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Eyes on the Economy

Latest episodes

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Sep 10, 2024 • 11min

US Elections and trade policy: What’s at stake for the US and Canada?

Avery Shenfeld, CIBC's Chief Economist, joins Ali Jaffery, Senior Economist, to discuss the US federal election and the future directions of trade policy under a Trump or Harris presidency, and what this would mean for the US and Canada.
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Aug 27, 2024 • 11min

Latest on the Economy – Three things we are watching

Avery Shenfeld, CIBC's Chief Economist, joins Ali Jaffery, Senior Economist, to discuss the labour dispute in Canada’s rail sector, what commodity prices are telling us about the global economy, and the future direction of monetary policy after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole.
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Aug 12, 2024 • 12min

US recession fears and implications

Avery Shenfeld, CIBC’s Chief Economist, joins colleague Andrew Grantham, Senior Economist, to discuss the slowing in the US economy and emerging recession fears, and shares their interest rate forecast changes for both Canada and the US.
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Jul 16, 2024 • 11min

Seeking shelter from shelter inflation

CIBC Capital Markets' Senior Economists, Ali Jaffery and Katherine Judge, discuss the outlook for shelter inflation in the US and Canada and why mortgage interest costs may increasingly distort the Bank of Canada’s preferred core measures of inflation. For more information, check out the mentioned In Focus report: https://cibccm.com/en/insights/articles/in-focus-seeking-shelter-from-shelter-inflation/
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Jul 3, 2024 • 9min

The Bank of Canada Outlook: Sticking to our guns for now

Avery Shenfeld, CIBC's Chief Economist, joins Ali Jaffery, CIBC's Senior Economist, to discuss why May’s inflation report needn’t deter the Bank of Canada from a rate cut in July, and the implications for bond market investors.
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Jun 19, 2024 • 12min

Evaluating the BoC’s maneuvering room

Benjamin Tal, Deputy Chief Economist, CIBC and Katherine Judge, Senior Economist, CIBC discuss how labour market dynamics and inflation risks are impacting Bank of Canada policy.
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Jun 4, 2024 • 10min

How far can the BoC diverge from the Fed?

In this episode of Eyes on the Economy, Katherine Judge chats with Ali Jaffery about potential monetary policy divergence between the Bank of Canada and the Fed, and what it means for Canadian inflation. For more information, check out the mentioned In Focus report here - https://cibccm.com/en/insights/articles/finding-the-limit-how-far-can-the-bank-of-canada-diverge-from-the-fed/
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May 22, 2024 • 14min

Food for thought on Canadian fundamentals

Avery Shenfeld, CIBC’s Chief Economist joins Andrew Grantham, Executive Director & Senior Economist, to discuss Canadian inflation, central bank policy and the Canadian dollar.
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Apr 30, 2024 • 11min

How boomers and work-from-home changed American spending patterns

Ali Jaffery and Katherine Judge discuss the strength of the US consumer, which reflects a wave of wealthy retirees and lifestyle changes associated with work-from-home, as well as implications for monetary policy from the permanent shift in spending preferences towards goods and away from services. For more information, check out our latest In Focus report: https://cibccm.com/en/insights/articles/in-focus-the-goods-life-how-boomers-and-work-from-home-changed-american-spending-patterns/
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Apr 18, 2024 • 13min

The federal budget – what does it mean for the economy and the markets?

Avery Shenfeld, CIBC’s Chief Economist, joins host Ali Jaffery to discuss Canada’s Federal Budget, where it stands relative to previous forecasts, and the implications of it for the broader economy, the Bank of Canada and the markets.

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