Saxo Market Call

Discover the monumental shifts in EU fiscal policies as Germany announces a massive €500 billion infrastructure deal. Unpack the implications for European bonds and the euro amidst evolving economic strategies. Dive into the intriguing world of cryptocurrencies and Trump's mixed signals regarding regulation, especially concerning money laundering risks. Explore the interconnections between U.S. policies and global trade dynamics, revealing market reactions and potential pitfalls for economic stability.

Amidst rising tensions from recent tariff announcements, the podcast discusses the potential impact on currency markets and tech stocks. Volatile trends in the cryptocurrency space raise concerns about manipulation, while geopolitical factors are explored in the context of defense stocks and investment flows. The strength of the U.S. dollar poses challenges for Europe, with stagflation risks looming. Insights into China's focus on private sector stimulus and the implications of an upcoming Trump speech add to the intrigue, along with the evolving landscape of AI investments.

The podcast dives into market jitters fueled by Trump’s tariff threats and disappointing U.S. data, spotlighting the Nasdaq 100's critical support levels. It discusses the risky crossover beneath the 200-day moving average, indicating potential bear market territory. Cryptocurrency’s role as a market trend indicator is analyzed, along with Fibonacci levels for Bitcoin and Ethereum. The conversation also touches on evolving military strategies and their effects on defense budgets, specifically highlighting U.S. and German challenges.

Today's slide deck:  https://bit.ly/43cR9Ck   - Today we break down Nvidia's earnings report. Long story short: its earnings don't look like they will be the trigger for the broader market direction from here, so now the market can do what it wanted to do with this distraction out of the way. Plenty more to talk about today, from the latest on Trump tariffs and US continuing to alter the geopolitical landscape to what is driving a huge ramp in one very old German stock. Today's pod features Global Head of Investment Content Jacob Falkencrone and Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy   Jacob's piece on Nvidia's latest earnings report Jacob's piece on Tesla Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4ibC6x2   - Today we look at the ugly rollover in risk assets as markets fret the geopolitical backdrop and perhaps rein in risk exposure ahead of the most important earnings event of the quarter: Nvidia's, which reports after the market close on Wednesday. We also talk the blistering pace of geopolitical developments and policy moves from the Trump administration as well as asking what Europe does next. On today's call are Saxo Global Head of Investment Strategy Jacob Falkencrone and Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.   Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/431GGtt   -  Today we look at the pivotal German election this weekend and a number of scenarios in what will inevitably prove a weak showing for the centrist parties. We also discuss the implications of Walmart's weak outlook and look ahead at the most pivotal earnings event of the quarterly cycle: the post-Wednesday close Nvidia report. The latest on FX and more also on today's pod, which features Saxo Global Head of Investment Strategy Jacob Falkencrone, with Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy hosting. Jacob's piece on Ali Baba's earnings.  John's latest FX Update on JPY, German election and more.   Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3EVhtGQ   - European equity markets are on fire this year, and European defense stocks have lifted aggressively in recent days on fears that the entire transatlantic alliance is collapsing and will require a massive fiscal boost across Europe if it is to defend itself in a new geopolitical backdrop. We pick through one interesting angle on EU defense spending, break down the latest action in FX and commodities and much more as the world seems to spin faster and faster every day. Today features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy hosting.   Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4jWq1NY   - Today we sift through the market reaction to Trump's announcement of reciprocal tariffs, with the market celebrating their delayed implementation until at least after the April 1 report on US trade policy. We also discuss the mostly wound-down US earnings season, which has proven the best in three years, the big reversal in bond yields, developments in FX and some great links/must reads (see slide deck link) for those trying to grasp the Trump administration's risky strategy. Today features Jacob Falkencrone, Global Head of Investment Strategy with host John J. Hardy, Global Head of Macro Strategy. Jacob's piece on BYD: https://bit.ly/4hE819m  John's latest FX Update: https://bit.ly/3X3Axcf  Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.

The podcast dives into the potential for a USD bear case, highlighting recent developments in U.S. steel tariffs and their effects on the market. A closer look reveals shifts in tech stocks, particularly in the AI sector. The discussion also touches on rising prices for gold, silver, and Arabica coffee due to supply issues and economic policies. Additionally, it examines consumer struggles through retail sales data, connecting these insights to upcoming U.S. Treasury auctions and broader market sentiment.

John J. Hardy, a seasoned Macro Strategist, explores the bearish outlook for the US dollar, emphasizing the urgent need for the US government to streamline its fiscal policies. He highlights the challenges facing major tech firms, particularly Amazon's heavy cloud investments, amid capacity constraints reminiscent of past tech bubbles. Hardy also discusses the implications of current economic trends on corporate earnings and the potential recession risks, all while addressing the competitive landscape of AI investments.