Maggie Lake Talking Markets

Mags
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Feb 12, 2025 • 35min

Episode 16: A Sell-off Ahead for US Stocks & Bonds? With Dale Pinkert

When TradeGateHub coach Dale Pinkert emails you to tell you he's monitoring "big things" happening in markets, you sit up and listen... Today, Dale is joining Maggie Lake to share exactly what those big things are and why they matter: Dales gives his outlook for TLT , DXY, Mag7, miners, and that hotter than expected CPI print. Spoiler alert: Dale is feeling pretty bearish.Join TradeGateHub for free here: https://tradegatehub.com/Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-meConnect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielakeConnect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.comChapters00:00 Market Overview and Bond Trade Insights06:12 Interest Rates and Economic Implications14:36 Market Sentiment and Major Stock Movements22:10 Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks Analysis25:40 Oil Market Dynamics and Geopolitical Factors30:19 Future Market Predictions and Strategies*We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.
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Feb 10, 2025 • 30min

Episode 15: What's the Next Driver For Crypto? With Noelle Acheson

Maggie Lake welcomes back Crypto is Macro Now author Noelle Acheson to Talking Markets. They discuss the next big driver for crypto, the safe haven pros and cons of gold vs. Bitcoin and the reason she is starting to think treasury yields just might surprise to the downside. Connect with Noelle on Substack: https://www.cryptoismacro.com/Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-meConnect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielakeConnect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.comChapters00:00 Navigating the Current Crypto Landscape10:12 The Role of Institutional Investors20:26 Inflation, Interest Rates, and Market Dynamics24:31 Ethereum's Current Position and Future Outlook26:45 China's Influence on Gold and Crypto Markets*We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.
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Feb 8, 2025 • 33min

Episode 14: The Fallout From Jobs Report. With Jeremy Schwartz

Maggie Lake sits down with Jeremy Schwartz, Global Chief Investment Officer of WisdomTree Asset Management to digest today's jobs report and what it all means. Also up for discussion: What WisdomTree's data says about the real rate of inflation, what earnings season is telling us so far, Jeremy's insights on the bond market, and his outlook for the year ahead (yes, somehow it is only February). Happy Friday...!Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.comConnect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielakeOr if email is more your jam: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Follow Jeremy on X: https://x.com/JeremyDSchwartzChapters00:00 Analyzing the Jobs Report and Economic Health03:07 Inflation Insights and Market Reactions05:46 Government Spending Cuts and Economic Implications09:02 Earnings Season: Trends and Market Sentiment12:13 Global Perspectives: Europe and the Dollar14:54 AI Developments and Market Dynamic*We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.
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Feb 5, 2025 • 40min

Episode 13: What's Next For "Drill, Baby, Drill"? With Doomberg

Maggie Lake sits down with iconic green chicken Doomberg to er, peck (sorry) at global energy markets and what we can expect from President Trump's adminstration. Doomberg lays out some bold scenarios including a Russian victory in Ukraine, dramatically cheaper oil and a splintered European Union. This conversation is sure to spark debate and we'd love to hear it. Post a comment and let us know how you feel about what he has to say.*Note. If his audio sounds odd it is because Doomberg prefers to remain anonymous and puts filter on his voice as well as uses a chicken avatar. Connect with me on Substack:https://maggielake.substack.comConnect with me on Twitter:https://x.com/maggielakeOr if email is more your jam:https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Follow Doomberg on Substack:https://substack.com/@doombergChapters00:00 Trump's Impact on the Energy Industry10:52 Fentanyl Crisis: A War on America18:06 The Shift to a Multipolar World and Energy Implications20:55 Geopolitical Consequences of the Ukraine War22:24 The Future of Europe and Its Leadership27:31 The Energy Landscape and Natural Gas Demand30:26 Oil Production and Market Dynamics35:31 Global Energy Prices and Political Stability39:52 The Role of Leadership in Economic Recovery*We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.
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Feb 4, 2025 • 36min

Episode 12: What Could Tariffs Do To Global Liquidity? With Christopher Tipper

Maggie Lake sits down with Chris Tipper, Chief Economist and Strategist at Ainslie Wealth, for a chart-packed tour through the liquidity, macro, and Bitcoin cycles. With markets acting spooked today by Donald Trump's tariff announcement Friday, it's a good time to assess where we are in these all-important cycles, how tariffs may impact them, and how investors can use them to help allocate their capital. Chris' Chart Deck: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1q6jN... Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake 00:00 - Introduction: Tariffs, Liquidity, and Market Volatility 00:30 - Chris Tipper's Background in Gold, Crypto, and Hard Assets 02:45 - Are Investors Underestimating Tariff Risks? 05:15 - Global Liquidity Trends: What Comes Next? 08:03 - Rising Liquidity and the Impact on Risk Assets 10:00 - Recession Risks: Why the US May Avoid a Downturn 13:13 - The Crypto Cycle: Where Are We Now? 17:30 - Is Bitcoin Still A Risk Asset? 22:20 - Inflation: 3% is the New 2% What Happens With Bonds? 26:00 - China’s Role in Global Liquidity and Gold Markets 30:10 - Tariff Uncertainty and Market Reactions 33:00 - The Future of Bitcoin 35:25 - Tariffs: Hate Them as an Economist Love Them as a Trader *We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.
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Jan 31, 2025 • 31min

Episode 11: Tariffs, Inflation And Implications For The Fed. With Harry Melandri

Maggie Lake sits down with Harry Melandri, senior advisor to Arque Advisors and author of the Respice Finem Substack, to wrap up a dramatic week for markets. Late breaking news that the Trump Administration may levy taxes on Canada, Mexico and China as soon as Feb 1st sparked selling and a whole lot of confusion. Harry talks about the interplay between politics and the markets and why he thinks the Fed may keep rates lower than they want. , Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake Connect with Harry on Substack: https://respicefinemmacro.substack.com/ Chapters 00:00 Tariffs and Market Reactions 06:01 Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics 12:55 Fiscal Policy and Deficit Challenges 18:51 The Future of Interest Rates 25:03 Investment Opportunities in a Volatile Market *We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.
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Jan 29, 2025 • 38min

Episode 10: The Fed Is On Hold, But For How Long? With Kevin Muir

The Fed held rates steady, but it didn't take long for President Trump to criticize Powell. Maggie Lake sits down with Kevin Muir, author of the Macro Tourist newsletter to talk about interest rates, the impact of Trump tariff policy and why he thinks US equities are at risk for a big correction. They also talk about why he is bearish Canada and why every investor need to pay attention to foreign exchange markets. . Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake For more on Kevin's work: https://substack.com/@themacrotourist 00:00 - Introduction: Kevin Muir on Market Risks and Opportunities 00:30 - Is the Fed on Hold? What’s Next for Interest Rates 01:20 - Market Overconfidence: The Cliff of Overconfidence vs. Wall of Worry 03:40 - AI, Tech, and the Market’s Reaction to DeepSeek 06:15 - Market Euphoria: Signs of a Topping Pattern? 08:38 - Rotation Risks: Will Small Caps and Value Stocks Take Over? 11:26 - Is Gold a Safe Haven or a Central Bank Game? 14:22 - How Bearish Is Kevin? The One-Year S&P Outlook 17:15 - Commodities: Copper, Platinum, and Palladium Opportunities 21:26 - Canada’s Economic Challenges: Housing, Debt, and Immigration 26:42 - Tariffs, Trade Wars, and Canada’s Vulnerability 30:49 - Trump’s Economic Plans and the Market’s Complacency 35:13 - The Biggest Market Risk: FX Volatility on the Horizon 37:52 - Closing Thoughts: How to Navigate an Uncertain Market
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Jan 28, 2025 • 34min

Episode 09: DeepSeek and the Geopolitical Chess Game. With Jacob Shapiro

China's DeepSeek AI has reportedly matched the performance of OpenAI and other models at a fraction of the cost. The news sent US tech stocks plummeting Monday, with Nvidia shares losing nearly 17%. Jacob Shapiro, Head of Geopolitical and Macro at The Bespoke Group, joins Maggie Lake today to discuss the market and geopolitical implications of the news. Will this help or hinder a deal with China? Jacob also weighs in on Mexico, the Ukraine war and why Germany may be the most important country to watch. Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake *We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. 00:00 - Introduction: Jacob Shapiro 01:00 - Is China's DeepSeek What Caused the Market Sell-Off 04:40 - It Hurst Much More to Lose 06:35 - China’s AI Strategy: Threat or Overhyped? 11:10 - Trump’s Trade Policies: Bluff or Real Economic Shift? 18:30 - Could Countries Turn to China? 22:25 - The Risk of Germany Pivoting Away from the US 25:50 - Ukraine, Russia, and the Role of China in Ending the War 28:25 - The Future of US Manufacturing and Trade Policy 34:15 - Closing Thoughts: Filtering Noise and Finding Real Signals
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Jan 24, 2025 • 39min

Episode 08: Spotting the Opportunities in AI. With Ben Miller

To wrap up the week on Talking Markets, Maggie Lake sits down with Ben Miller, CEO of Fundrise - a company aims to give investors a path to private markets. Ben invests in both commercial real estate and late stage tech which gives him a unique perspective on two areas in the news. He and Maggie discuss where we are in the AI cycle (early innings) and where he thinks the next big movers will be (killer apps). The also talk about commercial real estate which Ben thinks will turn the corner this year. He sees interesting value v. equities in certain areas. Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake *We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. 00:00 - Intro with Ben Miller 00:30 - The Best of Times, The Worst of Times: AI vs. Real Estate 02:00 - Fundrise’s Evolution: From Real Estate to AI Investing 03:57 - How Fundrise Gives Investors Access to Private Tech Companies 08:00 - AI Boom or Bubble? Lessons from Past Tech Cycles 12:00 - The Risk of AI Startups: Which Companies Will Survive? 19:15 - Why More Companies Are Avoiding IPOs 24:20 - AI’s Infrastructure Boom: The Future of Data Centers 27:25 - Bond Yields and the Real Estate Market Outlook 36:55 - The Next AI Breakthrough: Where Will the Killer App Come From? 40:30 - Closing Thoughts: Real Estate, Markets, and Investor Strategies
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Jan 22, 2025 • 40min

Episode 07: Treasury Market Sell-offs The "New Normal"? with Vincent DeLuard

Maggie Lake sits down with Vincent Deluard, Director of Global Macro Strategy at StoneX Group, to discuss why liquidity issues, the California wildfires, and other factors may mean Treasury market sell-offs are the “new normal.” They also discuss the risks facing some tech companies as they try to navigate the new Trump administration and where Vincent sees the most opportunity as the MAGA agenda moves forward. Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake *We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Chapters 00:00Market Dynamics and the Trump Administration's Influence 11:33 Inflation Trends and Their Impact on Treasuries 19:30 The Future of Bond Yields and Market Liquidity 20:02 Foreign Investment and U.S. Treasury Market Dynamics 22:18 Liquidity Challenges and Market Volatility 25:35 Global Economic Comparisons: U.S. vs. U.K. and Brazil 26:59 The Role of Treasury Management in Economic Stability 28:52 Bitcoin vs. Government Bonds: A Future Perspective 30:21 Assessing Risk in Current Market Conditions 33:52 Opportunities Amidst Economic Uncertainty

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