Maggie Lake Talking Markets

A listener once joked the Cem is from the future and that doesn't feel far off.! As always, Cem brings his unique understanding of the options and derivatives market to shed light on the short term flows impacting stocks and bonds. Maggie's also gets his take on what Trump's first 100 days might look like, where he sees risks building, and how investors can prepare for what he sees as the long term trend of higher inflation and higher rates. Warning - something will break. Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake 00:00 - Introduction: Volatility and Market Insights with Cem Karsan 00:30 - Post-Election Market Trends and Liquidity Flows 03:23 - Counter-Trend Rally or Something More? 05:55 - Positioning and Sentiment in 2025 Markets 08:41 - Options and Derivatives: Their Role in Price Action 13:43 - Rising Treasury Yields and Inflation Risks 18:25 - Long-Term Interest Rates: Breaking Points Ahead? 22:27 - Populism, Fiscal Stimulus, and Inflation Trends 30:26 - Yield Curve Control: Can It Work in This Environment? 37:13 - Closing Thoughts: Navigating a Post-Election Year *We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.

Maggie Lake sits down with Mish Schneider, Chief Strategist at MarketGauge.com, to discuss today's CPI numbers and what they mean for markets, the January trade trend reset, the weather factors putting pressure on energy and grain prices, sectors MarketGauge likes right now, and MIsh's top 3 picks. For more on Mish's work: https://marketgauge.com/ Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake00:00 - Introduction: Talking Markets with Mish Schneider 00:30 - Market Rally and Soft Landing Narrative 02:15 - January Trend Trade Reset and Key Levels to Watch 05:26 - Inflation and Treasury Market Outlook 09:13 - Trading in a Headline-Driven Market 13:30 - Volatility Ahead: Commodities and Stagflation Risks 17:35 - Stock Picking Opportunities for 2025 20:29 - Industrial and Made-in-America Resurgence 24:21 - Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Altcoin Strategies 28:54 - AI Investments: From Hardware to Software *We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.

US Treasury bond yields continue to rise and US stocks are under pressure as investors worry the Fed may be done cutting rates. Are higher rates here to stay? Maggie Lake sits down with Darius Dale, Founder of 42 Macro, to preview the inflation data due out this week and what it might mean for Fed policy. They'll also talk about what Darius means when he says investors need to beware the triple S'es - size, sequence and scope. You can find more of Darius's work here: https://42macro.com/?utm_source=youtu... Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake 00:00 - Introduction: Darius Dale on 2025 Market Challenges 00:30 - Wide and Widening Economic Outcomes: What Lies Ahead 02:28 - Sticky Inflation: Why the Fed’s 2% Target Is Unlikely 05:49 - Policy Shifts Under the Trump Administration: Risks and Opportunities 09:59 - The Impact of Labor Costs and Productivity on Inflation 14:12 - Treasury Financing Policies and Market Volatility 18:49 - Global Debt Refinancing Needs in 2025 21:39 - Inflation and the Bond Market: Are Higher Rates Sustainable? 26:31 - Economic System vs. Market System: Can They Handle Higher Rates? 30:20 - Preparing for a Volatile Year: Investor Risk Management Strategies *We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.

When Jared Dillian turns his eye toward Canada, we pay attention. Jared has a long history trading Canada and right now, he thinks: "If you want another shot at an economically unfree country becoming free, look at Canada." Maggie Lake sits down with the editor of the Daily Dirtnap and founder of JaredDillianMoney.com to talk about why he thinks Canada might be the next Argentina. They also unpack the stronger than expected jobs number, what it says about the US economy and bond yields. For more of Jared's work: https://www.dailydirtnap.com/ And Co-host of the ‪@MacroDirtCast‬ Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake *We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.

Bond yields are on the rise around the world, raising concerns of a sovereign debt crisis. What's driving rates higher and what will that mean for global equities? Maggie Lake sits down with Peter Boockvar, Chief Investment Officer at Bleakley Financial Group, to discuss the market action. Peter will also break down the latest economic data and talk about where he sees opportunity in these volatile markets. For more of Peter's work, read The Boock Report here: https://peterboockvar.substack.com/ Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake *We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.

How should investors trade the Trump headlines? We're all getting a crash course today. The US dollar, treasuries, and stocks are all on the move after reports that President-elect Trump may take a more targeted approach to tariffs. Maggie Lake sits down with Dale Pinkert, trading coach at TradeGateHub, to talk about how to trade what looks to be a volatile start to the new trading year. Dale thinks a major change is in store for the US dollar and commodities. He breaks down his outlook, highlights key levels to watch and explains why he thinks mining stocks may be the best performing sector this year. Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake *We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.

Step back in time to the trading floors of Wall Street as Maggie Lake sits down with John Johnston, the veteran trader and author behind the Market Vibes Substack. With 50 years of trading experience, JJ shares fascinating stories from the pits, his journey from a runner in the 1970s to a respected market veteran, and the humanity behind the numbers. Discover how the trading environment shaped careers, the challenges of adapting to an ever-changing market, and the life lessons learned along the way. 🔔 Hit that subscribe button and join the conversation in the comments. Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Subscribe to Market Vibes here: https://jj745.substack.com/

It’s been quite a journey since we officially launched Maggie Lake Talking Markets on September 4. With our truly amazing guests, we’ve covered pretty much all asset classes and sectors, the winter volatility, the bearish and bullish cases on what happens next - oh, and that little ol’ election in November. It is of course difficult to make predictions, especially about the future (!) but one thing's for certain - 2025 is going to be a trip. To help prep for it, here's a quick compilation of the worries and expectations of our Talking Markets guests. And an all-important thank you for being here...! 🔔 Hit that subscribe button and join the conversation in the comments. Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.

The US Fed cut rates at its last policy meeting of the year, but warned there may be fewer ahead sparking a massive sell-off in stocks and bonds. Maggie Lake sat down with Tony Greer, editor of the Morning Navigator newsletter, to talk about whether this is the start of a more serious pullback. Tony also discussed his outlook for energy, tech and where he sees opportunity in 2025. To get more from Tony, right this way: ‪@MacroDirtCast‬ 🎄This is the final episode of Talking Markets in 2024....! We're taking a break over the holidays, but normal Talking Markets service will be resumed on January 6. Thanks for joining us on this adventure so far, we can't wait for 2025. Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake

Bitcoin is soaring, meme coins are charging higher and Mag 7 stocks are back in the driver's seat. How should investors approach this relentless year-end rally? Maggie Lake sits down with Thomas Thornton, the founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, who is very concerned about a market he calls, "..crazy, dangerous and the most speculative I've ever seen." Tommy gets real about where he has made mistakes, the casino culture we are living in and why he is worried a serious correction looms ahead. Don't miss out on future episodes - get on the list here: https://maggielake.markets/notify-me Connect with me on Substack: https://maggielake.substack.com Connect with me on Twitter: https://x.com/maggielake