

Riskgaming
Lux Capital
A podcast by venture capital firm Lux Capital on the opportunities and risks of science, technology, finance and the human condition. Hosted by Danny Crichton from our New York City studios.
Episodes
Mentioned books

Dec 8, 2023 • 35min
Erik Hoel (part 1): The Consciousness Winter
Erik Hoel, expert in consciousness studies, discusses 'The Consciousness Winter' with host Danny Crichton. They explore the subjective nature of consciousness, debates on consciousness' impact on culture, and various theories and thinkers on consciousness, including Integrated Information Theory.

Dec 1, 2023 • 31min
Techno-Pragmatism: Looking Beyond Blind Optimism and Hopeless Pessimism
Welcome to "Securities," a podcast and newsletter about science, technology, finance, and the human condition.
In this episode, Danny Crichton and Josh Wolfe discuss themes from Lux Capital's Quarterly Letter, where techno-optimism collides with the despair of techno-pessimism.
The conversation dives into the paradoxes of AI, oscillating between its awe-inspiring potential in transforming healthcare and education and the looming existential threats it poses. Danny and Josh dissect the complexities of AI, debating whether it's a Pandora's box leading humanity towards an unstoppable dystopian future or a beacon of hope promising unprecedented societal benefits.
They also look at the critical role of error correction and criticism in the advancement of technology, advocating for a pragmatic middle ground in a world polarized between blind optimism and hopeless pessimism. The duo explores the necessity of competitive open systems in fostering innovation, warning against the dangers of AI monopolies.
Josh sheds light on the concept of instrumental objectivity, emphasizing the urgent need for realism and pragmatism in technological and societal progress. They argue that while we aim for lofty future goals, the focus should remain on developing practical tools and instruments in the present.
It's a must-listen for anyone interested in the future of AI, the role of innovation in society, and the fine line between utopian dreams and apocalyptic realities.

Nov 17, 2023 • 35min
AI: Disruption, Regulation, and the Road Ahead
In this episode of “Securities” by Lux Capital, host Danny Crichton joins guests Brian McCullough, host of the Techmeme Ride Home podcast and General Partner at the Ride Home Fund; Shahin Farshchi, General Partner at Lux Capital; and Matthew Lynley, founder and writer of the Supervised newsletter to discuss regulation and competition in AI, questioning whether open-source or proprietary AI will dominate the future. With discussions ranging from the impact of large language models to AI’s encroachment on government agendas, this episode touches upon the battles shaping AI’s future. Are we on the brink of an AI utopia or a dystopia? This episode is a crucial listen for anyone wanting a snapshot of AI’s as it stands today.

Sep 15, 2023 • 48min
Navigating the Crossroads: Technology, Democracy, and National Security with Miles Taylor
Miles Taylor, the author of 'Blowback', discusses the challenges of modern governance, national security threats, and the role of technology. The episode explores the impact of generative AI on creative professionals and the future of democracy in a digital world.

Aug 30, 2023 • 42min
Lt. Gen. Jack Shanahan on rebuilding trust between Silicon Valley and the Pentagon
Host Danny Crichton and Lux founder Josh Wolfe discuss the importance of trust between Silicon Valley and the Pentagon with retired Lt. Gen. Jack Shanahan, focusing on topics such as Project Maven's controversy, the ethical issues of AI in defense, and lessons learned from Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Aug 18, 2023 • 44min
Simulating Evolution: Playing God or the Next Frontier?
This podcast explores artificial life and its similarities to natural life, discussing topics such as cellular automata, the origins of evolution, and the open-endedness of A-life. The speakers also delve into LENIA, a program that generates persistent pattern organisms, and discuss human augmentation, cooperation and symbiosis in artificial life, and how to join the artificial life community.

Aug 15, 2023 • 6min
How many creators will survive generative AI?
AI models are threatening to render 'creative' work obsolete, resulting in the death of apprenticeships and the dismantling of creative pathways. The flaws of generative AI models and the lack of original work by global creatives are discussed. Artists and creatives face challenges of declining job security and income due to generative AI, potentially leading to the elimination of creative professions.

9 snips
Aug 4, 2023 • 35min
We need to go deeper with the inception of deep geothermal energy
Historians survey the past and the Twitterati (X-erati?) process the events of the present day. But what does it mean to search the future for clues of what’s to come — and how much longer will we have to wait for it?
In this episode of “Securities”, Danny Crichton welcomes Lawrence Lundy-Bryan, research partner at Lunar Ventures and the publisher of “State of the Future”, a Deep Tech Tracker whose distinguishing feature is its extraordinarily wide remit to investigate the interstices of science and technology and find the morsels of innovative goodness that will power the planet in the years ahead. Also joining is Lux Capital’s own scientist-in-residence Sam Arbesman, who is certainly no stranger to the crazy ideas straddling science fiction and science fact.
Lawrence shares his unique approach to identifying and evaluating emerging technologies such as deep geothermal energy. We then pivot to exploring Lawrence’s approach of finding the future through the methodology of “horizontal scanning.” What’s to come? Listen and find out.

5 snips
Jul 28, 2023 • 39min
The Science of Survival: Adapting Human Life for Other Planets
Welcome to "Securities," a podcast and newsletter devoted to science, technology, finance, and the human condition. In this episode, Josh Wolfe and Danny Crichton bring science fiction into science fact with our guest, Christopher Mason, a geneticist and computational biologist who has been a principal investigator of 11 NASA missions and projects.
Mason, a professor of genomics, physiology and biophysics at Weill Cornell Medicine, discusses his book, "The Next 500 Years: Engineering Life to Reach New Worlds." The book explores the concept of protecting humanity from inevitable extinction by venturing to other planets. While most focus on the technologies to deliver us to these places, Mason takes a different angle, focusing on the biological adaptations necessary for humans to survive in space.
Mason discusses the need for both physical engineering and biological engineering in space travel. He highlights the importance of understanding and potentially engineering our microbiome for space travel, given its significant role in our health and digestion. He also discusses the potential of gene editing, using the example of the vitamin C gene, which we could potentially reactivate to allow humans to auto-synthesize vitamin C.
The conversation also covers the physical changes experienced by astronaut Scott Kelly during his time on the International Space Station and the implications of these changes for future space travel. Mason discusses the potential of engineering the perfect space specimen, considering factors such as gravity, radiation, and circadian rhythms.

Jul 14, 2023 • 42min
The p-zombie theory of consciousness
The rise of generative AI and large-language models (LLMs) have forced computer scientists and philosophers to ask a fundamental question: what is the definition of intelligence and consciousness? Are they the same or different? When we input words into a chatbot, are we seeing the early inklings of a general intelligence or merely the rudiments of a really good statistical parrot?
These are modern questions, but also ones that have been addressed by philosophers and novelists for years, as well as the occasional philosopher-novelist. One of those rare breed is the subject of this week’s “Securities”, specifically the novel Blindsight, the first of two books in the Firefall series written by Peter Watts back in 2008. It’s a wild ride of dozens of ideas, some of which we’ll talk about today. Spoilers abound so caveat emptor.
Joining Danny Crichton is Lux’s own scientist-in-residence Sam Arbesman as well as Gordon Brander, who runs the company Subconcious, which is building tools of thought such as Noosphere, which is a decentralized network of your notes backed by IPFS, as well as Subconscious, which is a social network built around those notes that allows you to think together with others. Think of it as a multiplayer version of Roam.
We talk about a bunch of concepts today, from the distinction between consciousness and intelligence, Searle’s Chinese Room, the Scrambler consciousness test, whether consciousness is necessary for intelligence, and then for fun, a look at intelligence and the Large Language Models that have sprung up in generative AI. Approachable, but bold – just as Watts approaches his works.
"Securities" podcast is produced, recorded, and edited by Chris Gates