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WEALTHTRACK

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Aug 26, 2023 • 26min

Mastering Market Volatility: Lessons from Steven Romick

Part 1 of 2 Discover insights from renowned investor Steven Romick, Co-Portfolio Manager of the FPA Crescent Fund, which celebrates its 30th anniversary this year. Unlike most funds, FPA Crescent has not only survived but thrived for three decades, delivering almost 10% annualized returns with lower volatility than the S&P 500.  Its success lies in maintaining equity-like returns with reduced market risk and avoiding permanent capital losses. Morningstar's Gold analyst rating and the 2013 Allocation Fund Manager of the Year title validate its performance. In a rare interview, FPA Crescent Fund’s founding portfolio manager, Steven Romick puts the fund’s current positioning into perspective WEALTHTRACK 2009 broadcast on August 25, 2023 More info: https://wealthtrack.com/great-value-investor-steven-romick-describes-fpa-crescent-funds-current-positioning/ Bookshelf: Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Technique: https://amzn.to/3szbiSH As FPA Crescent Fund celebrates its 30th anniversary, Morningstar asked the fund’s founding portfolio manager, Steven Romick to deliver a keynote speech at its annual conference. His topic: “The Evolution of a Value Investor.” https://wealthtrack.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/steven-romick-morningstar-keynote-speech-2023-04-final.pdf
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Aug 4, 2023 • 26min

An Essential Guide to Mutual Fund Investing: “The Thrilling 33”

Selecting the best mutual funds to achieve long-term financial goals remains a challenging task for investors. Russel Kinnel, Director of Manager Research for Morningstar, has dedicated nearly three decades to this endeavor. He oversees Morningstar's North American Morningstar analyst ratings committees, responsible for vetting the prestigious Morningstar medalist ratings frequently cited in the financial world. Kinnel's extensive experience analyzing various fund types and prominent fund families has led him to publish two highly impactful articles. One is the annual "The Thrilling" fund list, which carefully selects 25 to 50 funds from a vast universe of 15,000 fund share classes based on strict criteria. Additionally, Kinnel shares his review of the top ten holdings in his personal portfolio, some of which may not be members of this year's "Thrilling 33" fund list.  Join us to understand the rigorous selection process for "The Thrilling 33" and gain valuable insights into Kinnel's top personal holdings. WEALTHTRACK episode 2006 broadcast on August 04, 2023 More info: https://wealthtrack.com/best-mutual-fund-choices-from-morningstars-fund-maven-russel-kinnel/ More on “The Thrilling 33”: Reading the complete current report does require a Morningstar subscription, but you can view last year’s report for free Current report (Morningstar subscription required): https://mfi.morningstar.com/LoginDual.aspx?ReturnUrl=%2fBlogArticle.aspx%3fpostid%3d4009120&postid=4009120 Last year’s report (free): https://www.morningstar.com/funds/thrilling-31-list-great-funds
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Jul 28, 2023 • 26min

Growth Investing: Riding the A.I. Boom

Discover the future of AI investments with Michael Lippert, Head of Technology Research at Baron Capital. He believes AI is now at its transformative inflection point. Join us for an insightful discussion on his recently published report, 'Investing in AI: Opportunities and Risks,' where we explore the potential of AI as a game-changing technology.  As the Portfolio Manager of Baron Capital's high-growth stock-oriented Baron Opportunity Fund, he shares his strategies for identifying companies with durable competitive advantages and cash-generative business models, fostering double-digit multi-year projected annual returns.  Gain valuable insights into the growth potential of AI investments from a seasoned expert's investment perspective. WEALTHTRACK episode 2005 broadcast on July 28, 2023 More info: https://wealthtrack.com/investing-in-ai-with-gold-rated-baron-opportunity-funds-michael-lippert/ Read: “Investing in AI: Opportunities and Risks”: https://wealthtrack.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Baron-Insight-Investing-in-AI-7.6.2023.pdf Bookshelf: Common Sense on Mutual Funds - https://amzn.to/453zw5v Read Buffett 1990 Annual Letter: https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/1990.html
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Jul 21, 2023 • 26min

Inside Vanguard's $2 Trillion Index Portfolios with Gerry O'Reilly

Uncover the secrets behind managing the world's largest mutual fund, the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund, in this captivating episode of WEALTHTRACK. Join Gerry O'Reilly, the fund's principal portfolio manager, as he reveals the active management required for this trillion-dollar behemoth. Learn about O'Reilly's inspiring journey from Ireland to the 1988 Seoul Olympics before delving into his impressive track record. Gain insights into the misconceptions surrounding index fund management and discover the strategies employed to match the CRSP U.S. Total Market Index. Don't miss this exclusive episode for a behind-the-scenes look at the fund shaping the investment landscape.  WEALTHTRACK episode 2004 broadcast on July 21, 2023 More info: https://wealthtrack.com/gerry-oreilly-on-why-passive-is-anything-but-when-running-vanguards-total-stock-market-index-fund/
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Jul 14, 2023 • 26min

Exploring Investment Opportunities in Climate Change

Climate change, a topic of daily conversation, has sparked a global industry worth billions and, soon, trillions of dollars. Discover investment opportunities in this field through the expertise of Lucas White, Lead Portfolio Manager of GMO's successful Climate Change Strategy. With the impressive performance of GMO's Climate Change Fund, which beats its benchmark and boasts 12% annualized returns, investors gain exposure to companies combatting climate change and adapting to its effects. White shares insights on the fund's unique approach and discusses his journey in launching it. WEALTHTRACK episode 2003 originally broadcast on July 14, 2023 More info: https://wealthtrack.com/the-unique-approach-of-lucas-whites-high-performing-gmo-climate-change-fund/
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Jul 7, 2023 • 26min

Small-Cap Stocks: Are They Due for a Breakout?

Small-cap stocks in general have generated subpar returns in the last five years and have underperformed large-cap stocks by a wide margin over the last nine. However, Royce believes that small caps are due for a significant and lasting rebound. He says that history is the best guide to future performance, and that small caps have outperformed large caps over the long term. Chuck Royce is a small-cap pioneer with over 50 years of experience in the investment industry. He is the chairman of Royce Investment Partners, which he founded in 1973. Royce is also a portfolio manager on four Royce mutual funds and three closed-end funds. He is best known for his flagship fund, the Royce Pennsylvania Mutual Fund, which he has managed since 1972. In this exclusive interview, Royce discusses why his Royce Pennsylvania Mutual Fund has outperformed its benchmark for over half a century and why he believes small-caps are laying the foundation for an extended cycle of above-average returns. WEALTHTRACK episode 2002 originally broadcast on July 07, 2023 More Info: https://wealthtrack.com/chuck-royce-shares-50-years-of-investment-wisdom-on-his-small-cap-outperformance/
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Jun 30, 2023 • 26min

The Future: Markets, AI & Climate Change with Jeremy Grantham

Jeremy Grantham, investment legend and long-time value investor, warns of a bubble of "epic proportions" in the bond, stock, housing, and commodities markets. Grantham, who has accurately predicted market bubbles in the past, believes that the current market is overvalued and due for a correction. He cites three factors that are contributing to the bubble: low interest rates, easy credit, and excessive speculation. Grantham also discusses his views on climate change, bursting market bubbles, and artificial intelligence. He believes that climate change is the most important issue facing the world today, and that artificial intelligence could have a major impact on the future of the economy. WEALTHTRACK 2001 originally broadcast on June 30, 2023 More info: https://wealthtrack.com/jeremy-granthams-views-on-climate-change-bursting-market-bubbles-and-artificial-intelligence/ Burt Malkiel: 50th anniversary of A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Best Investment Guide that Money Can Buy - https://amzn.to/3NXtm1q Charles Ellis: Winning the Loser's Game: Timeless Strategies for Successful Investing - https://amzn.to/3XzC0WJ Robert Aliber: Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises - https://amzn.to/3JDIuhKNiall Ferguson: The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World - https://amzn.to/3NBtySv
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Jun 16, 2023 • 26min

Financial Crisis Analysis: Lessons from Past Market Turmoil

In a recent essay published in The New York Times, Richard Bookstaber, a renowned risk expert, suggests that we may be on the brink of a new era of crisis. Drawing from his extensive experience in risk management, Bookstaber has a track record of identifying and addressing risks in both private and public institutions. As the Chief Risk Officer of Fabric, a platform focused on risk management for wealth managers and individuals, he has played a crucial role in navigating financial crises and working with regulatory bodies. Bookstaber's current analysis highlights several slow-motion risks that he believes pose significant threats to the economy, societal stability, and even civilization itself. These risks encompass climate change, demographic shifts, deglobalization, and artificial intelligence. Alongside these long-term concerns, Bookstaber also evaluates more immediate challenges that impact the economy and financial markets. With his vast expertise and historical insights, Bookstaber's perspective offers valuable insights into the complex landscape of risks facing our world today. WEALTHTRACK Episode 1951, broadcast on June 16, 2023 More info:  Bookshelf: The End of Theory: Financial Crises, the Failure of Economics, and the Sweep of Human Interaction: https://amzn.to/468ggFj A Demon of Our Own Design: Markets, Hedge Funds, and the Perils of Financial Innovation: https://amzn.to/3JdrfUc
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May 26, 2023 • 26min

Bullish Outlook: Savita Subramanian Debunks Stock Market Misconceptions

Part 2 of 2 American investors have had a love-hate relationship with stocks since their early days of trading under a buttonwood tree on Wall Street in 1792. However, recent setbacks, including a challenging year for equities in 2022 and rising yields on fixed income investments, have led to a cooling of investor sentiment. We welcome back Savita Subramanian, an influential strategist serving as the Head of U.S. Equity and Quantitative Strategy at BofA Global Research. She challenges the prevailing negative perception of stocks and presents research-backed evidence of their value as long-term investments. Subramanian, recognized as a top-ranked analyst by Institutional Investor for the last ten years and featured on Barron's list of the 100 Most Influential Women in U.S. Finance for three consecutive years, her expertise is highly regarded in the industry. In part two of our interview with Subramanian, she sheds light on the significant market trends and explains why stocks should be considered for long-term ownership. Explore her insights and gain a deeper understanding of the enduring value that stocks can bring to your investment portfolio. WEALTHTRACK #1948 broadcast on April 26, 2023 More info: https://wealthtrack.com/winning-investment-themes-with-staying-power-in-a-changing-world/
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May 19, 2023 • 26min

Recession Warning: Fed Tightening Cycles Lead to Economic Downturns

David Rosenberg, a well-known economist, believes that the United States is in a recessionary bear market. He predicts that the S&P 500 will eventually bottom at 3100, and he has positioned his personal portfolio accordingly. Rosenberg's predictions are based on his analysis of the Federal Reserve's tightening cycle, which he believes will lead to a recession. He also points to the recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic as evidence that the economy is weakening. Rosenberg's views are in contrast to those of many other economists, who believe that the Federal Reserve can engineer a soft landing. However, Rosenberg's track record suggests that he is worth listening to. In 2007, he predicted the subprime mortgage crisis, which turned into the Global Financial Crisis. Investors who are concerned about the economy should pay attention to Rosenberg's predictions. They may want to consider reducing their equity exposure and increasing their cash holdings. Recessions & financial crises go hand in hand after Federal Reserve tightening cycles. Outspoken economist Dave Rosenberg sees evidence of both and advises defensive investments  WEALTHTRACK 1947 broadcast on May 19, 2023

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