Leading Wall Street economist Nancy Lazar discusses the looming recession in the US, highlighting how 19 states are already in a recession. The podcast explores the impact of rising consumer debt levels, declining confidence, and the differing perspectives with the Federal Reserve on the economy's state. Topics include the risks in the manufacturing sector, navigating economic challenges and market risks, and investing strategies for long-term wealth growth.
19 states are in recession as consumer debt rises and confidence falls
Middle America shows economic strengths but faces risks from higher rates and tight lending standards
Deep dives
Middle America's Economic Resilience
Nancy Lazar highlights the economic strengths of middle America, praising states like Indiana, Wisconsin, Iowa, Alabama, and Idaho for their business-friendly environment and job growth. Despite a manufacturing renaissance and government investments, middle America faces challenges from national economic headwinds like higher interest rates, tight bank lending standards, and rising wages.
Risks of Recession and Consumer Challenges
Nancy Lazar expresses concerns about the growing risks of recession, citing factors like the Fed's tightening policies, higher bond yields, and tightening lending standards by banks. She discusses a bifurcated economy where low-income consumers struggle with high debt and delinquencies, contrasting with the affluent segment benefitting from a strong stock market but warns of potential economic impact on middle-income consumers.
Global Market Insights and Investment Strategy
Nancy Lazar shares insights on the global economic landscape, highlighting the performance of different economies like Japan, Europe, China, India, and Mexico. She warns of risks in both equity and credit markets due to potential profit margin squeezes and inflation concerns. Suggests caution in investment, even recommending keeping cash reserves due to anticipated economic shifts.