Guggenheim Macro Markets cover image

Guggenheim Macro Markets

Latest episodes

undefined
Mar 27, 2023 • 31min

Episode 31: Post-FOMC/SVB Analysis

Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments’ U.S. Economist, and Evan Serdensky, a Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, share their perspectives and outlook following two eventful weeks in markets and the economy. They discuss the future path of monetary policy, the effects of a possible credit crunch, and investment strategy and positioning.Related Insights:A Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Terminal RateThe Fed’s next move and beyond.Read Macroeconomic CommentarySilicon Valley Bank Replays the Ugly Consequences of DisintermediationAssessing ongoing risks related to the SVB collapse.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryInvestors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices. Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 56637
undefined
Mar 3, 2023 • 37min

Episode 30: The Structured Credit Value Proposition Right Now

Karthik Narayanan, Head of Securitized for Guggenheim Investments, gives a master class in structured credit, including where he is finding attractive absolute and relative value in mortgage-backed securities, asset-backed securities, and collateralized loan obligations. U.S. Economist Matt Bush discusses the resilience of recent economic data and what it means for the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight. (Structured credit is complex and may not suitable for all investors.)Related Insights:1Q23 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsValuations have reset after a volatile year. Read Fixed-Income Sector Views1Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookMove up in quality ahead of any recession-driven market volatility.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookMarket Commentary: Investors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices. Read Market Commentary Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 56400
undefined
Feb 17, 2023 • 26min

Episode 29: Balancing Caution and Opportunity in Active Fixed-Income Portfolios

Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Total Return and Macro Strategies for Guggenheim Investments, shares a CIO’s unique perspective on active portfolio management in a time of higher yields and macroeconomic complexity. He discusses recent economic data, relative value opportunities, and the importance of making asset allocation decisions for a range of different outcomes. Related Insights:Market Commentary: Investors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices. Read Market Commentary 10 Macroeconomic Themes for 202310 charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends we believe are most likely to shape the investment environment in 2023. Read 10 Macro Themes1Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookMove up in quality ahead of any recession-driven market volatility.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 56209
undefined
Feb 7, 2023 • 36min

Episode 28: Fed Day, Jobs Day, and 10 Macro Themes

Brian Smedley, Chief Economist and Head of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, discusses the Fed rate decision, recent inflation, labor, and GDP data, and possible next steps for monetary policy. He also provides key takeaways for investors from our 10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023.Related Insights:10 Macroeconomic Themes for 202310 charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends we believe are most likely to shape the investment environment in 2023. Read 10 Macro Themes1Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookMove up in quality ahead of any recession-driven market volatility.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook“Right Now, the Fixed-Income Story is a Good One”Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joined CNBC in Davos to discuss her outlook for Federal Reserve (Fed) policy, the coming recession, and the positive backdrop for bonds. Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 56000
undefined
Dec 15, 2022 • 35min

Episode 27: Minerd on the Fed and Investing Heading into 2023

Scott Minerd, Global CIO for Guggenheim Partners and Chairman of Guggenheim Investments, joins the year-end episode of Macro Markets on Fed Day for a wide-ranging discussion of the Federal Reserve’s execution of monetary policy, economic conditions, the investment landscape for risk assets, portfolio strategy, and more.Related InsightsGlobal CIO Outlook: That Sound You Hear is the Fed Breaking SomethingThe Federal Reserve (Fed) is closer to the end of its tightening cycle, but is clearly not done. October will test the Fed’s resolve.Read Global CIO OutlookCIO Outlook: For Lessons on Fighting Inflation, Skip Over Volcker to 1946Clues from history on how to successfully end the current surge in prices.Read Global CIO OutlookInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.
undefined
Dec 8, 2022 • 32min

Episode 26: Mortgage-Backed Securities, Structured Credit, Market Liquidity

Karthik Narayanan, Head of Securitized for Guggenheim Investments, discusses the structure and value in the residential mortgage-backed securities market and other ABS sectors. Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, answers a listener question on liquidity. Jerry Cai, an economist in our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, brings the latest on the labor picture and an update on China.
undefined
Nov 16, 2022 • 39min

Episode 25: Fixed-Income Pain Giving Way to Opportunity

Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, joins the podcast to give her analysis of where we are in the economic and credit cycle, and her views on risk and opportunity across the fixed income landscape.Related InsightsFourth Quarter 2022 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsMarket and value updates by sectorRead Fixed-Income Sector ViewsThe Jobs Data Trend Is Duration’s FriendOctober jobs data suggests a cooling labor marketRead Macro AlertMarkets Rally After Weak CPI DataScott Minerd, Guggenheim Partners Global CIO and Chairman ofGuggenheim Investments, joins CNBC to discuss markets on CPI day.Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management. SP 55046  
undefined
Oct 27, 2022 • 43min

Episode 24: Yields & Spreads: Are We Getting Paid for Taking Risk in Today’s Market?

Investment Strategist Maria Giraldo takes us through the fixed-income market to evaluate risk and return prospects with spreads near their historical wides and bond prices at levels not seen in decades. Jerry Cai, an economist in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, provides an update on the latest macro data. Also, we answer listener mail.Related Content:Global CIO Outlook: That Sound You Hear is the Fed Breaking SomethingThe Federal Reserve (Fed) is closer to the end of its tightening cycle, but is clearly not done. Read CIO Outlook “A Once in a Generation Opportunity for Investors”Scott Minerd, Chairman of Guggenheim Investments and Guggenheim Partners Global CIO, joined CNBC to discuss opportunities for investors in a market beset by policy and economic challenges. Watch Video2022’s Upside: The Fed Has Put the Income Back in Fixed IncomeAnne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income at Guggenheim Investments, joined Asset TV to discuss macroeconomic conditions, risk, and relative value in the bond market. Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management. SP 54708
undefined
Oct 13, 2022 • 35min

Episode 23: A CIO’s View of the Bond Market

Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Total Return and Macro Strategies for Guggenheim Investments, gives a CIO’s unique perspective on managing portfolios and market dynamics in a complex macro environment. He discusses credit performance, relative value in corporate and structured credit, duration strategy, risk management, and more. Paul Dozier, a Director in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, provides an update on the latest macro data. Also, we answer listener mail.Related Insights:Global CIO Outlook: That Sound You Hear is the Fed Breaking SomethingThe Federal Reserve (Fed) is closer to the end of its tightening cycle, but is clearly not done. October will test the Fed’s resolve.Read CIO Outlook“We Are Seeing Cracks All Over the Place”Scott Minerd, Chairman of Guggenheim Investments and Guggenheim Partners Global CIO, joins CNBC to discuss ramifications of aggressive Fed tightening.Watch Video3Q22 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookSignposts for credit investors as next recession approachesRead ReportInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Fund Management (Europe) Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.
undefined
Sep 28, 2022 • 45min

Episode 22: Investors’ Guide to the Fed’s Hard Landing

In the newest episode of our award-winning podcast, Brian Smedley, Chief Economist and Head of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, covers a lot of ground in his analysis of the Federal Reserve’s third straight 75 basis point rate hike. He discusses how monetary policy is intended to tame inflation, the Fed’s reaction function going forward, and possible recession timing, as well as the U.S. dollar’s relative strength and foreign central bank responses. With the Fed now embracing a “hard landing,” what should investors be thinking about?Fed Day: The Argument for 100 Basis PointsScott Minerd, Guggenheim Partners Global CIO and Chairman of Guggenheim Investments, joins Bloomberg TV on Fed Day (September 2022)Watch Video3Q22 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsRelative Value and performance drivers across fixed-income sectors.Read Report3Q22 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookSignposts for credit investors as next recession approachesRead ReportInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Fund Management (Europe) Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.  

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode