Guggenheim Macro Markets

Guggenheim Investments
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May 20, 2024 • 26min

Episode 53: The Wide Opportunity Set in Bonds and Asymmetric Future Fed Policy

It’s been 10 months since the Fed’s last rate hike, and Evan Serdensky, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, and Matt Bush, our U.S. Economist, join Macro Markets to discuss what’s next for the economy and markets. Related Insights:The Economic Cycle Isn’t Dead, Merely Delayed…And That’s Good for BondsNavigating an economic cycle where old patterns don’t seem to apply.Read CIO Commentary“This Is a Good Time for Credit”Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, talks to Bloomberg TV at the Milken Institute Global Conference about why the Fed’s policy pause is good for fixed-income investors.Watch VideoLearning from Turning Points in Monetary PolicyThe case for moving into higher-quality fixed income (and out of money markets and equities) while the Fed is paused and a head of coming rate cuts.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 61466
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May 6, 2024 • 25min

Episode 52: Fixed-Income Investing for Insurance Companies (and Listener Mail)

Jamie Crapanzano, a member of our insurance portfolio management team, joins the podcast to discuss the distinctive aspects of fixed-income management for insurance companies and provide an update on bond market relative value. Related Insights:1Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what’s next.Read Quarterly Macro Themes2024 Election Uncertainty Could Drive Fixed-Income OutperformanceRising economic policy and geopolitical uncertainty may favor higher quality fixed income in this election year.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryLearning from Turning Points in Monetary PolicyThe Case for Moving Into Higher Quality Fixed Income (and out of Money Markets and Equities) While the Fed Is Paused… and Ahead of Coming Rate Cuts.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 61234
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Apr 10, 2024 • 26min

Episode 51: What's Holding Up Inflation…And Other Macro Themes

Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments’ U.S. Economist, and Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist, join the Macro Markets podcast to discuss our newly published Quarterly Macro Themes for 1Q 2024 and provide an update to our baseline views on the economy. Related Insights:1Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what’s next.Read Quarterly Macro Themes2024 Election Uncertainty Could Drive Fixed-Income OutperformanceRising economic policy and geopolitical uncertainty may favor higher quality fixed income in this election year.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryLearning from Turning Points in Monetary PolicyThe Case for Moving Into Higher Quality Fixed Income (and out of Money Markets and Equities) While the Fed Is Paused… and Ahead of Coming Rate Cuts.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 60910
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Mar 25, 2024 • 24min

Episode 50: Investing in Private Debt

Joe McCurdy, Head of Origination on the Private Debt team, discusses the growth of private debt as a capital option, its advantages over traditional loans and bonds, and the investment opportunities and risks in the sector. Topics include deal sourcing, pricing, return profiles, and strategies for successful private debt investments.
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Mar 11, 2024 • 36min

Episode 49: Evaluating Investment-Grade Corporates (and Listener Mail)

Justin Takata, Head of our Investment-Grade Sector Team, and Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist, provide technical and fundamental analysis of the sector, as well as where they are seeing risk and opportunity. We also answer listener mail.Related Content:1Q24 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsInvesting as the Fed prepares to cut rates.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsLearning from Turning Points in Monetary PolicyThe case for moving into higher quality fixed income (and out of money markets and equities) while the Fed is paused… and ahead of coming rate cuts. Read Portfolio Strategy Article1Q24 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookImplications for credit investors.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 60632
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Feb 20, 2024 • 47min

Episode 48: Why We Like Structured Credit

Join Karthik Narayanan and Danny Gibbs as they discuss the structured credit market, exploring the role of portfolio managers, the diversity of collateral types, and strategic portfolio allocations. Learn about the firm's risk appetite for high credit quality assets and the importance of risk management in structured credit investments.
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Feb 6, 2024 • 32min

Episode 47: Investing as the Fed Prepares to Start Rate Cuts

Discussion on Fed's cautious rate cut cycle, navigating credit fundamentals for relative value, investment strategy in uncertain markets, Fed's balance sheet impact, and conclusion with important investment disclosures.
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Jan 23, 2024 • 27min

Episode 46: A Deeper Dive into Our 11 Macro Themes for 2024

Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments’ U.S. Economist, and Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist, join the Macro Markets podcast to discuss our top 11 Macro Themes likely to shape monetary policy and investment performance this year. Related Insights:11 Macro Themes for 202411 trends that will shape credit markets in 2024. Read 11 Macro ThemesPolicy Conditions Are Tighter Than They AppearAnne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins CNBC to discuss Federal Reserve policy and its effect on credit markets heading into 2024.Positioning for the Fed PivotSteve Brown shares insights on Fed policy and our house view on the possible pace and size of rate cuts going forward.Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 60019
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Jan 8, 2024 • 34min

Episode 45: Macro and Market Outlook for 2024

Anne Walsh, CIO for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Macro Markets to discuss opportunities and risks in what promises to be an eventful 2024. A weakening economy, pivoting monetary policy, volatile geopolitics, and a presidential election form the backdrop that is tailor-made for active fixed-income management.Related Content:Policy Positions Are Tighter Than They AppearAnne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins CNBC to discuss Federal Reserve policy and its effect on credit markets heading into 2024.Watch Video4Q23 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsConsistent strategy through volatility. Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsPositioning for the Fed PivotSteve Brown, Chief Investment Officer, Total Return and Macro Strategies, shares insights on Fed policy and our house view on the possible pace and size of rate cuts going forward. Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investments in fixed-income instruments are subject to the possibility that interest rates could rise, causing their values to decline. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.Investors in asset-backed securities ("ABS"), including mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"), and collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”), generally receive payments that are part interest and part return of principal. These payments may vary based on the rate loans are repaid. Some asset-backed securities may have structures that make their reaction to interest rates and other factors difficult to predict, making their prices volatile and they are subject to liquidity and valuation risk. CLOs bear similar risks to investing in loans directly, such as credit, interest rate, counterparty, prepayment, liquidity, and valuation risks. Loans are often below investment grade, may be unrated, and typically offer a fixed or floating interest rate.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 59881
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Nov 28, 2023 • 36min

Episode 44: Corporate Credit Review and Preview

Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist, discusses the performance of the corporate credit sector this year and the rationale for our cautiously optimistic outlook for 2024. Related Insights:4Q23 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsConsistent strategy through volatility. Read Fixed-Income Sector Views4Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookCredit challenges to come as the economy slows. Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook3Q23 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what’s next.Read Quarterly Macro ThemesInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 59577

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