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Guggenheim Macro Markets

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Sep 21, 2023 • 25min

Episode 41: Quarterly Macro Themes for Q3 2023

U.S. Economist Matt Bush, Investment Strategist Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist Chris Squillante, and Economist Jerry Cai join Macro Markets to discuss the second issue of Quarterly Macro Themes, which takes a deep dive into issues helping shape our baseline economic views.Related Insights:3Q23 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what’s next. Read Quarterly Macro Themes3Q23 Fixed-Income Sector Views Technical tailwinds support the market. Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsUse this “Goldilocks Market” to Prepare for Its Eventual EndThe Fed is not done. Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 58778
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Sep 7, 2023 • 31min

Episode 40: Real Estate and Its Possible Black Swan: The Office Sector

Jenny Marler, Head of Guggenheim Real Estate, provides insight into the $21 trillion commercial real estate market, a critical asset class for the economy. Performance has varied for each of the principal sectors, but the office sector, beset by tepid post-pandemic back-to-work trends, high mortgage rates, and capital rationing, is struggling. She discusses monitoring and managing risk and where she is seeing value in the sector. Related Insights:3Q23 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsTechnical tailwinds support the market.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsUse This ‘Goldilocks Market’ to Prepare for Its Eventual EndThe Fed is not done.Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary3Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookAppealing yields and cautious markets.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 58466
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Aug 4, 2023 • 31min

Episode 39: Soft Landing Skepticism

Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments U.S. Economist, and Evan Serdensky, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, share their updated outlook following some recent surprises in the economic data. They discuss the likelihood of a soft landing, the possible path of monetary policy, market dynamics, and investment strategy and positioning.Related Insights:Use This ‘Goldilocks Market’ to Prepare for Its Eventual EndThe Fed is not done.Read Commentary3Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookAppealing yields and cautious markets.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook"It’s a Good Time to Be Thoughtful About Risk"Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins CNBC to discuss the market implications of the Federal Reserve’s ongoing inflation battle. Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 58258
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Jul 25, 2023 • 55min

Episode 38: Value and Nuance in CMBS

Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit for Guggenheim Investments, and Tom Nash, a director on our Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) sector team, join Macro Markets to discuss drivers of performance, current conditions in real estate, and where they are finding value in CMBS and in other types of structured credit. Related Insights:3Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookAppealing yields and cautious markets.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook2Q23 Quarterly Macro ThemesA new quarterly publication from our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, spotlights critical and timely areas of research and updates our baseline views on the economy.Read Quarterly Macro ThemesIt’s a Good Time to Be Thoughtful About RiskAnne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins CNBC to discuss the market implications of the Federal Reserve’s ongoing inflation battle. Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 58304
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Jun 20, 2023 • 31min

Episode 37: Introducing Quarterly Macro Themes

Matt Bush, US Economist; Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist; and Paul Dozier, Economist, join Macro Markets to discuss the first issue of our newest Thought Leadership publication, Quarterly Macro Themes. We also answer listener mail. Related Insights:2Q23 Quarterly Macro ThemesA new quarterly publication from our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, spotlights critical and timely areas of research and updates our baseline views on the economy.Read Quarterly Macro ThemesFixed Income Is Now a Buyer’s MarketSteve Brown, CIO for Macro and Total Return Strategies, discusses the Improved value proposition in credit.Read Portfolio Insight2Q23 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsOpportunity in fixed income rises with uncertainty.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 57188
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Jun 8, 2023 • 32min

Episode 36: “It’s a bond-picker's market.”

Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, analyzes the economic and credit cycles, evaluates market opportunities, opines on drivers of returns going forward, and shares portfolio strategies. Rising idiosyncratic risk, she says, calls for active fixed-income management. She also offers advice to young women looking to make a career in asset management.Related Content:Fixed Income Is Now a Buyer’s MarketImproved value proposition in credit.Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary2Q23 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsOpportunity in fixed income rises with uncertaintyRead Fixed-Income Sector Views2Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookAn opportunity for active management.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investments in fixed-income instruments are subject to the possibility that interest rates could rise, causing their values to decline. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 57586
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May 25, 2023 • 30min

Episode 35: A Deep Dive into Municipal Bonds

Allen Li, Managing Director and Head of Guggenheim Investments’ Municipal Bond Sector Team, explains the structure and characteristics of the $4 trillion municipal market, the importance of technical dynamics, and where he is finding value. U.S. Economist Matt Bush updates the economic outlook.Related Content:2Q23 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsOpportunity in fixed income rises with uncertaintyRead Fixed-Income Sector Views2Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookAn opportunity for active management.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 57470
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May 11, 2023 • 31min

Episode 34: Risk/Reward in High Yield/Bank Loans

Tom Hauser, Co-Head of Corporate Credit for Guggenheim Investments and senior portfolio manager for the firm’s high yield and leveraged loan portfolios, discusses his team’s analytical process, the importance of credit selection, and his current views on opportunity in leveraged credit. Take a deep dive with Tom into the fundamental and technical drivers of performance, his default outlook, and getting paid for taking credit risk. Economist Paul Dozier updates on the latest economic data.Related Content:2Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookAn opportunity for active management.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookA Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Terminal RateThe Fed’s next move and beyond. Read Macroeconomic CommentaryInvestors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices. Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 57291
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Apr 27, 2023 • 15min

Episode 33: Fixed-Income Opportunity Now and Down the Road

Adam Bloch, Portfolio Manager for Guggenheim Investments, checks in with Macro Markets to discuss opportunities, tactics, and strategy in today’s uncertain economic and market environment. With the relatively high level of income available in the market today, it pays to be patient, and diversified, with an eye towards becoming a liquidity provider in the future.Related Content:2Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookAn opportunity for active management.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookA Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Terminal RateThe Fed’s next move and beyond. Read Macroeconomic CommentarySilicon Valley Bank Replays the Ugly Consequences of DisintermediationAssessing ongoing risks related to the SVB collapse.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 57078
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Apr 14, 2023 • 29min

Episode 32: Investment Grade Market Dynamics

Justin Takata, Head of Investment Grade Corporate Credit for Guggenheim Investments, discusses the interplay between primary issuance and trading volumes, developments in credit fundamentals, and where he is seeing risk and opportunity. U.S. Economist Matt Bush updates the Fed outlook following recent economic data. Also, we answer listener mail.Related Content:A Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Terminal RateThe Fed’s next move and beyond. Read Macroeconomic CommentarySilicon Valley Bank Replays the Ugly Consequences of DisintermediationAssessing ongoing risks related to the SVB collapse.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryInvestors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility The transition to a world of quantitative tightening will lead to reduced liquidity, capital rationing and persistent swings in asset prices. Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 56855

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