The NZ Property Market Podcast

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!This week, Nick chats to Nigel Ho, owner of and mortgage advisor at Agile Financial Services in Christchurch.Nigel has a long and successful career in the financial services industry with a unique experience in helping new migrants understand their financial situation, especially how it applies to the possibility of buying a home in NZ.Nigel's recent interactions also include with Mum & Dad investors keen to test their ability to buy an investment property and Nick also asks about the potential impacts of the removal of the first home buyer grants.Nigel is a proud, parochial Cantabrian who knows his stuff, providing insight into the most important topics of conversations with clients which includes considerations of where to next for interest rates.Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!In this quick podcast Nick and Kelvin give their reaction to the just-released GDP data for Q1.Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!More property market data this week and with it more evidence of the stuttering recovery, to the point where the old 'dead cat bounce' conversation has reared its head. The latest CoreLogic Mapping the Market interactive report showing 221 of the 938 suburbs experiencing a drop in property values of at least 1%, including ten which fell by at least 5% over the three months to June.In other data releases from last week, net migration is growing but the rate of growth is slowing - particularly due to Kiwi leaving our shores. Aligning to the theme of slower growth, rental prices also follow the trend, and there'll be plenty of eyes on this week's GDP release for Q1 to see how the broader economy has performed.There's also RBNZ data about the fixed rate loan tenure people are choosing - why are people staying at the shorter end and what could it mean?Keep an eye out for the monthly chart pack and monthly video, both out this week.Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!With no external data releases to consume and interpret, this week it's all about CoreLogic data. Lead by the CoreLogic House Price Index for May, Nick and Kelvin discuss the results, in particular the recent decline in Auckland property values. Given the chance to go a bit deeper into the results, market drivers like listings, construction and buyer activity - thanks to Buyer Classification data for May - all help to paint the picture of what's driving (or not driving) the market right now and what could be in store for the rest of this year.Add in comparisons in value to the recent peak, the even-more-recent-trough and pre-COVID and you've got a statistics bonanza!Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!This audio is the recording of an in-person event, hosted by the Auckland Property Investors Association titled "The Elephant in the Housing Room: What the Experts See When the Rest of Us Aren't Looking".Moderated by Nick Goodall, Head of Research at CoreLogic NZ, featuring a panel of Opteon MD, Richard Vaughan, Chief Executive of the Property Council, Leonie Freeman and Chief Economist at CoreLogic NZ, Kelvin Davidson.This covers a number of topics that haven't generally got as much coverage as they deserve, such as the impacts of climate change on housing, the opportunity of build-to-rent, the difficulties of infrastructure investment and the generational changes which will have an influence over the next few decades.Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!This week there's a lot of chat about lending. Following the RBNZ confirming the framework and timing of the debt-to-income (DTI) restrictions, coming 1 July, Kelvin gives and overview of the details as well as potential implications. Showing off his Nostradamus qualities this came hot on the heels of his own analysis of the latest lending stats in his 10 things to know about the mortgage market right now article.There's also a bit of chat about the Government's Budget 2024, though in truth it was pretty uneventful when it comes to housing implications - tax cuts and their potential impact on inflation being the main topic of conversation.Elsewhere there was filled jobs data, business confidence survey results and a bit of a quirk in the latest building consent figures. Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!This week, Nick chats to Aaron Cooke, adviser from the award winning  Loan Market Highland Park Office.Aaron is a passionate and articulate advisor with his finger on the pulse of all things property. Today's discussion covers a myriad of topics - honing in on first home buyer mentality and behaviour, the impact of the 'transaction chain' slowing down activity, the state of the new build market and some great detail on the Council buy-out process following the flooding events of yester-year. All the topical influences are covered too - from the Reserve Bank's DTIs, to the removal of first home buyer grants and the market shift in favour of finance-qualified buyers.Plenty to chew over and as per usual we're always keen on your feedback so please get in touch.Give Aaron a googleSign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!After a round up of the MPS and removal of first home buyer grants, as first covered in last week's reactionary pod, Nick and Kelvin discuss the potential re-emergence of movers (thanks to the monthly chart pack).It's definitely too early to call it a trend just yet, but the settings are there for those that would have liked to have moved in the past few years to now get out and do it (affordability calculations pending!).Kelvin also reports on consumers being a little 'less unhappy', but importantly feeling the easing of price pressures, while the latest RBNZ lending data is the topic of conversation for Kelvin's Property Market Pulse this week.Looking ahead plenty of focus will be on the Government budget (2pm Thursday) though we don't think there'll be much new for the housing market that hasn't already been released (FHB grants, bright-line, interest deductibility). Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!It's been a busy day for property news, and in this shorter, reactionary episode, Nick and Kelvin first discuss the Reserve Bank's tough-talking monetary policy statement, then quickly cover off the announcement that first home grants have been canned.In a nutshell, inflation is still a problem, and OCR cuts seem off the table until 2025 - meaning 'higher for longer' mortgage rates too.Regarding first home grants, the decision will be disappointing for some would-be first home buyers (FHBs), but there are still lots of other factors in their favour, and the market still looks generally positive in the next little while for FHBs.Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!Still pretty fresh from the incredible game, but disappointing result, from the Phoenix on the weekend, Nick gets it all off his chest early to then refocus ahead of a big week for the property market with the RBNZ Monetary Policy Committee meeting on Wednesday. It comes as the range of economic data recently released is a bit mixed. Migration is slowing, but still high, rental growth is also slowing but the economy is showing further signs of resilience. From a property market perspective - most recent data has been decidedly weak - particularly the HPI from REINZ, causing a rethink to Nick's 2024 expectation and consideration of just how underwhelming 2024 could actually be.The full Pain & Gain report for Q1 is available on the CoreLogic website and the monthly chart pack will be up soon, as will the monthly video on the Youtube channel.Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com