

The NZ Property Market Podcast
CoreLogic NZ
Brought to you by cotality, formerly CoreLogic. Each week co-hosts Nick Goodall and Kelvin Davidson will bring you all the latest news, stats and insight to keep you up to date with everything to do with the NZ residential property market. Including sales volumes, house price indices, buyer activity, interest rates, loan-to-value ratio restrictions and all of the macro economic factors that influence our largest asset class. Contact us on twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL
Episodes
Mentioned books

Jun 21, 2021 • 42min
S2.E28 - Reserve Bank granted potential use of DTI limits
Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!Last week the Reserve Bank were technically granted permission to add debt-to-income (DTI) limits to their macro-prudential toolkit. With the news, came a paper with plenty of detail into how these mate work and who they might affect. Nick and Kelvin provide their takeaway points after giving the document the once over. One key upshot is that we're unlikely to see implementation of any limits this year.The other big piece of news last week was the GDP figures for Q1, which surprised all economists for it's strength. In light of this, forecasts for interest rate increases have been brought forward my many in the industry.There was also net migration data, rental price information and the REINZ stats to review and a look ahead to May lending data.Check out the best of the best release for 2021 so far and the June video.Check out all our regular CoreLogic research insights at https://www.corelogic.co.nz/research-news and get in touch on LinkedIn, twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL or send us an email on nick.goodall@corelogic.co.nz or kelvin.davidson@corelogic.co.nzSign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

Jun 14, 2021 • 24min
S2.E27 - Buyer activity, listings and inflation 101
Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!In a slightly shorter pod than usual, Nick and Kelvin review the latest CoreLogic Buyer Classification data, showing investor activity further reducing in May. While the drop is likely more attributable to the return of the tightened loan-to-value (LVR) limits, the interest deductibility changes for investors also comes up, especially off the back of the 143 page discussion document released by the Government.Kelvin also takes a look at the latest data of how many properties are listed for sale, and the flow of properties coming to market.Then, in the weekly economic review/preview the guys delve a little bit deeper into inflation expectations and why they matter when it comes to the property market and specifically mortgage holders interested in where interest rates are headed.Check out all our regular CoreLogic research insights at https://www.corelogic.co.nz/research-news and get in touch on LinkedIn, twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL or send us an email on nick.goodall@corelogic.co.nz or kelvin.davidson@corelogic.co.nzSign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

Jun 8, 2021 • 24min
S2.E26 - May House Price Index and stories from the road
Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!In a quieter week for data releases Nick and Kelvin share a few anecdotal stories from a week of travel alongside Bayleys and Centuria. Kelvin provides some insight into the aftermath of the Canterbury floods as well as the latest on his personal new build, plus his take on 'the vibe from the road' after speaking with investors around the country.The CoreLogic HPI was the main data release of the week though and off the back of this Nick did an interview with Bernard Hickey to discus the results.Kelvin then reviews the latest on business confidence and dwelling consent data, before a brief look ahead to the May Buyer Classification data which will be available this Friday.Check out all our regular CoreLogic research insights at https://www.corelogic.co.nz/research-news and get in touch on LinkedIn, twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL or send us an email on nick.goodall@corelogic.co.nz or kelvin.davidson@corelogic.co.nzSign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

May 31, 2021 • 29min
S2.E25 - Reviewing the RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement
Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!Last week the Reserve Bank released it's latest Monetary Policy Statement and it provided plenty to chew over from a property perspective so Nick and Kelvin dedicate the majority of this week's podcast to it.Kelvin also covers off recent and upcoming economic data, including filled jobs and confidence data, while Nick previews the imminent CoreLogic House Price Index release and rounds out the latest read on the early market indicators data which has now been retired.And lastly, Nick touches on the release of the hugely popular Corelogic Pain & Gain report, just before Kelvin's connection drops out!Check out all our regular CoreLogic research insights at https://www.corelogic.co.nz/research-news and get in touch on LinkedIn, twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL or send us an email on nick.goodall@corelogic.co.nz or kelvin.davidson@corelogic.co.nzSign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

May 24, 2021 • 43min
Women in Business: Australia's Valuation Industry
Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!Hosted by Shelley Horton, Head of Valuation Strategy & Solutions, our Women in Business Podcast features lively discussions and tips on leadership and business by some of the top women leaders in the Valuations Industry.Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

May 24, 2021 • 28min
S2.E24 - Housing insight from the Budget
Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!This week Nick reviews the Government Budget, including Treasury's house price forecast and other implications from announced spending initiatives (or lack of).Kelvin then gives an update on the latest RBNZ data and also what's to come - with their next Monetary Policy Statement due out this Wednesday.Kelvin also covers the latest migration data and looks ahead to consumer confidecnce and job data, while Nick reports on the latest early market indicators.Links to first home buyer report, monthly video and keep an eye out for the Q1 Pain & Gain report too. Check out all our regular CoreLogic research insights at https://www.corelogic.co.nz/research-news and get in touch on LinkedIn, twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL or send us an email on nick.goodall@corelogic.co.nz or kelvin.davidson@corelogic.co.nzSign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

May 17, 2021 • 27min
S2.E23 - Assessing the impact of Government changes
Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!With a bit more data available since the Government's bold changes announced on March 23, Nick and Kelvin run the rule over it all to assess any changes in behaviour. The banks are also making adjustments to their serviceability calculations, with ANZ the first to advise a reduction in rental income able to be used in income calculations for borrowing, which according to Ed from Opes will reduce the total amount investors can borrow by up to 15%.Kelvin also provides a high level overview of the latest CoreLogic first home buyer report, which goes live on Tuesday 18 May, and is free to download from corelogic.co.nz.Check out all our regular CoreLogic research insights at https://www.corelogic.co.nz/research-news and get in touch on LinkedIn, twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL or send us an email on nick.goodall@corelogic.co.nz or kelvin.davidson@corelogic.co.nzSign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

May 10, 2021 • 31min
S2.E22 - CoreLogic HPI and RBNZ FSR
Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!Off the back of the release of the CoreLogic House Price Index last week, Nick takes the opportunity to evaluate the performance of the market since the big Government announcement on March 23. The impact on property values is hard to assess, but other measures of market activity are very revealing in terms of a lack of reaction, despite commentary otherwise.(and minor correction, Nick mentions the market potentially switching to a sellers' market - he of course means a buyers' market!)Then Kelvin gives the RBNZ Financial Stability Report the full once-over to get a better understanding of the RBNZ's read of the economy and housing market (which featured heavily). This includes their take on potential tightening of loan-to-value ratio restrictions and assessment of debt-to-income limits and interest only lending caps.To round out the pod, Kelvin reviews plenty of positive economic data and then looks ahead to upcoming data releases, in particular the CoreLogic Buyer Classification data for April.Check out all our regular CoreLogic research insights at https://www.corelogic.co.nz/research-news and get in touch on LinkedIn, twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL or send us an email on nick.goodall@corelogic.co.nz or kelvin.davidson@corelogic.co.nzSign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

May 2, 2021 • 31min
S2.E21 - Strong lending and confident, employed people
Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!This week, Nick is back from holiday to recap a busy past week as well as upcoming one when it comes to data and information relating to the property market.Hot off producing the flagship CoreLogic Quarterly Property Market and Economic Update, which is absolutely free to download, Kelvin gives a quick summary of the state of the market prior to the Government's housing announcement on March 23.There's also plenty of macro-economic data to recap, including lending data from the RBNZ, filled jobs data from Stats NZ and surveyed confidence data from ANZ.Plus of course, a review of the latest CoreLogic Early Market Indicators, which shows a minor drop in demand for property, but nothing to intimate falling values are on the horizon.There's plenty coming up as well, so settle in for your weekly summary of everything property.Check out all our regular CoreLogic research insights at https://www.corelogic.co.nz/research-news and get in touch on LinkedIn, twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL or send us an email on nick.goodall@corelogic.co.nz or kelvin.davidson@corelogic.co.nzSign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com

Apr 26, 2021 • 14min
S2.E18 Kelvin's solo again and looking ahead
Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!With Nick away on leave in Southland (last time it was Northland; he loves the extremes of the country!), Kelvin takes up the reins and in lieu of much data being released over the past week, he looks ahead to upcoming releases. After running through filled jobs and both business and consumer confidence, the discussion is about the mortgage lending figures for March – they’re likely to be strong, but more interest will be around the breakdown by LVR and by interest-only vs principal repayment.Kelvin then loosely ‘myth busts’ about whether selling in Autumn/Winter is better or worse for vendors than Spring/Summer, and whether rising prices truly are ‘good’ for owner-occupiers. The Pulse article referred to can be read here: https://www.corelogic.co.nz/news/fatigued-first-home-buyers-likely-increase-focus-existing-properties Check out all our regular CoreLogic research insights at https://www.corelogic.co.nz/research-news and get in touch on LinkedIn, twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL or send us an email on nick.goodall@corelogic.co.nz or kelvin.davidson@corelogic.co.nz Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@cotality.com or kelvin.davidson@cotality.com