Keep or Kut

Chad Young, Pete Ball
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Nov 1, 2021 • 1h 20min

K ꓘ 37 - Ottoneu Arbitration

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung) is joined by Mark McElroy (@markmcelroybb), commissioner of the Pitcher List staff Ottoneu league, to discuss arbitration. They talk about why arbitration exists, how it works, and how you should think about arbitration for your league. Plus, they walk through live examples, as Mark discusses how he would allocate to one of Chad's teams, and Chad does the same for one of Mark's. Join Pitcher List Plus and get an ad-free website and access to the Pitcher List Discord community, while supporting the podcast. Timestamps: 5:29 - The quirks of Mark and Chad's home leagues 10:34 - The basics of Ottoneu arbitration, including why it exists and how it works 17:04 - Before allocating money, look at teams (including your own), not players 31:24 - Once you know what teams you want to allocate to, it is time to look at which players are the best targets 39:40 - Should you allocate dollars to prospects? 44:36 - Does it make sense to allocate money to high-priced guys in order to force another manager to cut the player? 50:00 - Arb runs for a month, so when is the right time to do it? 53:28 - Is it fair game to discuss arbitration with other members of your league? 57:05 - Mark looks at the Hawken Hawks, Chad's team in league 13, and discusses his arbitration strategy 1:03:55 - Chad returns the favor, discussing his strategy for allocating to the Kram Fighters, Mark's team in league 1122.Get PL+ and join our community: https://pitcherlist.com/plus Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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Oct 18, 2021 • 1h 26min

K ꓘ 36 - Keeper Values Based on the Pitcher List Mock

Keep or Kut - Last week, Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (@ChadYoung) jumped into a way-too-early Pitcher List mock draft for the 2022 season. In this episode, they are joined by two of the other draft participants - Scott Chu (@ifthechufits) and Christopher Weber (@shwebsi) - to talk about potential high-value keepers. By comparing 2021 ADP to where players were taken in the mock draft, Chad, Pete, Scott, and Shwebsi countdown the top 10 keeper values, and tease some late selections who could be exciting keepers next year. Join Pitcher List Plus and get an ad-free website and access to the Pitcher List Discord community, while supporting the podcast. Timestamps: 3:08 - Scott and Shwebsi tell us a bit about their favorite keeper leagues, including a contract-based pair of AL- and NL-only, and a team named Howard the Duck 9:35 - High-level thoughts on the draft we just finished, including the folly of drafting in October. 14:41 - We dive into our top ten countdown of the players with the greatest difference between their 2021 ADP and their pick in this draft, starting with Freddy Peralta. 20:57 - After making huge strides in 2021, Dylan Cease checks in at number nine. 25:46 - Jorge Polanco may not repeat his 2021, but that won't stop him from being number eight on our list, and a great keeper. 31:57 - With first-round production this year, Cedric Mullins is a clear keeper in any format. 38:14 - It's a full-on lovefest for number six Wander Franco. 45:28 - Chad takes a victory lap as we discuss number five Austin Riley. 52:06 - Number four Robbie Ray and the amazing ability to just decide to be better. 56:51 - There were two Shohei Ohtani's in this draft, but only one made it to number three on our list. 1:02:46 - Tyler O'Neill demonstrates the challenges of drafting this early in the off-season. 1:09:12 - Despite the rough pre-season, no one rose further from 2021 to this draft than Chris Sale 1:17:11 - Six guys who went after pick 200 in the draft that we think could be keepers in 2023Get PL+ and join our community: https://pitcherlist.com/plus Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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Oct 9, 2021 • 42min

K ꓘ 35 - Chad's 2021 Takeaways

Keep or Kut - After Pete (@PeteBBaseball) went solo last week to talk about his 2021 takeaways, this weekend you get a special bonus episode of Keep or Kut, as Chad (@ChadYoung) rolls solo to give you his takeaways. Join Pitcher List Plus and get an ad-free website and access to the Pitcher List Discord community, while supporting the podcast. Timestamps: 3:42 - Chad looks back at Pete's takeaways and shares his thoughts 12:17 - Chad starts his takeaways by talking about the importance of knowing your style and sticking to it. 21:14 - Expecting too much from Dominic Smith didn't sink Chad; but assuming he could rely on elite production rather than viewing that as upside was a problem. Don't be overly reliant on your guys. 28:29 - Don't be afraid to make a big move. Even if that means trading a long-term keeper like Mookie Betts. Get PL+ and join our community: https://pitcherlist.com/plus Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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Oct 4, 2021 • 21min

K ꓘ 34 - Pete's 2021 Takeaways

Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) is without Chad (@ChadYoung) for this short episode as he discusses his fantasy baseball takeaways from the 2021 season. Join Pitcher List Plus and get an ad-free website and access to the Pitcher List Discord community, while supporting the podcast. Timestamps: 1:59 - Maybe time to stop putting such little attention on the catcher position 6:11 - The idea of getting a draft discount on a player because he is injured is tantalizing but recent setbacks have Pete thinking twice about drafting injured players 10:15 - Reaching for prospects or paying too much FAAB for them lowers the floor of your roster and for most people, especially the last two years, this strategy isn't working 15:26 - Stolen bases are at an all-time low. Pete's thinking about just not focusing on them at all in his 2022 drafts.Get PL+ and join our community: https://pitcherlist.com/plus Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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Sep 27, 2021 • 1h 7min

K ꓘ 33: Confusing Seasons & the Importance of Team Schedules

Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (@ChadYoung) try to figure out what went wrong for some players who we thought were fantasy studs going into the season. They also discuss how much strength of schedule should be considered, particularly for starting pitchers, when constructing your roster. Join Pitcher List Plus and get an ad-free website and access to the Pitcher List Discord community, while supporting the podcast. Timestamps: 0:25 - DOGS! 4:03 - Trying to figure out Aaron Nola and his odd GB% 16:58 - Will the Dodgers trade Cody Bellinger? What is going on with him? 25:05 - Christian Yelich… selling out for contact now? 35:15 - Trent Grisham’s season has not gone to plan after a hot start 40:16 - Giovanny Gallegos is really good and Pete just wants you to know that 41:40 - Should any weight be put into September, particularly late September, strength of schedule when constructing your roster? 57:00 - OQOTD: Who is a good player to buy low on now to avoid the potential of the market picking up on them by auction time?Get PL+ and join our community: https://pitcherlist.com/plus Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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Sep 20, 2021 • 46min

K ꓘ 32: Hitters Whose April is Masking their Season

Chad (@ChadYoung) takes you through a list of hitters whose overall season wOBA is at least .020 points better or worse than what they have done since May 1. For some of these guys, a rough April is hiding a pretty solid season; for others, a great April (or even a great 10 days) is making an unimpressive season look good. Either way, you'll want to think twice about how you interpret the season-long lines from J.D. Martinez, Avisail Garcia, Ryan Mountcastle, and others. Join Pitcher List Plus and get an ad-free website and access to the Pitcher List Discord community, while supporting the podcast. Timestamps 2:58 - The ten players whose wOBA since May 1 is the furthest below their season-long line. 4:22 - The decline of Nick Solak 7:37 - He makes this list, but that's no reason to worry about with Ronald Acuna, Jr. 8:16 - Carson Kelly is being carried by a hot start 10:50 - 10 Great Days and a Season of Mediocrity: The J.D. Martinez Story 15:45 - Fading Jazz Chisholm 18:56 - What do we make of Omar Narvaez? 20:45 - A few others in the top 20 - Kris Bryant, Brandon Nimmo, Buster Posey, Ketel Marte 21:34 - The 14 hitters whose season-long line is dragged down the most by a bad April 23:20 - Willy Adames escapes Tampa 24:41 - Looking for opportunities to buy low on Ryan Mountcastle 27:10 - Platoon catcher gold in Elias Diaz 29:03 - Paul Goldschmidt is still a star 31:34 - Jorge Polanco breaks out again 33:32 - A big season from Kyle Schwarber is even better than his season-long line suggests 33:50 - Chad waited too long to admit that Avisail Garcia is good 34:48 - Is it time to bail on Rowdy Tellez? 36:55 - Is it time to buy back in on Gavin Lux? 38:58 - Ian Happ turns his season around 41:35 - A few others who you won't want to ignore - Josh Bell, Francisco Lindor, Lourdes Gurriel, Jr., Marcus SemienGet PL+ and join our community: https://pitcherlist.com/plus Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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Sep 13, 2021 • 1h 6min

K ꓘ 31: End of Season Strategy in Keeper Leagues

Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (@ChadYoung) cover how to approach the final days of your keeper leagues, regardless of where you are in the standings. Some interesting names appear later in the show as the guys chat about who lines up well for some favorable pitcher streams down the stretch. Join Pitcher List Plus and get an ad-free website and access to the Pitcher List Discord community, while supporting the podcast. Timestamps: 2:13 - Should fantasy managers be able to add/drop players during a league's playoffs if they are no longer competing for a championship? Pete and Chad discuss. 14:18 - Pete and Chad agree that teams competing for a championship shouldn't be stressing about their keepers, especially fringe keepers 17:21 - Chad explains his approach in keeper leagues where he is out of contention at this point in the season. He uses Frank Schwindel as an example. 25:33 - Teams that are borderline contending have a difficult decision to make - to compete or not to compete? #Shakespeare. Acquiring elite keeper talent makes the decision quite easy! 34:16 - Chad explains why he thinks Marco Gonzalez is going to help teams win a championship down the stretch 38:54 - Pete suggests Jake Odorizzi as an arm to add not because he is a good pitcher but because his schedule is so favorable 41:40 - A pair of Rockies pitchers could actually help? Two of them?! Chad thinks Antonio Senzatela and Jon Gray might just help bring fantasy gold 46:16 - Pete really likes Steven Matz's schedule the rest of the way and he has been hot lately 48:50 - Below 50% rostered in Ottoneu, Chad suggests Vladimir Gutiérrez as one final option to pursue for some down-the-stretch quality innings 51:28 - Ottoneu Question of the Day: How much money does Chad like to have going into the auction if his team is a complete rebuild? Get PL+ and join our community: https://pitcherlist.com/plus Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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Sep 8, 2021 • 58min

K ꓘ 30: Pete's New Approach for Ranking Pitchers

Pete (@PeteBBaseball) has established himself as the pitcher guy for Keep or Kut, and this week he gives us a sneak peek of a new stat he is developing to rank pitchers. Chad (@ChadYoung) talks to him about his process, the results and some interesting names that are popping up as a result of this work. Join Pitcher List Plus and get an ad-free website and access to the Pitcher List Discord community, while supporting the podcast. Timestamps: 0:51 - Introducing Pete's new system 7:50 - Weighing K%, BB% and GB% 12:34 - Discussing the top five: Jacob Degrom, Corbin Burnes, Logan Webb, Jonathan Loaisiga, and Framber Valdez 16:17 - Some surprising names with good results: Alex Cobb, Craig Stammen, Shane McClanahan, Sonny Gray. 22:48 - Some surpring names with bad results: Kyle Hendricks, John Means, Jack Flaherty, Lucas Giolito, and Chris Flexen 27:37 - Middling numbers from Lance Lynn 31:14 - Ranger Suarez in inside the top 10 36:45 - Some flaws with the stat and Pete's next steps 38:33 - A brief look at Ian Anderson 39:45 - Ottoneu Question of the Day: Pete's got a new Ottoneu team and asks how Chad thinks about prospects in Ottoneu vs. dynasty, including conversation about Jarren Duran, Trevor Larnach, Joe Ryan and more.Get PL+ and join our community: https://pitcherlist.com/plus Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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Aug 23, 2021 • 53min

K ꓘ 29: Buy Lows

Even when Chad (@ChadYoung) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball) can't get together, they find a way to bring you great keeper league insights. This week, they each go through three potential buy-low keeper candidates. With the off-season around the corner, these six players could jumpstart your build for 2022. Join Pitcher List Plus and get an ad-free website and access to the Pitcher List Discord community, while supporting the podcast. Timestamps 1:50 - Tanner Houck 14:57 - Marco Gonzales 24:41 - Alex Verdugo 32:42 - Lourdes Gurriel, Jr. 38:34 - Alex Kirilloff 44:36 - Jeff McNeilGet PL+ and join our community: https://pitcherlist.com/plus Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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Aug 17, 2021 • 1h 7min

K ꓘ 28: Listener Questions

Chad (@chadyoung) & Pete (@PeteBBaseball) took to Twitter, Slack, and the PL Discord to get questions from the listeners! We now have over 2,500 downloads! Join Pitcher List Plus and get an ad-free website and access to the Pitcher List Discord community, while supporting the podcast. Timestamps 3:25 - Chad gets the part started by asking Pete a question about his $15 Mookie Betts 12:17 - Jorge Soler. Jeff McNeil. Ian Happ. What do they have in common? What about Michael Conforto and Christian Yelich? 24:20 - Pete thinks you should buy Anthony Santander and Kenta Maeda 26:46 - What prospects that could make an impact in 2021 are left to add? 36:37 - Jorge Polanco and his great second half. Is he keepable? 41:47 - How do you know if you are being too complacent when thinking about trades? Going all in on winning vs selling out. 55:57 - Ottoneu Question of the Day - what is the most important specific skill for a pitcher to have in Ottoneu points settings? Get PL+ and join our community: https://pitcherlist.com/plus Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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