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Street Signals

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Jan 18, 2024 • 33min

Ballots and Borders: Geopolitics In Focus

Volatility has been subdued to start the year, but geopolitical risks are on the rise. We have yet to see the turmoil and unrest in the news have any strong effects on markets, yet it has the feel of calm before a potential storm. Elections in Taiwan, recurrence of violence in the Middle East and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine all carry implications for great power competition as well as economies and asset markets. The US election season, kicking off earlier this week in Iowa, should do the same. Mark Rosenberg, co-founder and CEO of GeoQuant, is back with us to make sense of it all.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Jan 11, 2024 • 21min

Markets Get Back To Work - What's Changed?

Street Signals returns from a brief winter hibernation, with the first two weeks of the New Year offering plenty of food for thought. Dan Gerard is back with us to discuss how the consensus views formed at the end of 2023 are already being challenged and we focus on what stands out as most relevant from our own research and indicators to help contribute to this discussion. So far, the trends of late last year are still intact, but new wrinkles to challenge their continuation are emerging.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Dec 21, 2023 • 20min

The Best Reads of 2023

In this podcast, the hosts discuss their favorite reads of 2023, including books on the changing world order, empires, women's equity, demographic shifts, inequality, and historical fiction. They provide book recommendations ranging from dark comedy to thrilling plots, and conclude the episode with gratitude and information about their web portal and research.
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Dec 14, 2023 • 34min

2024 Roundtable: Like Spinning Plates

Following on the heels of our top trades in equities, rates and FX, this week Street Signals brings a broader discussion of the biggest questions for financial markets in the coming months. Is global growth set to slow dramatically or are expectations now too low? What does that mean for risk markets? Will geopolitics have a greater influence in 2024 than they did this year? Dwyfor Evans, Lee Ferridge and Marija Veitmane join the podcast to talk things through.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Dec 11, 2023 • 24min

Special Edition: 5 Themes and 15 Ideas for 2024

In this special edition, the podcast focuses on trade ideas for 2024. They discuss minimizing regret in investing, potential yield in a business cycle slowdown, and the outperformance of US tech stocks. It also explores challenges in Canada's mortgage market, trade ideas like shorting JGBs and investing in emerging markets, and the performance change of European industrials. Disclaimer: not investment advice.
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Dec 7, 2023 • 24min

How Much Will 2024 Look Like 2023?

2023 has been a most unusual year. Despite significant stress in the US banking system early in the year, an ongoing war in Europe, a new war in the Middle East and gyrations in rate markets, volatility has fallen from last year's highs, back to range lows. This week, we are pleased to welcome our head of Global Markets, Tony Bisegna, to Street Signals to discuss why 2023 seemed more quiet, whether that calm will extend into next year and if the major economies can avoid recession for another year, with outlooks for equities, fixed income and currencies offered along the way.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Nov 30, 2023 • 33min

Central Bank Policy Tones On the Turn - An AI-Based Approach

Despite protests from central banks that the fight against inflation is not yet won, expectations for easing next year are building and being pulled forward. Timing these turns in markets is tough but the moves in rates are coming just as measures of central bank coverage tone, produced by State Street in a partnership with MKT MediaStats, are turning similarly dovish. MediaStats co-founder Gideon Ozik sits down with us to discuss the construction and message from these metrics, as well as how advances in AI are helping to improve the predictive power of large data sets and what the AI revolution means more generally for market analysis.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Nov 16, 2023 • 24min

Why Are FX Markets So Quiet?

Guests Michael Metcalfe and Peter Vincent discuss the calmness in currency markets despite ongoing global uncertainties. They explore topics such as cross-country basis, cash holdings, mortgage structures, Eurozone rates, US economy, US election effects, and fiscal sustainability. The podcast also mentions a break announcement and a web portal for research on macroeconomics and markets.
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Nov 9, 2023 • 14min

The 30,000 Foot View from our Research Conferences

The host discusses the outlook for macro and markets into 2024, including the increasing probability of a US recession and investors' shift to a more cautious approach. It explores the impact of falling inflation on investor behavior, the appeal of safe haven fixed income, and the potential outlook for currencies and equity markets. The chapter also includes a sponsor ad from State Street Bank and Trust Company.
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Nov 2, 2023 • 30min

Stocks Finely Balanced For Year End

Stock market outlook for year end, vulnerable corners of the market, safety and growth opportunities, impact of high interest rates on equities, shifts in asset allocation, outlook for industrials, financials, and technology sectors, bearish outlook on stock market and preference for tech sector

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