The Chuck ToddCast

In a surprising turn, Indiana Republicans challenge Donald Trump's redistricting demands, hinting at his waning influence. Voter dissatisfaction with the economy reveals cracks in Trump’s political coalition. Chuck Todd argues that Trump diverges from traditional conservatism, marking a shift in party dynamics. The Heritage Foundation issues threats that feel increasingly hollow, while Trump's executive order on AI regulation faces legal challenges. Together, these developments suggest a pivotal moment, signaling the potential twilight of the Trump era.

Julie Scelfo, a journalist-turned-advocate and founder of MAMA (Mothers Against Media Addiction), discusses the pressing issue of children’s mental health in the age of unregulated tech. She highlights the alarming impact of social media and calls for accountability from Big Tech, likening it to the fight against Big Tobacco. Scelfo emphasizes the need for community organizing to implement tech safeguards and shares MAMA's strategies, including classroom phone bans and age-appropriate design codes to protect kids.

Bipartisan support is growing to rein in Big Tech, with a pressing need for AI guardrails to protect kids from tech harms. Chuck discusses Trump's missteps during a Pennsylvania rally and highlights surprising Democratic victories in Florida and Georgia. The uncertain fate of ACA subsidies looms large, while prediction markets raise ethical concerns about political gambling. Tune in for insights on how the political landscape is evolving, along with some fun recommendations about movies and college football!

Julie Scelfo, a journalist and founder of Mothers Against Media Addiction, sheds light on the detrimental effects of unregulated tech on youth mental health. She links social media exposure to rising suicide rates and argues for a return to traditional learning without screens in classrooms. Scelfo advocates for mandatory safety checks on AI products and emphasizes the need for data transparency from tech companies. With cultural change and community organizing, she aims to protect children from harmful digital influences and foster healthy offline development.

Reese Gorman, a reporter at NOTUS, and Kate Nocera, managing editor at NOTUS, share insights on Capitol Hill's current chaos. They discuss the challenges of building a nonpartisan newsroom amidst political polarization. Topics include Steve Scalise's ambitions, the lack of Trump fatigue among Republicans, and the Democratic Party's struggles as midterms approach. They emphasize the importance of local stories and cultural shifts in Congress, highlighting how recent events have strained press-member relationships in Washington.

Donald Trump shifts focus to the economy, revealing political vulnerabilities and flawed proposals. His claim about tariffs funding spending faces scrutiny, with Chuck discussing regressive consumption taxes. The political landscape shows a rising trend of Democratic figures prioritizing combat over substantive policy, exemplified by clashes with Trump that boost visibility. Meanwhile, crucial discussions around extending ACA subsidies highlight bipartisan efforts amid political toxicity. Additionally, listener Q&A dives into voter dynamics and political strategies for the upcoming elections.

On today’s ToddCast, Chuck Todd breaks down Donald Trump’s sudden decision to fully engage on the economy—and why his proposals reveal both political vulnerability and economic incoherence. From promising $2.6 trillion in tariff revenue when only a fraction has ever been collected, to floating the idea of replacing income taxes with wildly regressive consumption taxes that would spike prices severalfold, Trump appears more focused on short-term optics than long-term consequences. Chuck also digs into Congress’ scramble to extend ACA subsidies—an issue so politically toxic for Republicans that even Trump may be forced to back the plan—and how the 2026 economic mood will shape the midterms. Plus, he examines the rise of Democratic “fighters” like Jasmine Crockett, the visibility boost for Gavin Newsom and Mark Kelly after their clashes with Trump, and why a politics obsessed with combat over substance leaves both parties drifting away from meaningful policy debates. Then, Chuck sits down with Reese Gorman and Kate Nocera of NOTUS for a deep dive into what it means to build a truly nonpartisan newsroom in today’s hyperpolarized media landscape. Reese and Kate explain how NOTUS approaches journalism without playing to partisan expectations—or to social media algorithms—and why being outside the legacy-media universe gives their reporters a unique advantage. They discuss Washington’s shifting culture, from the decline in local DC reporting to the increasingly strained relationship between the press and Congress, where competition for scoops is fierce, norms have evaporated in Trump’s second term, and newer members often lack any memory of a functional legislature. The conversation then turns to the political tensions shaping Capitol Hill, including Steve Scalise’s quiet maneuvering for the speakership, Trump’s latest approval dip, and the surprising lack of Trump fatigue among GOP lawmakers. Reese and Kate also outline the Democratic Party’s mix of opportunity and dysfunction heading into the midterms: strong messaging on affordability and bullish vibes contrasted with an inability to clear primary fields and a continued failure to operate as a true national party. From the dire mood on the Hill to which unknown members could soon be household names, this episode offers a sharp, insider look at journalism, politics, and power in Washington today. Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment and give his ToddCast Top 5 non-playoff college bowl games that should be played NEXT season.   Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too! Go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order. Got injured in an accident? You could be one click away from a claim worth millions. 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Timeline: (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements) 00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction 01:00 NOTUS has filled a gap left by the Washington Post 03:00 The Washington Post has given up covering DC locally 06:00 Donald Trump finally engaging on the economy 06:30 Trump doesn’t accept the premise that the economy isn’t great 07:30 Trump blames Biden for all negative economic news 08:15 Majority of voters blame Trump for the bad economy 09:30 Trump proposes spending $2.6T in tariff revenue, only collected $250B 10:00 If Trump replaces income tax with tariffs, prices will go up 2-5x 10:45 Replacing income tax with consumption tax is incredibly regressive 12:00 Trump proposes farm bailout and cutting checks to taxpayers 13:00 Trump knows the economy is bad and wants to throw money at problem 13:45 The perception of economy in summer ‘26 will be perception for midterms 15:45 Trump worries short term, willing to push all problems off to his successor 16:30 Congress looking to extend ACA subsidies for ACA by two years 17:15 Healthcare is such a bad issue for GOP they are looking for off-ramp 18:30 Trump will have to endorse ACA subsidy extension for it to pass 19:30 Bill will likely have to pass the senate before the house 20:30 Gavin Newsom & Mark Kelly’s fight with Trump boosted their visibility 23:30 Mark Kelly’s bio has more charisma than he does  26:00 Hegseth threatening Kelly gave Kelly some juice 26:30 Jasmine Crockett announces run for senate, is very savvy candidate 27:15 Crockett’s announcement video is grounded in fight with Trump 28:00 The fastest way to get traction is Democratic politics is to be a fighter 29:00 Being a fighter helps centrists avoid the progressive litmus test* 30:15 Republicans don’t run on policy ideas, they run on “owning the libs” 31:15 If you only run on fighting, you don’t stand for anything 32:30 Major policy debates become more about the fight and lose substance 34:15 There will be “issue” candidates for Democrats, but they likely won’t do well 34:45 Crockett vs Talarico will be “fight vs unite” 35:45 Nancy Mace writes op-ed saying Dems ram through their agenda 36:30 Dems also think Republicans ram through their agenda 37:30 GOP willing to take hard votes to fulfill promises, Dems less so 43:45 Reese Gorman & Kate Nocera of NOTUS join the Chuck ToddCast 45:15 What is NOTUS & how did you end up working there? 47:45 How do you execute being a truly nonpartisan newsroom? 49:15 You can’t balance the truth based on partisan affiliation 52:15 Is NOTUS the only incubator for young journalists in DC? 54:30 How Reese ended up at NOTUS? 57:45 Do you have to play to the algorithms when posting stories? 1:00:15 Being part of the non-legacy media is an advantage 1:02:45 The Washington Post has stopped covering local DC politics 1:04:45 Changes at the Kennedy Center aren’t being covered 1:07:15 Has Trump changed the culture of DC in his second term? 1:09:00 The relationship between the press and congress is more strained 1:11:00 The culture on the hill is very “cliquey” 1:12:00 There’s a lot more competition for scoops on the hill 1:13:00 What’s the mission of your podcast? 1:15:00 How does Steve Scalise continue to maneuver in the Republican party? 1:16:15 Scalise wants the speaker role currently held by Mike Johnson 1:18:00 Trump’s recent approval dip seems different than prior ones 1:19:00 There were still norms in Trump’s first term, there aren’t in 2.0 1:20:30 No sense of Trump fatigue from Republican members of congress 1:21:30 Can you tell which members are too trapped in an information bubble? 1:22:00 Pre-Trump members have a better sense of reality 1:23:45 New members don’t remember a time when congress was functional 1:25:45 How much of a problem could congressional leadership be for Dems? 1:28:15 Democrats could perform well running on affordability message 1:28:45 Democrats feel bullish headed into the midterms 1:30:00 The Dem establishment hasn’t been able to clear primary fields 1:31:45 Democrats aren’t a national party, can’t compete in 1/3rd of the country 1:33:45 The vibes and mood on the hill are terrible right now 1:34:15 If Dems win the TN-07 special, you could see wave of retirements 1:36:45 If you have DSCC questions, do you go to Schumer or Gillibrand? 1:39:00 A joint fundraising committee for Graham Platner is unlikely 1:40:00 Haley Stevens seems like a nervous candidate 1:40:30 Which unknown members could be household names in a year? 1:45:45 Where you can find Reese and Kate’s work 1:49:30 Chuck’s thoughts on interview with NOTUS 1:50:15 Ask Chuck 1:50:30 Will Trump’s policy tank support with latinos & put FL & TX in play? 1:56:00 Will you and Cillizza have a bet on the A&M vs Miami game? 1:58:00 Thoughts on electing the Attorney General independently? 2:04:45 Does Bernie Moreno’s bill ending dual citizenship pass legal muster? 2:07:30 ToddCast Top 5 bowl games that would be better played next season 2:08:30 Multiple schools have bowed out of playing non playoff bowl games 2:13:15 #1 Citrus Bowl - Texas vs. Michigan 2:14:00 #2 Pop Tarts Bowl - BYU vs. Notre Dame 2:14:45 #3 Pinstripe Bowl - Penn State vs. Clemson 2:15:30 #4 Sun Bowl - Arizona vs. Duke 2:16:00 #5 Hawaii Bowl - Cal vs. HawaiiSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jared Bernstein, an economist and former Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers under Biden, discusses the disconnect between strong economic data and public sentiment. He emphasizes the need for a federal jobs guarantee to address AI-related job displacement and critiques the inadequate regulation of social media. Bernstein highlights inefficiencies in U.S. healthcare, proposing reforms like 'Medicare for more.' He also comments on the disproportionate influence of large tech firms on the market, suggesting that political candidates need to get tougher on Big Tech.

Jared Bernstein, an economist and former Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers under Biden, dives into the complexities of the American economy. He discusses the disconnect between economic data and public perception, weighing the impact of inflation versus job creation. Bernstein highlights the challenges posed by AI on the job market and argues for proactive measures like a federal jobs guarantee. He also examines the pressing issues of healthcare costs and the need for fiscal responsibility amid rising interest rates.

The podcast dives into the implications of Trump's transactional foreign policy, revealing a shift away from the post-Cold War order and prompting concerns about U.S. global leadership. It explores the controversial sale of pardons for loyalty, spotlighting the Cuellar case, and critiques Marjorie Taylor Greene's rising influence. Additionally, the discussion touches on historically low congressional approval ratings and potential leadership changes. In the 'ToddCast Time Machine,' Chuck examines pivotal moments in U.S.-China relations and their consequences.