Curiosity Chronicle

Sahil Bloom
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Nov 24, 2021 • 11min

Paradoxes of Life

Welcome to the 2,497 (!!!) new members of the curiosity tribe who have joined us since Friday. Join the 49,371 others who are receiving high-signal, curiosity-inducing content every single week.Today’s newsletter is brought to you by AppSumo!I have found some life changing products on AppSumo. From productivity tools to teleprompter portals, AppSumo is my go-to place for discovering and investing in unique business-building products at a deep discount to their market rate.This Black Friday, AppSumo is rolling out some insane deals on digital products at discounts of up to 90% off. This is their biggest sale of the year and they sell out quickly! Click the link below and grow your startup today. Trust me, you won’t want to miss this.Today at a Glance:A paradox is defined as a seemingly absurd or self-contradictory statement or proposition that when investigated or explained may prove to be well founded or true.Life is full of paradoxes. Once you become aware of them, you will find yourself empowered to use them to your advantage.Paradoxes of LifeParadox: a seemingly absurd or self-contradictory statement or proposition that when investigated or explained may prove to be well founded or true.From a young age, we are pressured to view the world as linear and logical—when in reality it is anything but. Many of life’s most important truths appear contradictory or convoluted on the surface.Look around long enough and you’ll realize the ultimate truth:Life is full of paradoxes.They are everywhere around you. They have the potential to confuse…or empower.Once you become aware of these paradoxes—once you truly internalize them—you will find yourself empowered to use them to your advantage.To get you started on this journey, here are 20+ powerful paradoxes of life…The Persuasion ParadoxHave you noticed that the most argumentative people rarely persuade anyone of…well…anything?The most persuasive people don’t argue—they observe, listen, and ask questions.Argue less, persuade more.Persuasion is an art that requires a paintbrush, not a sledgehammer.The Effort ParadoxSprezzatura is an Italian word meaning “studied carelessness”—it encapsulates the effortful art of appearing effortless.You have to put in more effort to make something appear effortless.Effortless, elegant performances are often the result of a large volume of effortful, gritty practice.Watch videos of Roger Federer playing tennis in his prime. There is a certain nonchalance to his actions on the court, but this nonchalance was the earned result of endless hours of studied, careful, meticulous practice.Small things become big things. Simple is not simple.The Wisdom Paradox“The more I learn, the more I realize how much I don't know.” — Albert EinsteinThe more you learn, the more you are exposed to the immense unknown.This should be empowering, not frightening. Embrace your own ignorance. Embrace lifelong learning.The Productivity ParadoxParkinson's Law says that work expands to fill the time available for its completion.Work longer, get less done.When you establish fixed hours to your work, you find unproductive ways to fill it.Modern work culture is a remnant of the Industrial Age. It encourages long periods of steady, monotonous work unsuited for the Information Age.To do truly great, creative work, you have to be a lion. Sprint when inspired. Rest. Repeat.The Money ParadoxYou have to lose money in order to make money.Every successful investor & builder has stories of the invaluable lessons learned from a terrible loss in their career. Sometimes you have to pay to learn.Put skin in the game. Scared money don't make money!The Growth ParadoxGrowth takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you ever would have thought.Growth happens gradually, then suddenly.When you realize this, you start to do things differently—apply effort appropriately, stay the course, and let compounding work its magic.The Failure ParadoxYou have to fail more to succeed more.Our greatest moments of growth often stem directly from our greatest failures.Don’t fear failure, just learn to fail smart and fast.After all, getting punched in the face—a few times, but not too many—builds a strong jaw.The Say No ParadoxTake on less, accomplish more.Success doesn’t come from taking on everything that comes your way. It comes from focus—deep focus on the tasks that really matter.Say yes to what matters, say no to what doesn’t. Protect your time as a gift to be cherished.The Speed ParadoxYou have to slow down to speed up.Slowing down gives you the time to be deliberate with your actions. You can focus, gather energy, and deploy your resources more efficiently.It allows you to focus on leverage and ROI, not effort.Move slow to move fast.The Death ParadoxYou must know your death in order to truly live your life.Memento Mori is a Stoic reminder of the certainty and inescapability of death. It is not intended to be morbid; rather, to clarify, illuminate, and inspire.Death is inevitable. Live while you're alive.The Fear ParadoxThe thing we fear the most is often the thing we need the most.Fears—when avoided—become limiters on our growth and life.Make a habit of getting closer to your fears.Then take the leap (metaphorically!)—you may just find growth on the other side.The News ParadoxThe more news you consume, the less well-informed you are.Taleb calls it the noise bottleneck: As you consume more data, the noise to signal ratio increases, so you end up knowing less about what is actually going on.Want to know more about the world? Turn off the news.The Icarus ParadoxIt is a classic tale of Greek mythology.Icarus crafted wings out of feathers and beeswax to escape an island. He began to fly—the wings working wonders. But he quickly became blinded by his own engineering prowess and flew too close to the sun, which caused the beeswax to melt and sent him plummeting to his death.What makes you successful can lead to your downfall.An incumbent achieves success with one thing, but overconfidence blinds them to coming disruption. Beware!The Shrinking ParadoxIn order to grow, sometimes you need to shrink.Growth is never linear. Shedding deadweight may feel like a step back, but it is a necessity for long-term growth.One step back, two steps forward is a recipe for consistent, long-term success.The Looking ParadoxYou may have to stop looking in order to find what you are looking for.Have you noticed that when you are looking for something, you rarely find it?Stop looking—what you’re looking for may just find you.Applies to love, business, investing, or life...The Hamlet Paradox"I must be cruel only to be kind." — HamletIn Hamlet, the protagonist is forced to take a seemingly cruel action in order to prevent a much larger harm.Life is s...
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Nov 17, 2021 • 9min

The Cantillon Effect: How the Rich Get Richer

Welcome to the 1,236 new members of the curiosity tribe who have joined us since Friday. Join the 46,076 others who are receiving high-signal, curiosity-inducing content every single week.Today’s newsletter is brought to you by Eight Sleep!The Eight Sleep Pod Pro has legitimately changed my life.Sleep is the secret of the world’s top performers. Thousands of the world’s greatest CEOs, investors, and operators—and this humble newsletter writer—rely on the Eight Sleep Pod Pro to power their performance. It has patented technology to help you sleep at the perfect temperature all night, which research has shown can make you fall asleep faster and sleep deeper—so you can wake up energized to attack the day.Special Offer: For a limited time, Curiosity Chronicle subscribers can use the special link below to get $250 off on their first Eight Sleep purchase!Today at a Glance:The Cantillon Effect is an economic concept on the distributional consequences of new money creation created by Irish-French economist and philosopher Richard Cantillon in a 1755 paper.In simple terms, the Cantillon Effect says that the flow path of new money matters—those closest to the source and entry point of the new money benefit first and most handsomely.The robust monetary and fiscal response to COVID-19—and a surging wealth inequality problem—has re-ignited the discussion over the distributional consequences of the crisis response and thrown the Cantillon Effect back into the mainstream lexicon.The Cantillon Effect: How the Rich Get RicherThe Cantillon Effect is the most important economic concept you’ve likely never heard of. In today’s newsletter, I’d like to fix that.Here’s a simple breakdown of the Cantillon Effect—what it is, how it works, and why you should care.BackgroundRichard Cantillon was an Irish-French economist and philosopher born in the 1680s.He is something of a mystery man—not much is known about his life. Early in his career, he achieved material success as a banker and merchant—success that historians have attributed to the formidable political and business connections Cantillon made through his family and employer.This fact would prove relevant to his work later in life. At a young age, he had learned of the impact and importance of proximity to power...In the early 1700s, Cantillon is believed to have accumulated significant wealth through speculation in a variety of ventures, including John Law’s infamous Mississippi Company (which would collapse spectacularly, see this thread for more).Around 1730, influenced by his experience to date, Cantillon wrote a paper—Essai Sur La Nature Du Commerce En Général (translation: Essay on the Nature of Commerce in General)—today considered a foundational work in the study of the political economy. It is a broad, overarching paper with significant contributions to the study of economics.While it achieved wide circulation in manuscript form, it was not published until 1755, well after his death in a house fire in 1734.The Cantillon EffectWhile recognized for a variety of insights and contributions, Essai is most well known for its discussion of the distributional consequences of new money creation and the concept of relative inflation.In the paper, Cantillon posited that the early recipients of new money entering an economy will benefit more significantly than those it trickles down to.In other words, the "flow path" of the new money through a system matters.In 18th century terms, Cantillon effectively observed that those closest to the king—the source of money and power of the era—benefitted first when new money entered the economy. In the 18th century, proximity to money and power really mattered.Broadly speaking, Cantillon noted that new money creates disproportionate effects based on where it enters the system.The Cantillon Effect was born...A Simple IllustrationTo bring this theory to life, let's walk through a (very) simple story to illustrate Cantillon's central point.Imagine you live in a tiny, enclosed island society.One morning, you wake up to find a small package on your doorstep. You open it up and gasp—it has $1 million in it.Great! But now what?No one else knows you received this package. You now secretly have $1 million new dollars. Naturally, you start spending it (and maybe investing it) quickly. Prices are still low, because no one knows these new dollars exist yet!Your standard of living improves rapidly. You buy yourself the nicest house, the most beautiful clothes, and a bunch of land.But now, the other island inhabitants start to see and feel this new money flowing through the system. Prices begin to rise as demand surges but supply has yet to "catch up" to the new consumption. It takes time for supply to ramp.So while the money improved your life, it didn’t benefit others in the same way:The sellers of the goods—who received your cash—now face rising prices when they consume.The workers who produced the goods—who earned wages from the sellers—similarly face rising prices (despite stagnant wages).You benefitted materially from the new money, but they didn’t. There were distributional effects—the flow path of this new money mattered!This is—quite obviously—an ultra-simplified example, but it gets at the essence of the problem that Cantillon highlighted almost 300 years ago: Proximity to the source of new money is relevant—the entry point and flow path have distributional consequences.But why should you care about all of this today?The Cantillon Effect in ActionWell, with the "money printing" activity of central banks globally and an ever expanding wealth inequality problem (see the chart below), mentions of the Cantillon Effect have accelerated.It's a useful framework through which to evaluate the monetary and fiscal response to COVID (and any future inevitable crises).The simplistic view of what I see today:The Federal Reserve's escalating asset purchases have an injection point at the top.Direct stimulus checks—on the other hand—have an injection point at the bottom. The former was much larger $$$ than the latter—$4.5 trillion vs. $400 billion.Look at this chart of the Fed’s balance sheet over time, where you can see the spike since COVID halted our economy in March 2020.The asset purchases—and rock-bottom interest rates, among other things—generally benefit asset owners (the wealthy). Those with a significant portion of their net worth in equities, real estate, or similar assets have benefitted tremendously over the last 18 months.Wage earners—who received some degree of support via direct stimulus but did not benefit in the same way from the asset appreciation—are seemingly getting the short end of the stick.Inflation—particularly across food and energy prices—will have a disproportionate impact on their standard of living.Note: To be sure, the drivers of this inflation that we are currently experiencing are complex and multifaceted—see my pieces on the supply chain disarray and energy crisis—but surging demand fr...
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Nov 10, 2021 • 18min

The Framework Handbook

Welcome to the 1,050 new members of the curiosity tribe who have joined us since Friday. Join the 44,581 others who are receiving high-signal, curiosity-inducing content every single week.Today’s newsletter is brought to you by Pesto!Problem: You’re a fast-growing startup, but you’re struggling to hire great engineers right now.Solution: Pesto—a platform that matches the millions of talented developers in India with the one million unfilled engineering roles in the West. Pesto’s developers are trained—on both hard and soft skills—through a rigorous bootcamp. The result? Access to a growing pool of highly-qualified, vetted engineering talent, right at your fingertips.Pesto has successfully placed developers at companies like Synthesis School, Rippling, OnDeck, Alloy Automation, and more.To talk to Pesto about filling those engineering roles that have been plaguing your investor updates for months, click the link below and tell them Sahil sent you!Today at a Glance:Frameworks are compasses—they provide clarity by creating structure through which to evaluate situations, deploy shortcuts, and execute sound decisions.When used appropriately, they can meaningfully improve the quality of your decision-making (and reduce stress along the way).The Framework Handbook below provides 20 useful frameworks and tips on when to put them to use.The Framework HandbookEvery single day, you are faced with thousands of questions, challenges, and decisions.These decisions can range from small and simple (what color shirt to wear) to large and complex (whether to quit your job). While an individual decision may not feel overwhelming, when taken in total, our lives can begin to feel like we are navigating a small boat on the open ocean—during a hurricane.Fortunately, there are frameworks that can help us navigate these treacherous waters—our compasses, if you will.Frameworks provide clarity by creating structure through which to evaluate situations, deploy shortcuts, and execute sound decisions. When used appropriately, they can meaningfully improve the quality of your decision-making (and reduce stress along the way).Here are 20 useful frameworks & when to use them:The Feynman TechniqueThe Feynman Technique—developed by famed American theoretical physicist Richard Feynman—is a proven method for learning anything.Here’s how it works:Identify a topic: What is the topic you want to learn more about? Identify the topic and write down everything you know about it. Read and research the topic and write down all of your new learnings (and the sources of each). This first step sets the stage for what is to come.Try to explain it to a 5-year-old: Attempt to explain the topic to a child. Once again, write down everything you know about your topic, but this time, pretend you are explaining it to a child. Use simple language and terms. Focus on brevity.Study to fill in knowledge gaps: Reflect on your performance in Step 2. How well were you able to explain the topic to a child? Where did you get frustrated? Where did you resort to jargon or get stuck? These are the gaps in your understanding. Read and study to fill them.Organize, convey, and review: Organize your elegant, simple language into a compelling story or narrative. Convey it to others. Test-and-learn. Iterate and refine your story or narrative accordingly. Review (and respect) your new, deeper understanding of the topic.True genius is the ability to simplify, not complicate. Simple is beautiful.Use It When: You need to learn anything new.Directional Arrow of Progress"Study the undeniable arrows of progress." — Josh WolfeThe future is extremely difficult to predict—but there are clues. Look at the trend line of progress and where it's pointing—directionally, not precisely. Invest (or build) accordingly.Famed investor Josh Wolfe—one of the smartest, kindest people I have ever met—developed this framework to accurately predict where the future of technology is heading. If it’s good enough for Josh, it’s good enough for all of us.Use It When: You are deciding what to invest or build on a longer time horizon.The Eisenhower Decision MatrixPresident Dwight Eisenhower was an American military officer and 34th President of the United States. He was known for his prolific productivity.His secret? He always differentiated between the urgent and the important.An "urgent" task is one that requires immediate, focused attention to complete. An "important" task is one that promotes or furthers your long-term values, goals, or principles. Remember: Tasks can be both urgent and important.Place all of your tasks on a 2x2 matrix of urgency and importance:Important & UrgentImportant & Not UrgentNot Important & UrgentNot Important & Not UrgentPrioritize, delegate, or delete accordingly.Use It When: You are prioritizing your to-do list.The Regret Minimization FrameworkA framework developed by Jeff Bezos as part of his decision to leave a lucrative hedge fund job at D.E. Shaw to pursue founding Amazon.The goal is to minimize the number of regrets in life.When faced with a difficult decision:Project yourself into the futureLook back on the decisionAsk "Will I regret not doing this?"Take action accordinglyUse It When: You are making your next big, bold decision.The Kat Cole Pygmalion EffectKat Cole is a prolific operator and trusted advisor of some of the world’s highest performing entrepreneurs.She has noticed time and again that high expectations lead to high performance (and vice versa)—a phenomenon called the Pygmalion Effect. If you consistently see people as their highest potential, they will achieve more.When you're occasionally let down, consider it a tax you pay for all the benefit from those you believed in.Use It When: You are managing a new team.The Taleb "Look the Part" Framework“Say you had the choice between two surgeons of similar rank in the same department in some hospital. The first is highly refined in appearance…The second one looks like a butcher…Now if I had to pick, I would overcome my suckerproneness and take the butcher any minute…Why? Simply the one who doesn’t look the part, conditional of having made a (sort of) successful career in his profession, had to have much to overcome in terms of perception.” — Nassim Nicholas TalebIf forced to choose between two options of seemingly equal merit, choose the one that doesn’t look the part.The one who doesn’t look the part has had to overcome much more to achieve its status than the one who fit in perfectly.Use It When: You are deciding who to select (for your team, surgery, or anything else).Decentralized Friend GroupsThere are two types of friend groups:Centralized Friend Groups: one cluster of friends with shared backgrounds and beliefs.Decentralized Friend Groups: small clusters of friends unconnected to each other.When in doubt, opt for decentralized friend groups. It will ...
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Nov 3, 2021 • 11min

Your Zone of Genius

Welcome to the 590 new members of the curiosity tribe who have joined us since Friday. Join the 42,681 others who are receiving high-signal, curiosity-inducing content every single week.Today’s newsletter is brought to you by Eight Sleep!Trust me…you can’t find and operate in your Zone of Genius without proper sleep. Thousands of the world’s greatest CEOs, investors, and operators—and this humble newsletter writer—rely on the Eight Sleep Pod Pro to power their performance. It has patented technology to help you sleep at the perfect temperature all night, which research has shown can make you fall asleep faster and sleep deeper—so you can wake up energized to attack the day. I love my Eight Sleep Pod Pro and know you will too.Special Offer: For a limited time, Curiosity Chronicle subscribers can use the special link below to get $150 off on their first Eight Sleep purchase!Today at a Glance:Your Zone of Genius is where your interests, passions and skills align. Operating in it means you stop playing their games and start playing yours. It means you start playing games you are uniquely well-suited to win.Finding and operating in your Zone of Genius is a direct path to a more fulfilling, productive, and successful career.My simple framework is four steps: (1) Experiment & Collect, (2) Build Your Matrix, (3) Identify Your Zones, and (4) Execute.Your Zone of Genius“Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.” — UnknownA few weeks ago, I shared a thread—How to Win (without talent or luck)—that earned a lot of attention.One of the most popular insights in the piece was the idea of operating in your Zone of Genius.But I got a lot of questions about how to practically achieve that, so I decided to dive in deeper on the topic.I first came across the concept of the Zone of Genius in an interview of Naval Ravikant, though have since been informed that the origin of the idea is Gay Hendricks and his book, The Genius Zone (which is now on my reading list!).My perspectives and framework—which are shared in this newsletter—are the result of my own personal 10+ year struggle with finding and operating in my Zone of Genius. My hope is that this piece helps you find and operate in yours.BackgroundWhat is a Zone of Genius?Your Zone of Genius is roughly defined as where your interests, passions and skills align—it is your place of harmony. Operating in it means you stop playing their games and start playing yours. It means you start playing games you are uniquely well-suited to win.Imagine Serena Williams playing on a grand stage in the finals at Wimbledon. She knows exactly what match she wants to play. She doesn’t want to play her opponent’s game—she wants to play her game. She wants to play the game that she is uniquely well-suited to win—the one that plays into her strengths and away from her weaknesses. She wants to operate within her Zone of Genius.But let's get one thing straight: This concept isn’t just for the most elite among us (like Serena!). Everyone has a Zone of Genius!"Genius" here is a relative term, not an absolute. It's not about being top 1% at some craft—it's about the unique space where your relative strengths are accentuated (and relative weaknesses masked).Furthermore, everyone’s Zone of Genius is different and completely unique to them as an individual. The goal of a founder, startup, or organization, therefore, is to build a team with complementary—not conflicting—Zones of Genius. This is where 1+1=3!Sounds great—but how do you identify your Zone of Genius and operate more frequently in it?My simple framework is effectively 4 steps:Experiment & CollectBuild Your MatrixIdentify Your ZonesExecuteLet's walk through each step...Experiment & CollectThe notion that you should know what you want to do with your life by the time you graduate college is one of the greatest lies you've been told by the world.You wouldn’t buy a car without a test drive, so why buy a career or life without one?You have to experiment and collect data in order to make informed decisions.Importantly, you should experiment wildly. Try different things. Test out different working styles. This doesn't mean skipping from job to job—you can experiment on nights, on weekends, etc.One of the best ways to experiment and data collect is simply talking to as many different people as possible. Ask them about their work and path. Learn from the experiences of others. It’s an invaluable way to de-risk your own decision-making.Additionally, the data collection should be both internal—your own perspectives—and external—the perspectives of others.To collect data from those around you, ask about their experiences working with you:What am I great at?What am I bad at?When do you perceive me as being in the flow?When do you perceive me as being forced?The goal from the experimentation and data collection is to build a wide base of information from which you can assess your own competencies and passions.Experimentation and data collection is not a fixed, static process—it is dynamic and iterative. You should never really finish experimenting and collecting.Remember: As you grow and change, your Zone of Genius may well do the same.Build Your MatrixThe next step is to take all of the data collected from your experiments and build a skill map.What is a skill map?I like to imagine it as a sheet listing every possible skill and capability. For every single one, there is a spectrum from 0 (minimum competency) to 1 (maximum competency).You can theoretically place yourself somewhere on that spectrum for each. This is your skill map—it tells you your competency level across a range of skills.But in my view, competency is just one critical plane—passion is the other critical plane. So to visualize this, I like to think of it as a matrix:With this matrix as a guide, you can place each skill in one of the four quadrants.High Competency, High PassionHigh Competency, Low PassionLow Competency, High PassionLow Competency, Low PassionIf you’re new to this, I would recommend literally writing the various skills in little bubbles on the matrix—it’s a productive exercise, and one that I have done several times over the last few years.The matrix—both your current version and the progression over time—becomes your powerful visual tool to bring this entire concept to life.Identify Your ZonesWith the matrix in hand, you can start to identify your various zones, which were popularized as a concept by Gay Hendricks in his aforementioned book.The 4 key zones to identify on your matrix:Zone of Incompetence: you are bad at these things; outsource to others who are good at them.Zone of Neutrality: you are ok at these things; outsource to others who are as good or better at them.Zone of Excellence: you are excellent at these things, but you don’t love them. This is the danger zone. You will be asked—and tempted—to wor...
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Oct 20, 2021 • 10min

How to Win (without talent or luck)

Welcome to the 2,038 new members (!!!) of the curiosity tribe who have joined us since Friday. Join the 40,307 others who are receiving high-signal, curiosity-inducing content every single week.Today’s newsletter is brought to you by Eight Sleep!Winning starts with your sleep. Thousands of the world’s greatest CEOs, investors, and operators—and this humble newsletter writer—rely on the Eight Sleep Pod Pro to power their performance. It has patented technology to help you sleep at the perfect temperature all night, which research has shown can make you fall asleep faster and sleep deeper—so you can wake up energized to win the day. I love my Eight Sleep Pod Pro and know you will too.Special Offer: For a limited time, Curiosity Chronicle subscribers can use the special link below to get $150 off on their first Eight Sleep purchase!How to Win (without talent or luck)We all want to win.Our definitions of “winning” vary—it may mean happiness and fulfillment to some, money and fame to others—but in some way, shape, or form, we all want to win.The problem? We’ve been told that we can’t win without incredible talent (or sensational luck).This is wrong.Here’s How to Win (without talent or luck): 20+ principles for your career, relationships, and life…Operate in Your Zone of GeniusYour Zone of Genius is where your interests, passions and skills align.Operating in your Zone of Genius means playing games you are uniquely well-suited to win.Once you identify it, you can stop playing *their* games and start playing *yours*.Adopt a Positive Sum MentalityWant to get ahead in life? Start genuinely rooting for others to succeed.When one of us wins, we all win—winning spreads. If you adopt that mentality, you’ll become a magnet for the highest quality people.Speak UpClosed mouths don’t get fed. A little push goes a long way.Don't sit back and wait for good things to happen. If you want something—and you’ve put in the work for it—speak up and ask for it.Worst Case: you’re told no and nothing has changed.Best Case: it’s yours.Play Long-Term GamesLife is the ultimate long game.Those with low time preference play it more effectively—they happily delay gratification to allow compounding to work its magic. In a world of people seeking instant gratification, this is a meaningful edge.Have a High Tolerance for FailureWe fear failure, so most of us play it safe to avoid it. But our greatest moments of growth often stem directly from our greatest failures.Don't accept failure, but don't fear it either.You will fail. Embrace it. Fail smart and fast.Follow Your CuriosityHumans are born with astonishing curiosity. But somewhere along the way, we're told to stop asking questions.Push back.Learn to follow your curiosity—trust it. For the curious mind, anything is possible. Fortune favors the curious.Adopt a Process OrientationPrioritize process, not outcomes.When you prioritize process, you become flexible in where you are headed—you focus on the inputs and stop worrying about the outputs.Just keep laying one brick at a time—forward progress is all that matters.Prioritize PeopleEverything in life comes down to people and relationships.Networks compound as well as any financial investment. Build an army of mentors, friends, and evangelists that is deep and wide. Cultivate deep relationships, but also embrace the power of weak ties.Work Like a LionModern work culture is a remnant of the Industrial Age. It encourages long periods of steady, monotonous work unsuited for the Information Age.If your goal is to do inspired, creative work, you have to work as a lion works.Sprint when inspired. Rest. Repeat.Become AntifragileIn Greek mythology, the Hydra is a creature that has multiple heads. When one head is cut off, two grow back in its place.Life is random and chaotic. Don't be broken by the chaos—rather, adopt a mentality and build structure and systems such that you will benefit from it.Change Your MindWillingness to change one's mind is a rarity in today's society.It's great to have a strong view, but always open your mind to counterarguments. Stubborn objection to alternative perspectives stalls progress. Strive for strong opinions, weakly held.Never Get Too Big to Do the SmallThe leaders of the New Zealand All Blacks rugby team famously stay late to “sweep the shed” after a match.Why? Because small things become big things.Whether you're working in the mailroom or the corner office, never get too big to do the small things well.Learn StorytellingStorytelling is a foundational skill—but it's one we don’t learn in the traditional education system.It's no coincidence that the highest performers are the strongest storytellers.High-leverage storytelling is a supercharger for all human endeavors.Develop a Bias for MotionA body in motion tends to stay in motion—a body at rest tends to stay at rest.When in doubt, just start moving.Become Relentlessly ConsistentMany people are able to show up once or twice and produce wild, disorganized bursts of energy—few are able to show up day in, day out and produce consistent, steady flows of energy.The former may seem flashy, but the latter is relentless. Take pride in punching the clock—in showing up—every single day.It's hard to bet against the person who just keeps showing up.Simplify Where Others Complicate“The definition of genius is taking the complex and making it simple." — EinsteinComplexity and jargon are often used to mask a lack of deep understanding. Learn with a depth such that you can convey the complex in simple, digestible ways.Find beauty in simplicity.Be Comfortable with DiscomfortWe are conditioned to avoid discomfort, so most of us do.The problem? Discomfort is a precursor to growth—it is an absolute necessity.Steel your mind and body—accept and embrace discomfort. Those that do have the ultimate competitive edge.Have Strong Plans, Loosely HeldIt's important to have a plan. But as Mike Tyson famously said, "Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth."Plans have to be dynamic—and punch-proof! You'll only go as far as your ability to absorb, gather, and pivot on the fly.Pay It ForwardNo matter how far you go, realize that you didn’t make it on your own.Pay it forward.Be a mentor. Be a champion for others. Their growth should become a source of tremendous joy and pride.Become a PolymathA polymath is a person with wide-ranging, multi-disciplinary knowledge.Lifelong learners tend to be polymaths—their curiosity naturally leads to knowledge accumulation in a variety of disciplines. Learn both horizontally and vertically.Give More Than You ReceiveFocus on what you can do for others, not what they can do for you.Focus first on the amount of value you create—not the amount that you capture. This mentality will lead to more success and growth, but also to more fulfillment and...
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Oct 13, 2021 • 11min

High-Leverage Storytelling

Welcome to the 312 new members of the curiosity tribe who have joined us since Friday. Join the 37,845 others who are receiving high-signal, curiosity-inducing content every single week.Today’s newsletter is brought to you by Tegus!When I started to dive in on Disney, Tegus was my first destination—a cheat code for my research and learning process. Tegus is the leading platform for primary research—a searchable database of thousands of instantly-available, investor-led interviews with experts on a wide range of industries, companies, and topics. It’s fast and cost-effective, enabling you to do great primary research without breaking the bank.Special Offer: Tegus is offering a free 2-week trial to all Curiosity Chronicle subscribers—sign up below to level up your investment research game today!Today at a Glance:Storytelling is a foundational skill for supercharging all human endeavors.Disney was arguably the first company to prove that storytelling can create a durable competitive advantage that builds pricing power and a legitimate long-term business moat.The key principles of high-leverage storytelling: (1) Suspended Reality, (2) Multisensory Experience, (3) Details Matter, and (4) Make It Shareable.High-Leverage StorytellingStorytelling is a foundational skill.Humans are storytelling animals—our species developed around fires, telling tales of successes, failures, and fantasies, of hopes and dreams. It is woven into our DNA.If we study the lives of the greatest humans, we quickly find that the vast majority were exceptionally strong storytellers. This is no coincidence—effective, high-leverage storytelling is a supercharger for all human endeavors.The problem? We don’t study or teach storytelling in the same way we do other foundational skills.Therein lies an opportunity, however—with few understanding the principles of storytelling, those who do are likely to capture tremendous career and personal upside.In finance terms, it’s (basically) free alpha…So in today’s piece, I’d like to talk about the principles of high-leverage storytelling, brought to life by a real world example of these principles in action…Disney World.Disney WorldThe Walt Disney World Resort—Disney World for short—opened on October 1, 1971. It was the second major theme park under the Disney umbrella, following Disneyland, which was opened in Anaheim, California in 1955.Disney World celebrated its 50th anniversary on October 1, marking a major milestone on a historic run for the company, which now operates theme parks around the world.Importantly, Disney was arguably the first company to prove that storytelling can create a durable competitive advantage that builds pricing power and a legitimate long-term business moat.Storytelling is ingrained into the DNA of the company—its founder, Walt Disney, was history’s most obsessive storyteller.So it is no surprise that storytelling is a superpower that's on full display at Disney World. The park—which covers 43 square miles (or 2x the size of Manhattan!) and has 77,000+ employees—can teach us valuable principles for enhancing our own storytelling. This piece deconstructs the principles of high-leverage storytelling that make Disney World so magical (and that you can start using today):Principle 1: Suspended RealityWalt Disney was famous for his focus on suspending reality for his audiences—allowing them to fully experience a new reality he was creating while still being grounded in the safety of their own reality.It is a balancing act—too cold and you never capture the audience, too hot and people retreat to the safety of their reality and disappear.The Imagineers—a brilliant group of creatives, artists, and engineers in charge of designing the theme parks—have executed against this principle brilliantly.It’s on exhibit in several secrets of the park:The Tunnel NetworkAn intricate web of tunnels lies underneath the park, enabling characters to navigate to their respective “worlds” without ever appearing out of world or duplicative.This is critical, because an out of place character breaks the suspended reality for the guests, so Disney created an (expensive) solution.Further, the entire park is designed to create a separation of worlds and maintain the distinction within each domain. You cannot see into other worlds, which creates a legitimate immersion that reinforces the suspended reality.Forced PerspectiveForced perspective is a visual technique which uses optical illusions to make an object appear farther, closer, larger or smaller than it actually is. The technique manipulates our visual perception by using scaled objects and the relationship between them and the viewing point of the customer.Disney uses forced perspective throughout its parks to create optical illusions that make objects appear different than reality.A key example: Cinderella's Castle, which has smaller bricks and windows near the top, making the castle look farther away and taller than it is.Purple Traffic SignsThe departure from reality begins before you ever step into the park.Purple and red traffic signs replace the traditional green and yellow—just another detail that creates a clear separation from the real world.There are no coincidences in high-leverage storytelling. Everything is by design.Era-Appropriate BathroomsDisney takes the suspended reality to another level with its plumbing.Liberty Square—a colonial world—is notably lacking in one thing: bathrooms (other than in the restaurants, where they are legally required to exist).If colonists didn’t have bathrooms yet, neither do the guests of the colonial world!Principle 2: Multisensory ExperienceDisney knows that one of the key strategic advantages of its parks is the ability to create multisensory experiences for its fans. These experiences build relationship depth that is impossible to replicate.It’s also a durable competitive edge, as it’s almost unfathomable to imagine a competitor acquiring 40+ square miles of land to create a similar experience. The physical experience has become a business moat.A few examples of the multisensory experience at Disney World:“Smellitizers”The Imagineers recognized the human sense of smell is closely connected with our formation of memories, so they built a mechanism to reinforce this process:"Smellitizers”—hidden fans that blow scented air through vents in the park.The effect: strong, sticky, delicious memories made.Amplified SoundsSounds are a key part of the Disney World storytelling experience.Horses wear specially-designed horseshoes that make them louder when they walk down Main Street.The Tower of Terror plays a recording of real screams on hidden speakers for guests walking by.The splash sound at Splash Mountain is amplified by a splash machine.Principle 3: Details MatterTo create truly immersive stories, Disney’s Imagineers know that the details really, really matter. They might be difficult to spot—they hide in plain sight. But for the trained eye, they’re observable throughout the park.Here are a few examples:EPCOT RainwaterEPCOT—previously an acronym for Experimental Prototype Community of Tomorrow—is a theme park within Disney World. At its center is a large geodesic sphere called Spaceship Earth....
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Oct 5, 2021 • 10min

China's Energy Crisis

Welcome to the 924 new members of the curiosity tribe who have joined us since Friday. Join the 37,001 others who are receiving high-signal, curiosity-inducing content every single week.Today’s newsletter is brought to you by Tegus!When I started to dive in on the Chinese energy crisis, Tegus was yet again my first destination—a cheat code for my investment research and learning process. Tegus is the leading platform for primary research—a searchable database of thousands of instantly-available, investor-led interviews with experts on a wide range of industries, companies, and topics. It’s fast and cost-effective, enabling you to do great primary research without breaking the bank.Special Offer: Tegus is offering a free 2-week trial to all Curiosity Chronicle subscribers—sign up below to level up your investment research game today!Today at a Glance:China’s energy crisis is best understood through the simple, Econ 101 lens of supply and demand, with a particular focus on the coal market.Demand-side drivers primarily include a booming recovery from COVID-19 lows and a hotter-than-normal year that increased residential power usage. Supply-side drivers include coal shortages, import restrictions, utility price fixing, and CCP emissions targets.Net-net, we have demand up and supply down, leading to widespread shortages, rising costs, and a ripple effect that extends across the globe—the stage is set for what could be a long, cold winter.China’s Energy CrisisIn last week’s newsletter piece—the aptly named Supply Chain Apocalypse—I made brief reference to China’s burgeoning energy crisis as a supply dislocation further compounding our global supply chain woes.In the days since that piece was released, China’s energy crisis went from under-the-radar to front page news—hitting “above the fold” in the Wall Street Journal, Reuters, and Bloomberg, among others, as experts bemoaned its potential to hammer our weakened supply chains and derail the global recovery.I’ve always been fascinated by energy—it is, quite literally, what makes our world work—so yet again, I found myself going down the rabbit hole, exploring the crisis in detail and attempting to distill its key drivers and potential effects.Here’s a simple breakdown of what I learned.Spoiler Alert: This may be China’s Energy Crisis, but in an interconnected global economy, nobody is insulated from this disruption.BackgroundThe growing Chinese energy crisis had (mostly) happened outside the spotlight of the mainstream media.To be sure, among real energy market observers, it had been a key topic for months, alongside European natural gas price spikes, carbon credit markets, and the normal course OPEC debates—but the narrative accelerated meaningfully on the back of other China woes (Evergrande, supply chain disarray, etc.).China is most definitely feeling the pain, but we may be in the early innings (sorry, baseball analogies stick with you!), with the contagion likely poised to spread globally.The ImpactWhat are the visible impacts of China's energy crisis?More than half of China's mainland provinces have been forced to limit electricity usage due to shortages. According to a recent Bloomberg article, the Chinese microblogging site Weibo is filled with stories of people sharing how their daily lives are being impacted by the crunch—no tap water, no cell service, no traffic lights, and even a shortage of candles.In the industrial sector, the largest industrial provinces are facing significant cuts just as they try to dig their way out of the backlog that has been created by COVID restrictions and supply chain kinks.Looking outside of China, we see widespread concerns among politicians and energy market experts over rising coal and natural gas prices (the latter of which deserves its own piece in the future). Policymakers are expressing real angst over the ability of their countries to adequately heat homes as winter months approach.The price chart of European natural gas tells a pretty scary story—much of Europe could be in for a long, cold winter.Suffice to say, the impact of the energy crisis is already quite bad—but it has the potential to get much, much worse.The Drivers of China’s Energy CrisisIn attempting to understand the situation, it's important to understand that the economy is an interconnected web of activity. Nothing happens in a vacuum. This means that an energy crisis in China is not just about China—it has a complex set of causes and effects.In this situation, China's crisis is primarily related to coal. Why? Well, China is very reliant on coal—it has been the driving force of their economic growth. Here are two great visualizations of that reliance.While out of vogue due to its environmental impact, coal does remain a key source of electric power globally.The science is pretty simple (see the diagram below). Coal is burned, the heat released boils water, which produces steam, which drives a turbine, which produces electricity.To dissect the coal-driven crisis (and its ripple effects), we need a simple framework. Let's turn back to our Econ 101 classic: Supply & Demand.Note: In this framework, supply will refer to everything related to energy production, while demand will refer to everything related to energy consumption.Demand-Side DriversFirst, demand.This is relatively straightforward: demand for coal (and the electricity it produces) is very high (and rising). The robust global recovery from COVID—and the resulting impact on goods manufactured in China—is one key driver of the demand surge.Domestic residential coal-powered electricity demand is also up, with a hot summer and lower than normal hydroelectric production. This latter point is worth noting, as it's a supply constraint in one area (hydroelectric) creating a demand surge in another (coal electricity).As the chart below shows, China has never before seen single year growth in thermal power demand of this magnitude. That creates significant strain on the system.Supply-Side DriversNext, supply.This one is more complex, with several distinct—yet interconnected—dislocations. The main supply dislocations that I see here are:Coal ShortagesImport RestrictionsUtility Price FixingCCP Emissions Targets (*impacts both supply and demand*)Let’s cover each one in a bit more detail:Coal ShortagesGlobal coal supply has been seriously constrained due to a variety of factors.Coal mines globally have faced COVID-related shutdowns—with such closures hitting the news in the United States and Colombia, among others. In Colombia, energy giant Glencore walked away from its contra...
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Sep 29, 2021 • 8min

Supply Chain Apocalypse

Welcome to the 1,016 new members (!!!) of the curiosity tribe who have joined us since Friday. Join the 35,181 others who are receiving high-signal, curiosity-inducing content every single week.Today’s newsletter is brought to you by Tegus!When I started to dive in on the global supply chain disruption, Tegus was my first destination—it’s a literal cheat code for my investment research and learning process. Tegus is the leading platform for primary research—a searchable database of thousands of instantly-available, investor-led interviews with experts on a wide range of industries, companies, and topics. It’s fast and cost-effective, enabling you to do great primary research without breaking the bank.Special Offer: Tegus is offering a free 2-week trial to all Curiosity Chronicle subscribers—sign up below to level up your investment research game today!Today at a Glance:The ongoing global supply chain crisis is best viewed through the simple, Econ 101 lens of supply and demand.Demand-side drivers primarily include unprecedented government support and economies roaring back to post-COVID life, both of which have driven up consumer spending on goods.Supply-side drivers include Labor Shortages, Factory Shutdowns, Port Shutdowns, Flight Reductions, Container Ship Challenges, Infrastructure Deficiencies, and the China Energy Crisis.Net-net, we have demand structurally higher and supply structurally lower, leading to delays, shortages, and rising costs across the value chain.Supply Chain ApocalypseBy now, you’ve probably heard that global supply chains are in a state of disarray. You’ve definitely felt it—from attempting to order a new bike or sofa, or just trying to get a McDonald’s milkshake—as delays and shortages have spread across the world.But if you’re like most people, you still have no idea how or why we got into this mess.In an effort to fix that, here's a simple breakdown of what’s causing our ongoing supply chain apocalypse:BackgroundThere's a lot of talk right now about the global supply chain crisis.To give you a sense of the drama here, consider the fact that Bloomberg—a traditionally less sensationalist media outlet—recently published an article subtitled “Inside the Brutal Realities of Supply Chain Hell”.Before we walk through the causes, let’s talk about the effects.What are some of the visible impacts of the crisis?Product Delays: Good luck getting furniture, appliances, cars, or Christmas gifts before 2022.Product Shortages: Many critical technology components (e.g. semiconductor chips) are in short supply.Port Buildups: The Los Angeles/Long Beach port has a historic backup that shows no signs of slowing down.Rampant Freight Costs: The cost of shipping a container from China to LA/Long Beach has risen from under $1,000 pre-COVID to over $20,000 at times in 2021.No exaggerations necessary—the effects are really quite bad.But what is causing all of this?Global supply chains are very complex. We live in a highly-interconnected world. A butterfly flaps its wings in Shenzhen and impacts when I receive my bike in New York.Ok, maybe not quite, but almost...To understand the drivers of the crisis, we need a simple framework. Let's break down what is happening using an Econ 101 classic: Supply and Demand.Note: In this framework, supply will refer to everything related to manufacturing, production, and transportation, while demand will refer to everything related to consumption.Demand-Side DriversFirst, demand.This one is pretty simple—it's through the roof. Unprecedented government support (yes, the money printer did go “brrrr”) and economies roaring back to post-COVID life have created a strong demand environment. Consumers are flush with cash and not afraid to spend. Furthermore, the early (and roving) lockdowns and restrictions have meant more spending on goods vs. services. The above chart of global exports shows the robust, sharp rebound from the COVID dip in 2020. Someone is buying all of these exported goods!Supply-Side DriversNext, supply.This one is more nuanced. The major supply drivers I see here:Labor ShortagesFactory ShutdownsPort ShutdownsFlight ReductionsContainer Ship ChallengesInfrastructure DeficienciesChina Energy CrisisLet’s walk through each one in a bit more detail…Labor ShortagesLabor shortages—at ports, in trucking and logistics, and in the manufacturing sector—are the first major supply disruption. Simply put, without efficient levels of labor in these areas, you have bottlenecks that start to slow the flow of goods through our global pipes.Truck driver shortages are all over the news as of late. The U.K. even began offering thousands of visas to foreign truckers in an attempt to ease the pain.COVID Factory ShutdownsFactories—particularly in Asia—have had a tough time managing and containing outbreaks of COVID, leading to sporadic closures and shutdowns.Nike and other large consumer brands have recently noted on earnings calls that they were forced to cut revenue forecasts and scramble to shift manufacturing due to shutdowns in Vietnam (an expanding manufacturing hub and beneficiary of Trump-era China tariffs).The shutdowns create delays and bottlenecks in production. If an upstream manufacturer is delayed, that impact cascades downstream and has an extensive impact.COVID Port ShutdownsPorts have experienced similar challenges to factories—many have had to shut down or artificially restrict labor to avoid outbreaks.In August, the Ningbo-Zhoushan port in China—one of the busiest container ports in the world—was forced to shut due to a COVID outbreak among the workers.If ports are closed, products can't flow smoothly through the supply chain. Yet another kink in the hose causing the pressure to build.Flight ReductionsIt's news to most people, but about 50% of air cargo flies on passenger flights. It's a significant revenue stream for passenger airlines (and actually what allows passenger airlines to offer tickets at the cost they do).But with travel—especially international travel—reduced by COVID, there was a significant reduction in air cargo capacity.Some got creative, converting passenger planes into full cargo planes, but the net impact was a sharp decrease in air cargo capacity and a correspondingly sharp increase in air cargo prices (3x+ prior rates).Container Ship ChallengesThe Ever Given clogged the Suez Canal in March, causing a backlog whose impact cascaded through global supply chains.There aren't enough large container ships to meet all of this demand and containers are in the wrong places at the wrong times.Infrastructure DeficienciesPhysical infrastructure constraints are limiting the ability to shuffle/shift shipmen...
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Sep 21, 2021 • 9min

The Evergrande Train Wreck

Welcome to the 645 new members of the curiosity tribe who have joined us since Friday. Join the 33,832 others who are receiving high-signal, curiosity-inducing content every single week.Today’s newsletter is brought to you by Demand Curve!The Growth Newsletter by Demand Curve is my new favorite newsletter subscription.They interview hundreds of Y Combinator founders to find out what works. Then they pack each issue with actionable growth insights—so you can apply them to your startup or personal brand. It gives me new ideas every single week. I can’t recommend it more highly. Catch their next issue by signing up today.The Evergrande Train WreckThe calamity surrounding The Evergrande Group—the massively over-indebted Chinese property developer—is the train wreck that the world can’t help but watch.It’s fascinating—and carries a lot of interesting learnings on finance and business—so I wanted to share more about the situation with all of you curious folks out there!Here’s a breakdown on the business, background, and its rapid, very public demise:BackgroundThe Evergrande Group is a Fortune 500 real-estate developer with headquarters in Shenzhen, Guangdong, China. It was founded in 1996 by Hui Ka Yan in Guangzhou and scaled up over time from a small local player into a national behemoth.Today, it's big…very big. As recently as 2020, it had sales of >$100 billion and adjusted core profits of ~$5 billion. The below chart of its financials gives a perspective on its recent and rapid growth.At its core, it's a homebuilder business—developing from the ground up and selling properties to Chinese consumers. Its website states that it has over 1,300 projects across 280+ cities.But recently, it has pushed the boundaries of its homebuilding circle of competence, making investments in electric vehicles (Evergrande New Energy Auto), an internet and media production unit (HengTen Networks), a theme park (Evergrande Fairyland), a soccer team (Guangzhou F.C.) and a mineral water company (Evergrande Spring).The Business ChallengeAs a developer, Evergrande had to contend with a highly cash-consumptive growth profile.Why? Well, building a new development project may take many months (even years) and requires a lot of cash outflows along the way—you have to buy the land, pay for construction costs and permitting, etc. Meanwhile, with the exception of smaller upfront deposits, cash collections from buyers typically don’t come in until much later, after the project is completed.This creates a challenging cash conversion cycle (the time it takes to convert investments in inventory/resources into cash) that almost any property developer has to deal with. So how did Evergrande fund its impressive growth?Debt—it borrowed aggressively, even by real estate property development standards.It became the world's most heavily-indebted developer, with a debt load of over $100 billion and over $300 billion in outstanding liabilities.As is pointed out in the brilliant thread below (tip of the hat!), there is a bit of a moral hazard problem that was created along the way. Evergrande was largely indifferent to pricing on the land and properties it was purchasing and building, knowing that the risk would be passed off to banks or other financial institutions financing the purchases.The debt-fueled growth propelled Evergrande—and its now billionaire founder—into an elite class. It entered the Fortune 500 at #496 in 2016 and reached #122 by the latest ranking. As the company amassed an enormous debt burden, it also paid out handsome dividends, with Hui Ka Yan (its largest shareholder) reportedly receiving over $5 billion in dividends since 2018.The Debt SpiralBut debt is a double-edged sword—and Evergrande was overdue to catch the other edge.As its debt burden grew, so did the interest payments on that debt. This is (mostly) fine, so long as revenues and profits—with which you can make these payments—continue to grow. But if the growth or profitability slows (or government restricts borrowing!), it's...well…not fine.Imagine a metaphorical boa constrictor tightening its grip on its prey. You can try to resist—borrow more to make your payments—but that only fuels the snake. Moreover, the knowledge of your precarious position increases risk and makes that borrowing more challenging and costly.In Evergrande's case, the snake formally tightened its grip in 2020. It had its first major liquidity scare—a potential inability to meet its liabilities—sending a letter to the local provincial government warning that its upcoming payments could cause a crisis with systemic financial sector risks.In a cynical sense, sending a letter to the government warning that your collapse poses “systemic financial risk” is a pretty savvy tactic—hype up your importance to force the government’s hand. If you collapse and they did nothing, you can point to the letter and say “I told you so” and make them look bad. More likely, they act in advance and bail you out to save you.With most de-leveraging spirals, there are two sides:Technical: An inability to make payments.Psychological: The knowledge of instability impacting your market standing.Most financial reporting focuses on the technical, but the psychological is equally (if not more) damning. Reports of Evergrande’s letter sent its stock and bonds tumbling.The short-term crisis was avoided when an investor group waived its right to force a big repayment, but the long-term challenges and issues remained.Dornbusch's Law—a personal favorite that I need to write more about in the future—says that crises take longer to happen than you expect, but then happen faster than you ever could have imagined.This certainly proved true for Evergrande...The CrisisTo meet its ever growing obligations, Evergrande began tapping into "creative" financing strategies. It pushed employees to provide short-term loans to the company—which it called "high interest investments”—in order to ensure they received their year-end bonuses. If that sounds shady, it’s because it is.But the company quickly fell behind, missing payments earlier this month and leaving thousands of employees in a lurch. With over $7.4 billion of bond payments due in 2022, and large interest payments coming up as soon as this week, the crisis appears to be accelerating rapidly. Its stock dropped almost 20% on Monday.To reiterate the earlier point, the psychological side of a financial crisis can be just as impactful as the technical side. It was recently reported that Evergrande was offering to sell properties at a deep discount in order to pay off its vendors and liabilities—indicating a fire sale required to make its payments and sending further panic spiraling into the market.Protests have broken out at Evergrande offices in China—with up to 1.4 million homebuyers left in a devastating limbo, having paid deposits upfront for homes worth ~$200 billion that may never be built. The media narrative cycle of demise ramped up in earnest and further fueled the fire.Importantly—and yet another reason why the world is paying attention—the Evergrande situation does pose a potentially systemic risk to the Chinese economy. With deep ties to financial inst...
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Sep 15, 2021 • 6min

The Best Advice You've Ever Received

Welcome to the 574 new members of the curiosity tribe who have joined us since Friday. Join the 32,682 others who are receiving high-signal, curiosity-inducing content every single week. Share this on Twitter to help grow the tribe!Today’s newsletter is brought to you by Tegus!Tegus has been a complete game changer for my research and learning process. Tegus is the leading platform for primary research—it offers a searchable database of thousands of instantly-available, investor-led interviews with experts on a wide range of industries, companies, and topics. It’s fast and cost-effective, enabling you to do great primary research without breaking the bank.Special Offer: Tegus is offering a free 2-week trial to all Curiosity Chronicle subscribers—sign up below to level up your research game today!The Best Advice You’ve Ever ReceivedA few weeks ago, I asked my audience a simple question:In 24 hours, 2,000+ responses flooded in from all corners of the world (if you haven’t realized it already, the internet is absolutely amazing).The advice ran the spectrum—from serious to lighthearted, from inspiring to morbid.So today, I want to do something a bit different. I want to share the best advice you’ve ever received. Prolific Idea was kind enough to make simple, powerful visualizations for many of them, which are made to be shared and enjoyed.My hope is that you find one piece of advice below that resonates with you and changes your outlook.Without further ado…here’s the best advice you’ve ever received:Strong FoundationsPut good things between you and the earth. Buy a good bed, boots, and tires.Closed MouthsIf you don’t ask, you don’t get. Closed mouths don’t get fed.Thinking vs. DoingIn regards to doing something you don't want to do...Don't think about it, just start doing it. The more you think about it, the more reasons you'll give yourself to not do it.Walking TallWalk like you have 3000 ancestors behind you.Proud DecisionsMake decisions today that you'll be proud of tomorrow.Life Isn’t FairLife gets a lot easier when you just accept that life isn’t always fair.Birth & DeathWhen you were born, you cried, but the whole world smiled at you. Live a life such that when you die, the whole world cries, but you smile.Find Your PeopleThe world is cold and nasty but there are still a lot of good people. You just have to find 1 or 2 and you will start loving the world.NegotiationsIn life, you don’t get what you deserve, you get what you negotiate.The Two Most Important DecisionsThe two most important decisions that you make in life are what you do for a living and who you marry.You get these two correct and you'll have a nice life.Uncomfortable ConversationsYour success in life is largely dependent on how many uncomfortable conversations you’re willing to have.Invest in YourselfInvest in yourself before you invest in others.OptionsThere are always more options than you realize and things are never as bad as they seem.Anything & EverythingYou can have anything you want in life, but you can't have everything.Stupid & ToughIf you’re gonna be stupid, you’d better be tough.Come at the KingYou come at the King, you best not miss.The Juicy PitchWait for a juicy pitch.Life doesn’t reward you for the number of swings you take. Focus on identifying the juiciest pitch. When it comes, swing hard and don’t miss it.Simple is BeautifulThe best moments you’ll ever have in your life are the simplest.Slipping into clean sheets. Hiking right after a storm. A night talking with friends. Being there for others. Helping a friend.What you think of as painful will simply be erased in time.Behavior vs. WordsPay attention to people's patterns of behavior. They are better guides than their words.Experience PyramidExperience is like a pyramid.The broader the base, the higher you can build. So, diversify your experience early in your career.Learn vs. EarnParticipate to learn, not to earn. The latter will come with practice.Can vs. ShouldJust because you can, doesn’t mean you should.So there you have it. 20 pieces of the greatest advice you’ve ever received. I hope you found one piece of advice that inspired you or changed your outlook on the week.Special thank you to Prolific Idea for the incredible visualizations.The original thread can be found below:Sahil’s Job Board - Featured OpportunitiesSkio - Founding Engineer ($50K REFERRAL BOUNTY!)Hyper - Chief of StaffConsensus - Lead Software EngineerScaled - Direct of OperationsFairchain - Software Engineer, Full StackCommonstock: Community Manager, Social Media Manager, Marketing DesignerIncandescent - Operations AssociatePractice - Chief of StaffMaven - GM of Partnerships & OpsOlukai - VP of E-CommerceHatch - Senior PM, Senior Product Marketing ManagerAbstractOps - Head of EngineeringOn Deck - Forum Director, CFO Forum, VP FinanceMetafy - 

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