ML - The way the world works - analyzing how things work

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Thoughts

Rickards noted, eventually the aftermath of a coming collapse will follow the current expansion, which has been going on since June 2009 called quantitive easing, a failed Keynesian theory practiced in Japan leading to a forty plus year economic depression. Central banks took the pressure off with money printing, zero interest rates, currency swaps and other guarantees behind the scenes, but the underlying imbalances remain. Debtors hate deflation because they are repaying with expensive money. Likewise during inflation they are paying back money with diluted money with less buying power. During inflation it hurts less to pay down debt. During inflation your paying with dollars with less value than you borrowed with. Deflation puts stress on the banks. The fed job is to stabilize the banks. Therefore the fed fights deflation by increasing the money supply causing inflation. There are only so many ways to fight deflation, however. The natural cure is growth, but extremely high debt loads are likely to curtail growth The banks cannot tolerate deflation because it increases the real value of the debt. The national debt of the United States has not been growing in linear fashion, he noted, as many assume. Rather, U.S. debt follows a sine wave pattern, and traditionally it balloons in times of war, and is paid off in times of peace. Over the 35-year period from 1945 to 1980, the U.S. reduced the debt-to-GDP ratio from 120 percent to 30 percent through bipartisan effort. But the war debt was paid off during times of peace including the 1820s, 1870s, 1920s and 1990s. It was only after 2000 that things went off the rails and government debt went straight up under George W. Bush, Barack Obama, Donald Trump and Joe Biden Low debt helps grow the economy . Periods of high growth occur as debt is low. Reinhart’s and Rogoff’s work states once debt surpasses 90 percent of GDP, it is impossible to grow our way out of the debt. The us has been in a financial war with Iran since trump. The financial war has been in the capital markets. Americans are not borrowing and spending money at a rate conducive to producing inflation. The velocity of money moving through the system in dollars has not been enough to sustain inflation. Deflation will occur. Gold devaluation has not occur. Inflation must have gold devaluation. The psychology of deflation is setting in by the consumer as they refuse to borrow. Us debt is $30 trillion dollars. Time to repudiate the national debt as unsustainable. Rolling over the debt is only possible if the creditors allow credit standing. A 50 trillion dollar economy is required to sustain the high debt economy we have a 21 ttrillion dollar economy.

e main reason is the economy The housing market has been hot in recent years Home prices are rising, but generally not as quickly as in other cities The number of jobs in the city has been growing faster than the number of homes San Francisco added about 10,000 jobs in the past year, about half of them in technology Economist Steven Levy at the Center for the Continuing Study of the California Economy says that makes it the fastest growing big city in the state Levy says San Francisco's job growth is fueled by the boom in technology Many of the new jobs are in industries that require workers skilled in math, science and technology "The San Francisco economy has been adding jobs at a faster rate than the other big cities in the state," Levy says "It's been a tech boom " The growing economy has helped attract thousands of new residents to the city But San Francisco also has advantages over other cities It's close to Silicon Valley, the headquarters of many technology companies It's a great place for young people because of its vibrant arts, music and restaurant scene "This is a city that's attractive to young people who want to live in an urban setting," Levy says "The fact that you can't afford to buy a house here doesn't seem to keep people away " And San Francisco is a magnet for immigrants The city's population is about a third foreign born That's a huge advantage when you're trying to grow a city "We need people," says John Rahaim, the city's planning director "We need both people who are going to live here, and people who are going to work here " Rahaim says the city has programs to encourage new residents It's trying to limit the number of high-rise buildings, which can lead to overcrowding It's also trying to preserve the city's character, even as it grows "I think it's an exciting time," Rahaim says "I think we've got some challenges as a city, but I think we're really excited about the opportunities " And the biggest opportunity for San Francisco might be the new technology that has attracted so many new people

With regard to the question of why China embraced capitalism, it is important to note that in Mao’s time, the Soviet Union and China were allies Mao’s China was a communist country, but it was still very much in the midst of a revolution China saw the Soviet Union as a revolutionary ally, and Mao had always been an admirer of Joseph Stalin, who was the leader of the Soviet Union at the time The Chinese saw the Soviet Union as a potential guide in the revolutionary process Mao’s China was a communist country, but it was still very much in the midst of a revolution But there were also critical differences between the Soviet Union and China The Chinese had always been more radical than the Russians During the Cultural Revolution, Mao had attacked Soviet revisionists and accused them of trying to undermine the Chinese revolution What this meant was that Mao’s China was in a different stage of development than the Soviet Union The Chinese revolution was still in the midst of its own revolution, while the Soviet Union was a consolidated state-capitalist regime China was not ready to embrace capitalism, but it was still a revolutionary country However, the country’s economic development was not going anywhere When the Chinese leadership saw what happened in the Soviet Union, it became clear that if China did not embrace capitalism, the country’s development would stagnate So in order to take the country forward economically, the Chinese leadership decided to embrace capitalism HOW DID THE CHINESE EMBRACE CAPITALISM? After Mao’s death, Deng Xiaoping became the leader of China Deng had been a member of the Chinese Communist Party since the 1920s He had played a very important role in the Chinese revolution, and he had been very close to Mao But by the 1970s, Deng had become critical of the way the Chinese revolution was being led This was the background to his rise to power When Deng took power, he realized that Mao had made many mistakes in the way he led the revolution Deng opened up the country to foreign investment, and he abolished many of the socialist institutions that had been put in place And he went about it very shrewdly

there are a number of reasons why emerging market currencies have been weakening against the US Dollar… 1) Excessively loose monetary policy in the developed markets (The Fed, The ECB, The BOJ and the Bank of England) 2) Speculation that the Fed will not hike interest rates as previously expected 3) Emerging markets economies are slowing down…China is slowing down…Brazil, Russia and India are slowing down…this will lead to a slowdown in the global economy and will put downward pressure on the US Dollar 4) Emerging market economies are a lot more sensitive to a depreciating US Dollar than developed market economies Here is an excellent article on the subject from the Wall Street Journal… One of the most interesting questions in the current global market environment is why emerging-market currencies, which are down year to date and have been hit especially hard in the past two weeks, have been so weak The dollar has appreciated against every G-10 currency except the Japanese yen The answer is that most emerging-market currencies are much more sensitive to the dollar than the advanced economies In other words, a stronger dollar is a stronger dollar everywhere, and a weak dollar is a weaker dollar everywhere, but the dollar moves much more strongly in emerging-market currencies This pattern is now more pronounced than it has been in the past and is likely to continue To test the sensitivity of each currency to the dollar, we can compare the year-on-year change in the dollar to the change in the local currency The chart below shows the result (The chart shows the change in the nominal exchange rate for each local currency against the dollar ) The relationship between the dollar and the Mexican peso is particularly extreme The peso has fallen year to date against the dollar, while the dollar has appreciated

Shale gas is a natural gas found in sedimentary rock This rock is found thousands of feet below the earth's surface The energy companies drill or frack for the natural gas (Fracking is a method of drilling that involves pumping high-pressure water and chemicals into the rock to release the natural gas ) Why is shale gas so important? For one thing, it's a very cheap source of energy It will lead to lower energy prices That's good news for the average consumer It's also very important in terms of foreign policy The United States imports a lot of its energy from overseas That's becoming more and more expensive Shale gas gives the United States a new source of cheap energy That will reduce the US trade deficit Shale gas will also lower US oil imports That's important because the United States has a lot of enemies in the Middle East It's nice not to be dependent on them for our energy It will also create a lot of new jobs The energy industry is one of the most important industries in the United States Shale gas will lead to many new jobs But not everyone is happy about shale gas There are some serious environmental concerns about fracking Fracking is a very noisy process It can also cause earthquakes and sinkholes People who live near fracking sites complain about the noise and the smell There are also concerns about water contamination Fracking uses a lot of water That water contains chemicals that can pollute groundwater WHAT ARE THE ECONOMIC BENEFITS OF FRACKING? The economic benefits of fracking are not just important in the United States The US is not the only country that can benefit from shale gas Canada and Australia are also rich in shale gas Shale gas is important for the global economy One of the most interesting things about shale gas is that it's a cheap source of energy Shale gas is only one-third as expensive as oil It's even cheaper than coal Energy prices have been rising in recent years Cheaper energy is good news for everyone It will mean that we can consume more products and services That's a huge boost for the global economy Shale gas is also important for the global economy because it's an alternative energy source Right now, the United States only produces about half of the energy it uses

Thoughts

A A manager must stay current with developments in technology and people management in order to ensure the continued success of the organization B A manager must stay current with developments in technology and people management in order to ensure that the manager is able to stay competitive in the workplace C A manager must stay current with developments in technology and people management in order to ensure that the organization remains competitive in the marketplace D A manager must stay current with developments in technology and people management in order for the manager to stay competitive

A history of House of Israel in North America . A national document of morality for right and wrong in the 21st century