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Independent Thinking

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Dec 6, 2024 • 39min

Europe, Trump and Chagos: What will UK foreign policy look like in 2025?

Five months in, has Sir Keir Starmer's foreign policy been a success? The UK-EU relationship remains a major challenge for 2025, as does the prospect of a new US president. How will Starmer respond, and will the recent Chagos Islands deal impact the UK's international standing? Bronwen Maddox is joined the BBC’s diplomatic editor James Landale, Professor Anand Menon, the director of UK in a Changing Europe at King's College London and Olivia O’Sullivan and the director of our UK in the World programme. Read our latest: Starmer and his government must make a better case for an active UK foreign policy Syria’s conflict was never going to stay frozen. A new push for a lasting peace is needed North Korea and Russia’s dangerous partnership State capacity, mining and community relations in Peru Presented by Bronwen Maddox. Produced by John Pollock. Read the latest issue of The World Today  Listen to The Climate Briefing podcast 🎧  Listen to Africa Aware podcast 🎧 Subscribe to Independent Thinking wherever you find your podcasts - please listen, review, and subscribe.
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Nov 29, 2024 • 33min

Is Europe falling apart?

Europe is contending with a stagnating economy, political dysfunction in Germany and France, and Russia's relentless attacks on Ukraine, all while it looks to the return of Donald Trump. Will the continent's democracies hold together in the face of such challenges? Bronwen Maddox is joined by journalist and historian Timothy Garton Ash, Mujtaba Rahman, Europe Managing Director at the Eurasia Group and Armida van Rij, senior research fellow and the Head of our Europe programme. Read our latest: The break-up of Scholz’s coalition government signals the end of Germany’s old economic model The ceasefire in Lebanon has dealt a huge blow to Iran’s regional strategy Why cyber doomsday warnings do more harm than good Presented by Bronwen Maddox. Produced by John Pollock. Read the latest issue of The World Today  Listen to The Climate Briefing podcast 🎧  Listen to Africa Aware podcast 🎧 Subscribe to Independent Thinking wherever you find your podcasts - please listen, review, and subscribe.
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Nov 22, 2024 • 36min

Has COP29 made a difference on climate change?

The panel discuss whether the COP29 climate summit delivered anything meaningful and what Donald Trump's election means for combating climate change. As the world moves closer to crossing the 1.5 degree threshold, Bronwen Maddox is joined by former BBC journalist Roger Harrabin and Maria Netto, executive director of the Institute for Climate and Society in Brazil. Also with them from COP29 in Baku is Ruth Townend, senior research fellow with our Environment and Society Centre.  More from Roger Harrabin: BBC Radio 4 - The Year We Lost the Climate Read our latest: Closing the climate finance gap Azerbaijan’s climate leadership challenge What is COP29 and why is it important? Presented by Bronwen Maddox. Produced by John Pollock. Read the latest issue of The World Today  Listen to The Climate Briefing podcast 🎧  Listen to Africa Aware podcast 🎧 Subscribe to Independent Thinking wherever you find your podcasts - please listen, review, and subscribe.
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Nov 15, 2024 • 33min

How will China respond to Donald Trump 2.0?

The re-election of Donald Trump has major consequences for America’s relations with China. The panel discuss how the US-China relationship might change under the next president. Guest host Ben Bland is joined by historian and political scientist Professor Rana Mitter, the FT’s US-China correspondent, Demetri Sevastopulo and Dr Yu Jie, a senior research fellow with our Asia-Pacific programme.  Read our latest: Trump’s ‘America First’ foreign policy will accelerate China’s push for global leadership The Gulf will seek to manage Trump through self-reliance and pragmatism Donald Trump’s policies risk making the US dollar a source of global instability Presented by Bronwen Maddox. Produced by John Pollock. Read the latest issue of The World Today  Listen to The Climate Briefing podcast 🎧  Listen to Africa Aware podcast 🎧 Subscribe to Independent Thinking wherever you find your podcasts - please listen, review, and subscribe.
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Nov 8, 2024 • 38min

What does Donald Trump's re-election mean for the world?

In this discussion, Edward Luce, North America editor at the Financial Times, Gerald Seib, former Washington Bureau Chief at the Wall Street Journal, and Leslie Vinjamuri from Chatham House delve into the implications of Donald Trump's surprising re-election. They analyze shifts in voting demographics and the Republican Party's future, as well as the stark contrast between a strong economy and public discontent. The hosts also examine Trump's foreign policy directions, potential appointments, and the challenges America faces both domestically and globally.
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Nov 1, 2024 • 35min

Why is North Korea sending troops to Russia?

North Korea is sending troops to Russia, but what is Kim Jong Un hoping to get from Vladmir Putin for military assistance against Ukraine? The panel also discuss the role military conscription plays in Israel, South Korea and Ukraine. Bronwen Maddox is joined by Edward Howell, the Korea Foundation fellow at Chatham House, Orysia Lutsevych, the head of our Ukraine Forum and Yossi Mekelberg, a senior consulting fellow with our Middle East and North Africa Programme. Read our latest: As the ruling party claims victory in Georgia’s disputed election, Western condemnation is no longer enough Watch: 2024 US election: What will America choose? Watch: Is the world ready for the next pandemic? Presented by Bronwen Maddox. Produced by John Pollock. Read the latest issue of The World Today  Listen to The Climate Briefing podcast 🎧  Listen to Africa Aware podcast 🎧 Subscribe to Independent Thinking wherever you find your podcasts - please listen, review, and subscribe.
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Oct 25, 2024 • 36min

Will debt constrain Western foreign policy?

Join experts Olivia O’Sullivan, Director of the UK in the World program, and David Lubin, a Senior Research Fellow in Global Economy, who discuss how rising national debt is reshaping Western foreign policy. Patrick Wintour offers insights into the delicate balance of UK foreign funding, while Ranil Dissanayake tackles the implications of demographic shifts on global challenges. They explore the complex nature of debt sustainability and its consequences for international aid, emphasizing the urgent need for a coordinated financial strategy amid soaring debts.
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Oct 18, 2024 • 37min

How can France survive its budget crisis?

Sophie Pedder, Paris Bureau Chief of The Economist, Shahin Vallée, a former advisor to Emmanuel Macron, and Armida van Rij, head of the Europe Programme at Chatham House, dissect France's looming budget crisis. They explore the intricate dynamics of France's fiscal instability, potential political turmoil, and the implications of rising deficits. The discussions illuminate the challenges of coalition governance, the Franco-German trade tensions, and the delicate balance of supporting Ukraine amid financial constraints. It's a candid look at the crossroads of economics and politics in France.
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Oct 11, 2024 • 31min

Do sanctions work?

Daniel W. Drezner, a Tufts University professor and sanctions expert, joins Allie Renison, a trade policy specialist, and Chris Sabatini, a Latin America researcher, to delve into the complexities of sanctions. They discuss how sanctions can hold governments accountable but often harm ordinary citizens. The conversation covers historical and contemporary case studies, the evolution of sanctions post-EU for the UK, and the unintended consequences on economies and political alliances. They also ponder the dollar's status and the moral dilemmas surrounding the effectiveness of sanctions.
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Oct 6, 2024 • 35min

Can there be peace for Israelis and Palestinians after 7 October?

Daniel Levy, an experienced peace negotiator, shares insights on the quest for peace in Israel and Palestine. Sanam Vakil highlights the urgent need to address humanitarian crises and shifting sentiments within Israel. Amjad Iraqi emphasizes the importance of Palestinian self-determination alongside the complexities of international policies. The trio discusses regional dynamics, including Iran's influence and the challenges posed by the Abraham Accords, suggesting that recognizing Palestinian rights is crucial for sustainable regional stability.

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