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Coinbase Institutional Market Call

Latest episodes

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Jan 15, 2025 • 28min

Fresh Corporate BTC Demand, Macro Shifts, Regulatory Trends, Acquisitions and the New Corporates Onchain

This episode unpacks the latest developments in crypto markets as corporates like Intesa Sanpaolo and Genius Group join the Bitcoin buying wave, with MicroStrategy’s premium holding steady at 1.91. We also highlight Tether’s move to El Salvador and the growing traction of IBIT options, now capturing 50% of Deribit’s open interest, signaling surging institutional demand. An ETF flow update and client strategies reveal how the big players are positioning themselves for 2024.We analyze funding rates, the Ondo unlock, and how to interpret these trends in relation to market dynamics. Recent aggressive crypto acquisitions reflect growing confidence in the new regulatory environment, paired with an update on Coinbase’s Third Circuit Court of Appeals filing.On the macro front, we discuss last week’s CPI, PPI, and employment data and we explore fiscal policy outlooks, debt sustainability, and potential policy shifts shaping the economic landscape. Additionally, we discuss China’s 10Y yield dropping from 2.1% to 1.65% and it's potential impact on global liquidity.In the on-chain segment, we break down stablecoin borrow rates, with Aave at 10-11% and Sky peaking at 12.5%, alongside a surge in USDS growth (25% in the past week). Finally, we examine Sony’s L2 launch on the OP stack, signaling a shift in how corporates leverage blockchain for Web3 adoption, and the interplay between public and permissioned chains.Topics Covered:Corporate Moves: New entrants into BTC buying, MicroStrategy premium analysis.Institutional Trends: IBIT options, ETF flows, and client strategies.Funding Rates & Unlocks: How market dynamics shape strategies.Regulatory Environment: Crypto acquisitions and Coinbase court updates.Macro Update: Key data reflections, China’s stimulus, and fiscal policy outlook.On-Chain: Stablecoin borrow rates, USDS growth, and Sony’s L2 launch for Web3 corporates.Host:Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesPanelists: David Duong, Head of Institutional Research David Han, Research Analyst Georg Toropov, Senior CES Sales Trader
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Jan 8, 2025 • 33min

Bitcoin's Next Wave: Institutional Growth, Regulatory Shifts, and Onchain Innovations

This week, we explore Bitcoin’s increasing institutional adoption, with MicroStrategy expanding its holdings and other companies considering BTC for their balance sheets. We analyze ETF flows over the past two weeks and provide a Q1 market outlook, focusing on key drivers and emerging trends. In the macro segment, we examine pro-crypto regulatory appointments, potential legislation from a crypto-friendly Congress, and the Fed's rate outlook for H1. We also discuss the implications of economic data volatility and what Canada’s potential new leadership could mean for Bitcoin. Additionally, we highlight global moves toward Bitcoin as a strategic reserve.Onchain, we delve into the growth of protocols like Morpho, Babylon, and Pendle, alongside AI agents gaining traction, with Eliza ai16z’s GitHub surpassing Google Gemini in stars. We also explore the significance of high DEX volumes and Backpack’s acquisition of FTX's EU operations, shedding light on its impact on European derivatives markets.Topics Covered:Market: Institutional BTC adoption, ETF flows, and Q1 market outlook.Macro: Pro-crypto regulatory changes, potential legislation, Fed rate trajectory, and global BTC reserves.On-Chain: Protocol growth, AI agent innovation, and European market developments through Backpack’s FTX acquisition.Host: Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesPanelists: David Duong, Head of Institutional Research David Han, Research Analyst Georg Toropov, CES Sales Trader
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Dec 18, 2024 • 25min

Bitcoin Hits ATH, Onchain Insights, and 2025 Crypto Outlook

In this episode, we discuss Bitcoin’s breakout to a new all-time high and the factors driving it, including public companies like MicroStrategy, RIOT, and Semler continuing to stack BTC on their balance sheets. BlackRock’s recommendation of a 2% Bitcoin allocation further underscores growing institutional confidence in BTC as do conversations around global Bitcoin strategic reserves progressing in the U.S., Russia, and France. We also gather onchain insights into BTC active supply, with 4.1M BTC moving onchain in the last six months.Onchain developments include the rise of stablecoin supply, AI agents driving meme token trends, and Lido’s phased withdrawal of Polygon support. We also spotlight Pudgy Penguins' momentum and token launch with PENGU.On the macro side, we preview the upcoming Fed meeting and its potential market impact. Finally, David provides an overview of Coinbase’s crypto outlook for 2025, offering a forward-looking perspective on the year ahead.Topics Covered:Market: BTC’s all-time high, institutional moves, and BlackRock’s 2% allocation call.Strategic Reserves: Bitcoin reserve discussions across the U.S., Russia, and France.Onchain: Stablecoin growth, AI-driven memes, Pudgy Penguins' token launch, and Lido’s Polygon phase-out.Supply Trends: BTC active supply analysis and market implications.Macro: Fed meeting preview and its impact on markets.Outlook: Coinbase’s 2025 crypto market forecast.Host:Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesPanelists:David Duong, Head of Institutional ResearchDavid Han, Research AnalystJoshua Pak, CES Salestrader
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Dec 10, 2024 • 23min

Liquidations, ETF Insights, and Onchain Highlights

 In this episode, we break down a turbulent week in crypto markets, starting with a wave of liquidations driven by recent volatility. We explore ETF flows, contrasting ETH and BTC trends, and analyze the resilience of CME basis despite normalized funding rates.Corporate treasury expansion takes center stage as we highlight significant Bitcoin acquisitions by MicroStrategy, MARA Holdings, and others.On the regulatory front, David Sacks' new appointment sparks debate on crypto policy direction. Onchain developments include Google’s intriguing Willow project, the UK’s blocking of Pump’s frontend, and Pudgy Penguins' rise as a top NFT collection. Plus, Floki’s debut debit card marks another milestone in crypto adoption.We also review the macro outlook, previewing the upcoming CPI release and its potential ripple effects on the market.Topics Covered:Market: Liquidations, ETF updates, and CME basis trends.Client Conversations: Strategic positioning, rotation, and profit-taking.Bitcoin Miners & Treasuries: Bold moves by MARA and MicroStrategy.Macro & Regulation: CPI preview and shifting Fed leadership dynamics.Onchain Trends: Google’s qubits, NFT reshuffles, and token launches.Host: Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesPanelists: David Duong, Head of Institutional Research David Han, Research Analyst Georg Toropov, Senior CES Sales Trader
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Dec 3, 2024 • 27min

Drift’s Cindy Leow, South Korea, and Altcoin Season

Join us for an interview with Cindy Leow, co-founder of Drift, as she shares the inside scoop on their Solana-based decentralized exchange that’s making waves with its 50x leverage perpetual futures trading and BET prediction market. In markets, Greg Sutton talks about the consolidation of assets like BTC, ETH and SOL over the last week, as well as the major disruptions happening on South Korean crypto exchanges after the country’s declaration of martial law (since blocked by the national assembly). We then explore the rise of AI agents with David Han, who also discusses the massive airdrop from DeFi protocol Hyperliquid.Host:David Duong, Head of Institutional ResearchPanelists:David Han, Research AnalystGreg Sutton, CES Sales TraderDon’t miss this episode packed with market analysis, macro insights, and cutting-edge onchain trends. 
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Nov 26, 2024 • 23min

Bitcoin Nears $100K, ETF Updates, and Macro Shifts

In this episode, we delve into Bitcoin's march toward $100K, analyzing market flows, technical drivers, and ETF developments, including the impact of 13F filings and the launch of ETF options. We also spotlight the strength in XRP tied to ETF applications and discuss key macro shifts, including Trump's Cabinet picks, Gary Gensler's exit from the SEC, and what it all means for crypto. David Duong covers the upcoming Fed meeting and its implications, while David Han provides an onchain update on long-term Bitcoin holders and the rise of meme tokens.Don’t miss this episode packed with market analysis, macro insights, and cutting-edge onchain trends.Topics Covered:Market Update: BTC's rally, ETF flows, 13F surprises, and XRP’s surge.Macro Shifts: Fed meeting preview, Trump's crypto impact, and regulatory updates in the U.S. and U.K.Onchain Update: Insights into BTC holders' strategies and meme innovation.Host:Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesPanelists:David Duong, Head of Institutional ResearchDavid Han, Research AnalystGreg Sutton, CES Sales Trader
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Nov 19, 2024 • 35min

Maple Finance, IBIT Options, and Crypto Outperformers

In this episode, we analyze the latest crypto market trends, highlighting BTC’s rally, standout tokens like SOL and XRP, and increased corporate adoption. Joe Flanagan, Co-Founder of Maple Finance, joins us to discuss the platform’s transition to secured lending, expansion into new borrower sectors, and the introduction of their governance token, SYRUP. We also explore the launch of IBIT options, examining how they could enhance liquidity, improve risk management, and offer strategic flexibility for investors. Don’t miss this episode packed with market updates, institutional trends, and deep dives into DeFi innovation.Topics Covered:Market Update: BTC and altcoin movements, corporate BTC adoption, and ETF flows.Maple Finance Insights: Its transition to secured lending, its long-term plans for expansion, and its SYRUP token launch.IBIT Options: Implications for liquidity, risk management, and portfolio strategies.Host:Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesSpecial Guest:Joe Flanagan, Co-Founder and Executive Chairman of Maple FinancePanelists:David Duong, Head of Institutional ResearchDavid Han, Research Analyst
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Nov 12, 2024 • 40min

Coin50 Index, Market Movers and Onchain Insights

In this episode, we dive into the major market movers, examining shifts in onchain BTC activity as long-term holders start to potentially position to take profits and funding rates hit extreme levels. Rachel Ziv provides the latest insights on the Coinbase financing business, including current trends in the fluctuating cost of capital. Special guest John D’Agostino, Senior Adviser to Coinbase, introduces the Coin50 Index, explaining its methodology, potential impacts, and its future role in shaping crypto portfolio strategies. David Duong delivers a macroeconomic update covering CPI, retail sales, and insights into what the Fed may do next. Onchain specialist David Han provides a breakdown of Beam Chain, as highlighted by the Ethereum Foundation’s Justin Drake, along with the latest from the Base ecosystem. Don’t miss this packed episode full of expert analyses, innovative tools, and essential market data.**Host:**Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesSpecial GuestsJohn D’Agostino, Senior AdviserRachel Ziv, Senior Financing TraderPanelistsDavid Duong, Head of Institutional ResearchDavid Han, Research Analyst
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Nov 8, 2024 • 30min

The US Election Was a Huge Win for Crypto

Trump’s victory in the 2024 US presidential election has been a significant catalyst for the crypto market in recent days. Following the election results, bitcoin reached a new all-time high exceeding $75,000, along with substantial gains in other cryptocurrencies such as ETH, SOL, and DOGE. This surge is attributed to bullish market sentiment and re-risking by traders. Moreover, the election has led to a more crypto-friendly Congress, enhancing optimism around regulatory clarity.  In this podcast, Ben Floyd, David Duong, Greg Sutton and David Han discuss some of the regulatory and policy implications of a Trump presidency. They also talk about the Federal Reserve decision, the Ethereum Foundation’s report, Solana trading ecosystem profits, and the recent spike in stablecoin supply.**Host:**Ben Floyd, Head of Execution Services**Panelists:**David Duong, Head of Institutional ResearchDavid Han, Research AnalystGreg Sutton, CES Sales TraderDon’t forget to like and subscribe.Links:Stand with CryptoReflections on the election through a crypto lensCoinbase Research 
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Oct 29, 2024 • 37min

Kara Calvert on US Crypto Policy, BTC Price Action, and Onchain Trends

Kara Calvert, Coinbase’s Head of US Policy, shares insights on how the upcoming US election could shape crypto regulation, considering political scenarios like Trump versus Harris. Joshua Pak discusses BTC price movements, CME open interest, and spot ETF inflows. David Duong analyzes earnings from major firms and key economic indicators. David Han highlights growth in on-chain DEX volumes, especially Solana's rise. Insights on policy shifts and crypto community mobilization during elections round out this captivating discussion.

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