Coinbase Markets Podcast

No Man’s Land

Nov 18, 2025
Colin Basco, a Research Associate at Coinbase, dives into the current complexities of the crypto markets. He discusses the implications of a possible government shutdown on market releases and signals from small business earnings pointing towards Fed cuts. The duo weighs the risks of dollar-cost averaging during downturns and the importance of Bitcoin's performance for altcoins to thrive. Colin's cautious stance contrasts with David Duong's more optimistic view, creating a nuanced conversation on navigating this turbulent crypto landscape.
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ADVICE

Don't DCA Into A Downtrend

  • Avoid dollar-cost averaging into a downtrend; it lowers your cost basis as prices fall.
  • Wait to DCA an asset only after a confirmed reversal or sustained uptrend, using clear re-entry rules.
INSIGHT

Data Gaps Amplify Fed Uncertainty

  • Missing October CPI/jobs data increases Fed decision uncertainty and compresses market speculation.
  • That data gap makes Fed probability swings more volatile and feeds current price dislocations.
INSIGHT

Small Businesses Hint At Cuts

  • NFIB small-business trends show falling sales, weaker earnings, cooling wage pressure, and low loan demand.
  • Those signs collectively point toward lower inflationary pressure and increase the case for Fed rate cuts.
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