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Thomas Kelly
Independent researcher and political scientist who investigated Festinger's archives and published work debunking aspects of When Prophecy Fails, specializing in the history of behavioral science and belief studies.
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Nov 25, 2025
• 53min
When “When Prophecy Fails” Fails (E350)
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Thomas Kelly, an independent researcher and political scientist, dives into the flaws of Festinger's classic study on failed prophecy. He reveals how researchers might have manipulated the UFO group dynamics and misrepresented key events, including internal recruitment strategies and the infamous 'magic box' incident. Kelly also addresses ethical breaches by researchers and the broader implications for cognitive dissonance theory. His findings challenge long-held beliefs and shed light on the ongoing replication crisis in psychology.
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