Sahil Desai
Senior editor at The Atlantic and journalist specialising in politics and media, featured here to explain the rise and implications of prediction markets.
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Feb 4, 2026 • 25min
The people betting on catastrophic world events
Sahil Desai, Senior editor at The Atlantic and politics and media journalist, guides a deep dive into prediction markets. He traces their rise, explains how platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi operate, and maps the strange range of bets from trivial to catastrophic. He also explores regulatory differences, anonymity risks and how markets can shape news and real-world outcomes.
