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Professor Matthew Wall
Political scientist at Swansea University who researches election forecasting, uses betting market odds and prediction models in empirical work, and co-hosts the Horse Race Politics podcast/platform.
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14 snips
Oct 19, 2025
• 1h 7min
Election Forecasting, Prediction Markets, and Gamification, with Prof. Matthew Wall and Dr. Louis Bromfield
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Join Professor Matthew Wall, a political scientist focused on election forecasting, and Dr. Louis Bromfield, a researcher in gamification, as they delve into the fascinating world of election prediction. They explore the effectiveness of prediction markets like Polymarket, discussing how they can outshine traditional polls and subtly influence voter behavior through bandwagon effects. The duo also reveals insights on gamifying forecasting to boost political engagement, sharing their experiences with Fantasy Forecast and the impacts observed in recent elections.
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